محدد السيناريوهات

اختر سوقًا، ثم حدّد ما حدث اليوم فعلًا — فجوة صاعدة، اختراق جلسة آسيا لقمة أمس، وما إلى ذلك. نعرض كل نتيجة موثقة مسبقًا تطابق ذلك، مع معدلها المقاس مقابل المعدل الأساسي، وحجم العينة، وفاصل الثقة. لا يُحسب هنا شيء لحظيًا — كل صف اجتاز مسبقًا تحقق المقارنات المتعددة في خط البحث (تصحيح Bonferroni عبر القطاعات، وفحوصات المجموعات المترابطة). راجع المنهجية لشرح ذلك.

احتمالات محسوبة. لا توجد توصيات تداول. ما يعنيه هذا →

السوق

ما الذي حدث اليوم؟

اختر قيمة واحدة لكل شرط — أو اتركها على "غير محدد" لتجاهله.

النتائج المطابقة

عرض الكل (بما في ذلك ما دون 77%)

اختر شرطًا واحدًا على الأقل أعلاه لعرض النتائج المطابقة.

الترشيح حسب الشرط يحتاج JavaScript. أدناه: أفضل ٢٠ نتائج حسب حجم الأثر المقاس لـ ES، من دون ترشيح.

إذا / إذن	نداء	التقييم	المعدل مقابل الأساس	الفارق	فاصل ثقة 95%	n	شارة
the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES ٩٦٫٥%	S	٩٦٫٥% مقابل ٥٠٫٧%	+٤٥٫٧ نقطة مئوية	[٩٣٫٧%, ٩٨٫١%]	٢٨١	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	NO ٩٦٫٣%	S	٣٫٧% مقابل ٣٢٫٥%	؜-٢٨٫٨ نقطة مئوية	[٢٫٠%, ٦٫٧%]	٢٦٦	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES ٩٥٫٥%	S	٩٥٫٥% مقابل ٥٠٫٧%	+٤٤٫٦ نقطة مئوية	[٩٢٫٥%, ٩٧٫٣%]	٣٠٤	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the opening range does not break to the downside by 10:30am AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO ٩٥٫١%	S	٥٫٠% مقابل ٣٤٫٨%	؜-٢٩٫٨ نقطة مئوية	[٢٫٧%, ٨٫٩%]	١٩٩	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES ٩٤٫٧%	S	٩٤٫٧% مقابل ٥٠٫٧%	+٤٤٫٣ نقطة مئوية	[٩١٫١%, ٩٦٫٩%]	٢٤٢	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:30am open is far below the prior session's open → price trades below the Asia session's low sometime after 9:30am ET	YES ٩٤٫٥%	S	٩٤٫٥% مقابل ٦٧٫٢%	+٢٦٫٤ نقطة مئوية	[٩٢٫١%, ٩٦٫٢%]	٤٩١	SKEPTIC-CONFIRMED
London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES ٩٤٫٠%	S	٩٤٫٠% مقابل ٥٠٫٧%	+٤٣٫٥ نقطة مئوية	[٩٠٫١%, ٩٦٫٤%]	٢٢٧	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO ٩٣٫٤%	S	٦٫٦% مقابل ٣٤٫٨%	؜-٢٨٫١ نقطة مئوية	[٤٫٢%, ١٠٫٤%]	٢٥٣	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	YES ٩٣٫٢%	S	٩٣٫٢% مقابل ٣٧٫٢%	+٥٦٫٠ نقطة مئوية	[٨٨٫٥%, ٩٦٫١%]	١٧٦	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO ٩٣٫١%	S	٧٫٠% مقابل ٣٤٫٨%	؜-٢٧٫٨ نقطة مئوية	[٤٫٤%, ١٠٫٧%]	٢٥٧	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the initial balance (first trading hour) is narrow (bottom tercile) AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO ٩٣٫٠%	S	٧٫٠% مقابل ٣٤٫٨%	؜-٢٧٫٩ نقطة مئوية	[٤٫٣%, ١١٫٠%]	٢٢٩	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	NO ٩٣٫٠%	S	٧٫٠% مقابل ٤٣٫٦%	؜-٣٦٫٧ نقطة مئوية	[٤٫٠%, ١٢٫١%]	١٥٧	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London trades above the Asia session's high AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	YES ٩٢٫٤%	S	٩٢٫٤% مقابل ٥٠٫٧%	+٤١٫٩ نقطة مئوية	[٨٨٫٧%, ٩٥٫٠%]	٢٨٥	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET	NO ٩١٫٧%	S	٨٫٣% مقابل ٤٦٫٩%	؜-٣٨٫٧ نقطة مئوية	[٤٫٩%, ١٣٫٧%]	١٥٧	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	NO ٩١٫٧%	S	٨٫٣% مقابل ٤٣٫٦%	؜-٣٥٫٤ نقطة مئوية	[٤٫٩%, ١٣٫٧%]	١٥٧	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the opening range breaks to the upside by 10:30am AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	NO ٩١٫٥%	S	٨٫٥% مقابل ٣٤٫٨%	؜-٢٦٫٣ نقطة مئوية	[٥٫٨%, ١٢٫٢%]	٢٩٣	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market breaks above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	YES ٩٠٫٣%	S	٩٠٫٣% مقابل ٤٣٫٦%	+٤٦٫٥ نقطة مئوية	[٨٥٫٧%, ٩٣٫٥%]	٢٢٤	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET	NO ٩٠٫٢%	S	٩٫٨% مقابل ٤٦٫٩%	؜-٣٧٫٢ نقطة مئوية	[٦٫١%, ١٥٫٣%]	١٦٤	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	NO ٩٠٫٢%	S	٩٫٨% مقابل ٤٣٫٦%	؜-٣٣٫٩ نقطة مئوية	[٦٫١%, ١٥٫٣%]	١٦٤	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	YES ٩٠٫٠%	S	٩٠٫٠% مقابل ٤٣٫٦%	+٤٦٫٥ نقطة مئوية	[٨٥٫٨%, ٩٣٫٠%]	٢٦٦	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)

٥٤ نتيجة إضافية لـ ES تقع دون عتبة العرض (|delta| < 8pp or n < 120) وهي مخفية.

طريقة CI: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held. المصدر: verified_findings;2026-09-30.