6A roadmap
Held era only (٢٬٢٢٦ sessions, 2010-06-06 .. 2026-08-10) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.
احتمالات محسوبة. لا توجد توصيات تداول. ما يعنيه هذا →
Current price: ٠٫٧١٤٢ · ATR14: ٠٫٠٠٢٢ · 09:30 open: ٠٫٧١٦٥
Every probability below is p_held (measured 2018-01-01 onward only), never the pooled/fit figure -- see parity/roadmap/NALEZY_PRO_WEB.md #1: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 fit era and held era, so only the held (most-recent-regime) number ships. fit_held_differs_ci95 (where present) flags a cell that moved between eras -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.
The map
Touch ladder
Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٦٫٢% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | NEAR BAND | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٧٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | NEAR BAND | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٤٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٤٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٦٣٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٦٤٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٣٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٣٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤٥٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤٥٫٣% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٦٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٧٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٣٫٨% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٦٫٣% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٦ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١٤٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٤ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١٨٫٢% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٢ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٦٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٥٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٧ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٢٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٣ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٢٫٢% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٣٢ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT |
Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | — | — | ٨٨٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | NEAR BAND | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | — | — | ٨٨٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | NEAR BAND | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | — | — | ٧٦٫٠% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | — | — | ٧٦٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | — | — | ٦٦٫٣% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | — | — | ٦٦٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | — | — | ٥٦٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | — | — | ٥٧٫٨% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | — | — | ٤٧٫٣% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | — | — | ٤٩٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | — | — | ٣٩٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | — | — | ٤١٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | — | — | ٢٦٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | — | — | ٢٩٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | — | — | ١٨٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | — | — | ٢٠٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | — | — | ٧٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | — | — | ٧٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | — | — | ٢٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | — | — | ٣٫٠% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | — | — | ٠٫٣% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | — | — | ٠٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT |
State of the day
Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.
| checkpoint | n | p5 | p10 | p25 | p50 | p75 | p90 | p95 | p99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0845 | ٢٬٢٢٥ | ٠٫٤٠ | ٠٫٤٥ | ٠٫٥٦ | ٠٫٧١ | ٠٫٩٣ | ١٫١٩ | ١٫٣٩ | ١٫٨٨ |
| 0930 | ٢٬٢٢٥ | ٠٫٤١ | ٠٫٤٧ | ٠٫٥٨ | ٠٫٧٤ | ٠٫٩٦ | ١٫٢٤ | ١٫٤٣ | ١٫٩٣ |
| 1030 | ٢٬٢٢٥ | ٠٫٤٥ | ٠٫٥١ | ٠٫٦٢ | ٠٫٨٠ | ١٫٠٦ | ١٫٣٢ | ١٫٥٥ | ٢٫١٣ |
Fade caution
| range so far | p (held) | n | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| <0.5 | ٥٦٫٠% | ٢٨٢ | |
| 0.5-0.85 | ٥٥٫٢% | ١٬٠٨٩ | |
| 0.85-1.05 | ٥٠٫٤% | ٣٨٣ | moved since 2018 |
| 1.05-1.25 | ٥٨٫٢% | ٢٠٨ | |
| >1.25 | ٥٣٫٧% | ٢١٦ |
Named levels
Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.
Midnight open (00:00 ET)
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٩٫٤% | ١٨٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٧٫٣% | ١١٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٦٧٫٥% | ١٢٣ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٤٩٫٥% | ٩٣ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٣٠٫٧% | ٧٥ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٠٫٥% | ١١٨ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٤٫٦% | ١٣٤ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٦ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١٣٫٥% | ١٢٦ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٢ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٨٫٦% | ١٠٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٧ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٢٫١% | ٤٧ | PULLS | |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٠% | ٧ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٠٫٣% | ١٧٥ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٦٨٫٤% | ٩٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٦٧٫٦% | ١٠٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٤٧٫٩% | ١١٩ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤٧٫٤% | ٩٥ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٢٨٫٦% | ١١٩ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٣٠٫٣% | ١١٩ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٤ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٤٫٠% | ١٤٦ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٧٫١% | ٨٥ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٣ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٠٫٠% | ٢٩ | SCENERY | |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٣٢ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٠% | ١٠ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) |
Prior day high
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٣٫٥% | ١٢٣ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧١٫١% | ٩٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٦١٫٥% | ٨٣ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٨٫٣% | ٨٤ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٣٨٫٣% | ٩٤ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٠٫٤% | ١١٥ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٥٫٦% | ١٦٤ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٦ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١١٫٨% | ٢٢٠ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٢ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٧٫٣% | ٢٦٠ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٧ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٢٫٣% | ١٧٣ | SCENERY | |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٠% | ١٠٥ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٩٫٣% | ١٠٣ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٧٫٥% | ٨٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٦١٫٤% | ٥٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٠٫٠% | ٥٤ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤٥٫٧% | ٤٦ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٥٫٤% | ٩٦ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٣٠٫٣% | ٦٦ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٤ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١٨٫٣% | ٩٣ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٩٫٨% | ٥١ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٣ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٣٫٩% | ٢٦ | PULLS | |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٣٢ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٠% | ١٠ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) |
Prior day low
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٥٫١% | ١٠٢ | PULLS | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٤٫٠% | ٥٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٢٫٩% | ٥٩ | PULLS | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٢٫٥% | ٥٩ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤٤٫١% | ٥٩ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٠٫٤% | ٥٧ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٣٫٠% | ٦١ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٦ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١٥٫٦% | ٧٧ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٢ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٦٫٤% | ٧٨ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٧ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٦٫٥% | ٤٦ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٠% | ١٢ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٧٫٩% | ٩٩ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٨٫٦% | ٧٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧١٫٣% | ٨٧ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥١٫٣% | ٧٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٥٢٫٣% | ٨٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٢٦٫٨% | ١٣٨ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٦٫١% | ١٥٣ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٤ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١٤٫١% | ٢٧٠ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٨٫٠% | ٢٨٧ | SCENERY | |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٣ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٢٫١% | ١٨٧ | SCENERY | |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٣٢ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٠% | ٨٠ | SCENERY |
Prior day mid
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٨٫٠% | ١١٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٩٫٢% | ٩٦ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٤٨٫٨% | ٨٠ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٦٠٫٠% | ٧٠ | PULLS | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤٦٫٦% | ٥٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٥٫٠% | ١٠٠ | PULLS | |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ١٩٫٠% | ١٢١ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٦ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١٣٫٥% | ١٧٠ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٢ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٨٫٦% | ١١٧ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٧ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٠٫٠% | ١٠٩ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٠% | ٣٣ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٣٫٥% | ١٢٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٦٨٫٥% | ٩٢ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٦٤٫١% | ٧٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٥٫٨% | ٨٦ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٣٨٫١% | ٨٤ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٢٫١% | ١٠٦ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٥٫٢% | ١٣٥ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٤ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٠٫١% | ١٩٩ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٧٫٦% | ١٣٢ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٣ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٠٫٠% | ٧٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٣٢ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٣٫٥% | ٢٩ | PULLS |
Prior settlement / close
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩١٫٧% | ١٣٢ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٤٫٤% | ٩٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٥٥٫٦% | ٦٣ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٤٥٫٧% | ٩٢ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤٢٫٣% | ٧١ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٥٫٤% | ١١٠ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٧٫٣% | ١٢١ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٦ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١٣٫٧% | ١٣٩ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٢ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٨٫٣% | ١٣٢ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٧ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ١٫٢% | ٨٥ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٠% | ٣١ | PULLS | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٨٫٧% | ١٠٦ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٥٫٠% | ٩٦ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٥٦٫٥% | ٩٢ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٤٣٫٢% | ٩٥ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤١٫٢% | ٦٨ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٦٫٢% | ١٢٧ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٦٫٤% | ١٢٩ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٤ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢١٫٣% | ١٩٢ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٦٫٧% | ١٢٠ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٣ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٤٫٨% | ٦٣ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٣٢ | ٠٫٠٠٣٣ | ٠٫٠% | ١٩ | PULLS |
18:00 ET session mid
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٩٫٥% | ٢٦٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٧٫١% | ١٥٣ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٥٨٫٦% | ١٥٢ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٦٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٩٫٠% | ١٤٤ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤١٫٩% | ٩٣ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤١٫٥% | ١١٨ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٢٦٫٠% | ١٢٣ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٧٦ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٠٫٨% | ٥٣ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٢ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٠٫٠% | ١٧ | PULLS | |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ٠٫٧١٨٧ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٢٥٫٠% | ٤ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٠٫١% | ٢٢٢ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٢ | ٧٢٫٩% | ١٧٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٦٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٦٣٫٧% | ١٦٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٦١ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٤٧٫٧% | ١٣٢ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٦ | ٤٣٫١% | ١١٦ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٨٫٤% | ١٢٥ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٩ | ٣٦٫٣% | ٩١ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٥٤ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ١١٫١% | ٥٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٧ | ٢٠٫٠% | ٢٠ | PULLS | |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ٠٫٧١٤٣ | ٠٫٠٠٢٢ | ٠٫٠% | ٢ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) |
The playbook
09:45 checkpoint
| band | p (held) | n | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALL (pooled) | ٥٠٫٤% | ٢٬١٧٨ | |
| up >0.20 | ٧٤٫٦% | ٦٣ | |
| up 0.10-0.20 | ٦٢٫٨% | ٢٤٢ | |
| up 0.05-0.10 | ٥٨٫٥% | ٣١٦ | |
| near 0 (<0.05 abs) | ٥٢٫٣% | ٩٣٠ | |
| dn 0.05-0.10 | ٣٨٫٤% | ٣٠٢ | |
| dn 0.10-0.20 | ٣٧٫٩% | ٢٦٩ | |
| dn >0.20 | ١٧٫٩% | ٥٦ |
One end by 10:30
| metric | p (held) | n |
|---|---|---|
| RTH high is final by 10:30 | ٤٠٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
| RTH low is final by 10:30 | ٣٩٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
| Both high and low final by 10:30 | ٤٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
| Low comes before high (full day) | ٤٩٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
| Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window) | ٤٩٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
Stop-fading curve
checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further
| range so far (ATR bin) | p (held) | n | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| [0,0.25) | ٧١٫٧% | ١٠٬٧٩٩ | |
| [0.25,0.5) | ٦٣٫٨% | ٥٬٧٥٦ | moved since 2018 |
| [0.5,0.75) | ٧٠٫٦% | ١٬٠٠٤ | moved since 2018 |
| [0.75,1.0) | ٦١٫٥% | ١٥٦ | moved since 2018 |
| [1.0,1.25) | ٥٨٫٦% | ٥٨ | moved since 2018 |
| [1.25,1.5) | ١٠٠٫٠% | ٨ | |
| [1.5,2.0) | ٢٧٫٣% | ١١ | |
| >=2.0 | — | ٠ |
Covers ١٠ symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.