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Escolha um mercado e depois marque o que realmente aconteceu hoje — gap de alta, Ásia varrendo a máxima de ontem e assim por diante. Mostramos todo achado pré-verificado que corresponda, com sua taxa medida contra a taxa-base, tamanho da amostra e intervalo de confiança. Nada aqui é calculado na hora — cada linha já passou pela verificação de múltiplas comparações do pipeline de pesquisa (correção de Bonferroni entre setores, checagens de clusters correlacionados). Veja metodologia sobre como isso funciona.

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Mercado

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Achados correspondentes

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A filtragem por condição exige JavaScript. Abaixo: os 20 principais achados por tamanho de efeito medido para ES.

se / então	sinal	nota	taxa vs. base	delta	IC 95%	n	badge
the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 96,5%	S	96,5% vs. 50,7%	+45,7 pp	[93,7%, 98,1%]	281	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	NO 96,3%	S	3,7% vs. 32,5%	-28,8 pp	[2,0%, 6,7%]	266	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 95,5%	S	95,5% vs. 50,7%	+44,6 pp	[92,5%, 97,3%]	304	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the opening range does not break to the downside by 10:30am AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 95,1%	S	5,0% vs. 34,8%	-29,8 pp	[2,7%, 8,9%]	199	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 94,7%	S	94,7% vs. 50,7%	+44,3 pp	[91,1%, 96,9%]	242	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:30am open is far below the prior session's open → price trades below the Asia session's low sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 94,5%	S	94,5% vs. 67,2%	+26,4 pp	[92,1%, 96,2%]	491	SKEPTIC-CONFIRMED
London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 94,0%	S	94,0% vs. 50,7%	+43,5 pp	[90,1%, 96,4%]	227	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 93,4%	S	6,6% vs. 34,8%	-28,1 pp	[4,2%, 10,4%]	253	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 93,2%	S	93,2% vs. 37,2%	+56,0 pp	[88,5%, 96,1%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 93,1%	S	7,0% vs. 34,8%	-27,8 pp	[4,4%, 10,7%]	257	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the initial balance (first trading hour) is narrow (bottom tercile) AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 93,0%	S	7,0% vs. 34,8%	-27,9 pp	[4,3%, 11,0%]	229	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	NO 93,0%	S	7,0% vs. 43,6%	-36,7 pp	[4,0%, 12,1%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London trades above the Asia session's high AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES 92,4%	S	92,4% vs. 50,7%	+41,9 pp	[88,7%, 95,0%]	285	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 91,7%	S	8,3% vs. 46,9%	-38,7 pp	[4,9%, 13,7%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	NO 91,7%	S	8,3% vs. 43,6%	-35,4 pp	[4,9%, 13,7%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the opening range breaks to the upside by 10:30am AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 91,5%	S	8,5% vs. 34,8%	-26,3 pp	[5,8%, 12,2%]	293	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market breaks above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	YES 90,3%	S	90,3% vs. 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,7%, 93,5%]	224	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET	NO 90,2%	S	9,8% vs. 46,9%	-37,2 pp	[6,1%, 15,3%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	NO 90,2%	S	9,8% vs. 43,6%	-33,9 pp	[6,1%, 15,3%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	YES 90,0%	S	90,0% vs. 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,8%, 93,0%]	266	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)

Mais 54 achados para ES estão abaixo do limite de exibição (|delta| < 8pp ou n < 120) e ficam ocultos.

Método do CI: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held. Fonte: verified_findings;2026-09-30.