foxalgo.io

6A roadmap

Held era only (2 226 sessions, 2010-06-06 .. 2026-08-10) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.

Probabilités mesurées. Aucun signal de trade. ce que cela signifie →

Current price: 0,7141 · ATR14: 0,0022 · 09:30 open: 0,7165

Every probability below is p_held (measured 2018-01-01 onward only), never the pooled/fit figure -- see parity/roadmap/NALEZY_PRO_WEB.md #1: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 fit era and held era, so only the held (most-recent-regime) number ships. fit_held_differs_ci95 (where present) flags a cell that moved between eras -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.

The map

Touch ladder

Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up0,71660,000186,2%2 224NEAR BANDmoved since 2018
0,05down0,71640,000187,6%2 224NEAR BAND
0,10up0,71670,000274,6%2 224LIKELYmoved since 2018
0,10down0,71630,000274,5%2 224LIKELYmoved since 2018
0,15up0,71680,000363,4%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,15down0,71620,000364,1%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,20up0,71690,000453,4%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,20down0,71610,000453,9%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,25up0,71710,000645,1%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,25down0,71590,000645,3%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,30up0,71720,000736,7%2 224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,30down0,71580,000737,5%2 224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,40up0,71740,000923,8%2 224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,40down0,71560,000926,3%2 224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,50up0,71760,001114,9%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,50down0,71540,001118,2%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,75up0,71820,00176,1%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,75down0,71480,00175,9%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,00up0,71870,00222,1%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,00down0,71430,00222,2%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,50up0,71980,00330,1%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,50down0,71320,00330,4%2 224LONG SHOT

Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up——88,7%2 224NEAR BANDmoved since 2018
0,05down——88,1%2 224NEAR BANDmoved since 2018
0,10up——76,0%2 224LIKELYmoved since 2018
0,10down——76,1%2 224LIKELYmoved since 2018
0,15up——66,3%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,15down——66,9%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,20up——56,7%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,20down——57,8%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,25up——47,3%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,25down——49,5%2 224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,30up——39,6%2 224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,30down——41,4%2 224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,40up——26,7%2 224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,40down——29,7%2 224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,50up——18,5%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,50down——20,9%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,75up——7,1%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,75down——7,7%2 224LONG SHOT
1,00up——2,5%2 224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,00down——3,0%2 224LONG SHOT
1,50up——0,3%2 224LONG SHOT
1,50down——0,6%2 224LONG SHOT

State of the day

Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.

checkpointnp5p10p25p50p75p90p95p99
08452 2250,400,450,560,710,931,191,391,88
09302 2250,410,470,580,740,961,241,431,93
10302 2250,450,510,620,801,061,321,552,13

Fade caution

range so farp (held)nera flag
<0.556,0%282
0.5-0.8555,2%1 089
0.85-1.0550,4%383moved since 2018
1.05-1.2558,2%208
>1.2553,7%216

Named levels

Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.

Midnight open (00:00 ET)

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up0,71660,000189,4%180SCENERY
0,10up0,71670,000277,3%110SCENERY
0,15up0,71680,000367,5%123SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20up0,71690,000449,5%93SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25up0,71710,000630,7%75SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30up0,71720,000730,5%118SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40up0,71740,000924,6%134SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,50up0,71760,001113,5%126PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75up0,71820,00178,6%104PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00up0,71870,00222,1%47PULLS
1,50up0,71980,00330,0%7NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
0,05down0,71640,000190,3%175SCENERY
0,10down0,71630,000268,4%98SCENERY
0,15down0,71620,000367,6%108SCENERY
0,20down0,71610,000447,9%119SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25down0,71590,000647,4%95SCENERY
0,30down0,71580,000728,6%119SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40down0,71560,000930,3%119PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50down0,71540,001124,0%146PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75down0,71480,00177,1%85PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00down0,71430,00220,0%29SCENERY
1,50down0,71320,00330,0%10NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day high

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up0,71660,000193,5%123SCENERY
0,10up0,71670,000271,1%90SCENERY
0,15up0,71680,000361,5%83SCENERY
0,20up0,71690,000458,3%84SCENERY
0,25up0,71710,000638,3%94SCENERY
0,30up0,71720,000730,4%115REPELS
0,40up0,71740,000925,6%164SCENERY
0,50up0,71760,001111,8%220REPELS
0,75up0,71820,00177,3%260SCENERYmoved since 2018
1,00up0,71870,00222,3%173SCENERY
1,50up0,71980,00330,0%105SCENERY
0,05down0,71640,000189,3%103SCENERY
0,10down0,71630,000277,5%80SCENERY
0,15down0,71620,000361,4%57SCENERY
0,20down0,71610,000450,0%54SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25down0,71590,000645,7%46SCENERY
0,30down0,71580,000735,4%96SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40down0,71560,000930,3%66PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50down0,71540,001118,3%93PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75down0,71480,00179,8%51PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00down0,71430,00223,9%26PULLS
1,50down0,71320,00330,0%10NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day low

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up0,71660,000195,1%102PULLS
0,10up0,71670,000274,0%50SCENERY
0,15up0,71680,000372,9%59PULLS
0,20up0,71690,000452,5%59SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25up0,71710,000644,1%59SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30up0,71720,000740,4%57PULLSmoved since 2018
0,40up0,71740,000923,0%61PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50up0,71760,001115,6%77PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75up0,71820,00176,4%78PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00up0,71870,00226,5%46PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50up0,71980,00330,0%12NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
0,05down0,71640,000187,9%99SCENERY
0,10down0,71630,000278,6%70SCENERY
0,15down0,71620,000371,3%87SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20down0,71610,000451,3%78SCENERY
0,25down0,71590,000652,3%88SCENERY
0,30down0,71580,000726,8%138REPELS
0,40down0,71560,000926,1%153SCENERY
0,50down0,71540,001114,1%270REPELS
0,75down0,71480,00178,0%287SCENERY
1,00down0,71430,00222,1%187SCENERY
1,50down0,71320,00330,0%80SCENERY

Prior day mid

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up0,71660,000188,0%117SCENERY
0,10up0,71670,000279,2%96SCENERY
0,15up0,71680,000348,8%80SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20up0,71690,000460,0%70PULLS
0,25up0,71710,000646,6%58SCENERY
0,30up0,71720,000745,0%100PULLS
0,40up0,71740,000919,0%121SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,50up0,71760,001113,5%170SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,75up0,71820,00178,6%117PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00up0,71870,00220,0%109PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50up0,71980,00330,0%33SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,05down0,71640,000183,5%127SCENERY
0,10down0,71630,000268,5%92SCENERY
0,15down0,71620,000364,1%78SCENERY
0,20down0,71610,000455,8%86SCENERY
0,25down0,71590,000638,1%84SCENERY
0,30down0,71580,000732,1%106SCENERY
0,40down0,71560,000925,2%135SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,50down0,71540,001120,1%199SCENERY
0,75down0,71480,00177,6%132PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00down0,71430,00220,0%74PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50down0,71320,00333,5%29PULLS

Prior settlement / close

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up0,71660,000191,7%132SCENERY
0,10up0,71670,000274,4%90SCENERY
0,15up0,71680,000355,6%63SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20up0,71690,000445,7%92SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25up0,71710,000642,3%71SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30up0,71720,000735,4%110SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40up0,71740,000927,3%121SCENERY
0,50up0,71760,001113,7%139PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75up0,71820,00178,3%132PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00up0,71870,00221,2%85PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50up0,71980,00330,0%31PULLS
0,05down0,71640,000188,7%106SCENERY
0,10down0,71630,000275,0%96SCENERY
0,15down0,71620,000356,5%92SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20down0,71610,000443,2%95SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25down0,71590,000641,2%68SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30down0,71580,000736,2%127SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40down0,71560,000926,4%129PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50down0,71540,001121,3%192PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75down0,71480,00176,7%120PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00down0,71430,00224,8%63PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50down0,71320,00330,0%19PULLS

18:00 ET session mid

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up0,71660,000189,5%267SCENERY
0,10up0,71670,000277,1%153SCENERY
0,15up0,71680,000358,6%152SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20up0,71690,000459,0%144SCENERY
0,25up0,71710,000641,9%93SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30up0,71720,000741,5%118PULLSmoved since 2018
0,40up0,71740,000926,0%123PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50up0,71760,001120,8%53PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75up0,71820,00170,0%17PULLS
1,00up0,71870,002225,0%4NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
0,05down0,71640,000190,1%222SCENERY
0,10down0,71630,000272,9%177SCENERY
0,15down0,71620,000363,7%160SCENERY
0,20down0,71610,000447,7%132SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25down0,71590,000643,1%116SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30down0,71580,000738,4%125PULLSmoved since 2018
0,40down0,71560,000936,3%91PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50down0,71540,001111,1%54PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75down0,71480,001720,0%20PULLS
1,00down0,71430,00220,0%2NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

The playbook

09:45 checkpoint

bandp (held)nera flag
ALL (pooled)50,4%2 178
up >0.2074,6%63
up 0.10-0.2062,8%242
up 0.05-0.1058,5%316
near 0 (<0.05 abs)52,3%930
dn 0.05-0.1038,4%302
dn 0.10-0.2037,9%269
dn >0.2017,9%56

One end by 10:30

metricp (held)n
RTH high is final by 10:3040,7%2 224
RTH low is final by 10:3039,4%2 224
Both high and low final by 10:304,9%2 224
Low comes before high (full day)49,4%2 224
Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window)49,4%2 224

Stop-fading curve

checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further

range so far (ATR bin)p (held)nera flag
[0,0.25)71,7%10 799
[0.25,0.5)63,8%5 756moved since 2018
[0.5,0.75)70,6%1 004moved since 2018
[0.75,1.0)61,5%156moved since 2018
[1.0,1.25)58,6%58moved since 2018
[1.25,1.5)100,0%8
[1.5,2.0)27,3%11
>=2.0—0

Covers 10 symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.