Senaryo Bulucu

Bir piyasa seçin, sonra bugün gerçekte ne olduğunu işaretleyin — bir gap up, Asya'nın dünkü zirveyi süpürmesi ve benzeri. Eşleşen her ön-doğrulanmış bulguyu, baz oranına göre ölçülmüş oranı, örneklem büyüklüğü ve güven aralığı ile gösteriyoruz. Burada hiçbir şey anlık hesaplanmaz — her satır, araştırma hattının çoklu karşılaştırma doğrulamasından (sektörler arası Bonferroni düzeltmesi, korelasyonlu küme kontrolleri) zaten geçti. Bakın metodoloji nasıl çalıştığını görmek için.

Ölçülen olasılıklar. İşlem çağrısı yok. bu ne anlama gelir →

Piyasa

Bugün ne oldu?

Her koşul için bir değer seçin — ya da yok saymak için "seçilmedi" bırakın.

Eşleşen bulgular

Tümünü göster (%77 altı dahil)

Eşleşen bulguları görmek için yukarıda en az bir koşul seçin.

Koşula göre filtreleme JavaScript gerektirir. Aşağıda: ölçülen etki büyüklüğüne göre ES için ilk 20 bulgu.

eğer / ise	çağrı	derece	oran / baz	fark	95% GA	n	rozet
the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 96,5%	S	96,5% / 50,7%	+45,7 pp	[93,7%, 98,1%]	281	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	NO 96,3%	S	3,7% / 32,5%	-28,8 pp	[2,0%, 6,7%]	266	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 95,5%	S	95,5% / 50,7%	+44,6 pp	[92,5%, 97,3%]	304	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the opening range does not break to the downside by 10:30am AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 95,1%	S	5,0% / 34,8%	-29,8 pp	[2,7%, 8,9%]	199	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 94,7%	S	94,7% / 50,7%	+44,3 pp	[91,1%, 96,9%]	242	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:30am open is far below the prior session's open → price trades below the Asia session's low sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 94,5%	S	94,5% / 67,2%	+26,4 pp	[92,1%, 96,2%]	491	SKEPTIC-CONFIRMED
London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 94,0%	S	94,0% / 50,7%	+43,5 pp	[90,1%, 96,4%]	227	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 93,4%	S	6,6% / 34,8%	-28,1 pp	[4,2%, 10,4%]	253	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 93,2%	S	93,2% / 37,2%	+56,0 pp	[88,5%, 96,1%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 93,1%	S	7,0% / 34,8%	-27,8 pp	[4,4%, 10,7%]	257	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the initial balance (first trading hour) is narrow (bottom tercile) AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 93,0%	S	7,0% / 34,8%	-27,9 pp	[4,3%, 11,0%]	229	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	NO 93,0%	S	7,0% / 43,6%	-36,7 pp	[4,0%, 12,1%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London trades above the Asia session's high AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 92,4%	S	92,4% / 50,7%	+41,9 pp	[88,7%, 95,0%]	285	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 91,7%	S	8,3% / 46,9%	-38,7 pp	[4,9%, 13,7%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	NO 91,7%	S	8,3% / 43,6%	-35,4 pp	[4,9%, 13,7%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the opening range breaks to the upside by 10:30am AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 91,5%	S	8,5% / 34,8%	-26,3 pp	[5,8%, 12,2%]	293	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market breaks above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	YES 90,3%	S	90,3% / 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,7%, 93,5%]	224	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 90,2%	S	9,8% / 46,9%	-37,2 pp	[6,1%, 15,3%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	NO 90,2%	S	9,8% / 43,6%	-33,9 pp	[6,1%, 15,3%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	YES 90,0%	S	90,0% / 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,8%, 93,0%]	266	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)

ES için 54 ek bulgu, gösterim eşiğinin altında (|delta| < 8pp veya n < 120) ve gizli.

CI yöntemi: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held. Kaynak: verified_findings;2026-09-30.