CL roadmap

Held era only (٢٬٢٢٤ sessions, 2010-06-06 .. 2026-08-13) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.

احتمالات محسوبة. لا توجد توصيات تداول. ما يعنيه هذا →

Current price: ٩٠٫٩٥ · ATR14: ١٫٨٣٧١ · 09:30 open: ٨٦٫٧٥

Every probability below is p_held (measured 2018-01-01 onward only), never the pooled/fit figure -- see parity/roadmap/NALEZY_PRO_WEB.md #1: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 fit era and held era, so only the held (most-recent-regime) number ships. fit_held_differs_ci95 (where present) flags a cell that moved between eras -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.

The map

Touch ladder

Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٨٦٫٨٤	٠٫٠٩١٩	٨٩٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	٨٦٫٦٦	٠٫٠٩١٩	٨٩٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٣	NEAR BAND	moved since 2018
٠٫١٠	up	٨٦٫٩٣	٠٫١٨٣٧	٧٩٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫١٠	down	٨٦٫٥٧	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨٠٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY	moved since 2018
٠٫١٥	up	٨٧٫٠٣	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٧٠٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	down	٨٦٫٤٧	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٧٠٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٠	up	٨٧٫١٢	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٦٢٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	٨٦٫٣٨	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٦٢٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	٨٧٫٢١	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٥٣٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٥	down	٨٦٫٢٩	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٥٤٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP	moved since 2018
٠٫٣٠	up	٨٧٫٣٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٥٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP	moved since 2018
٠٫٣٠	down	٨٦٫٢٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٧٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٤٠	up	٨٧٫٤٨	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٣٢٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	down	٨٦٫٠٢	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٣٦٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	up	٨٧٫٦٧	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٢٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
٠٫٥٠	down	٨٥٫٨٣	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٦٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٧٥	up	٨٨٫١٣	١٫٣٧٧٩	٨٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT	moved since 2018
٠٫٧٥	down	٨٥٫٣٧	١٫٣٧٧٩	١٢٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	٨٨٫٥٩	١٫٨٣٧١	٣٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT	moved since 2018
١٫٠٠	down	٨٤٫٩١	١٫٨٣٧١	٥٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	٨٩٫٥١	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٠٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	٨٣٫٩٩	٢٫٧٥٥٧	١٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT

Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	—	—	٩١٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	—	—	٩١٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٣	NEAR BAND
٠٫١٠	up	—	—	٨٢٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫١٠	down	—	—	٨٢٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	up	—	—	٧٤٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	down	—	—	٧٣٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫٢٠	up	—	—	٦٥٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	—	—	٦٦٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	—	—	٥٧٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	down	—	—	٥٧٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP	moved since 2018
٠٫٣٠	up	—	—	٤٩٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	down	—	—	٥٠٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP	moved since 2018
٠٫٤٠	up	—	—	٣٥٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH	moved since 2018
٠٫٤٠	down	—	—	٣٩٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	up	—	—	٢٥٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH	moved since 2018
٠٫٥٠	down	—	—	٢٩٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٧٥	up	—	—	١١٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	down	—	—	١٤٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	—	—	٣٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	down	—	—	٧٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	—	—	٠٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	—	—	١٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT

State of the day

Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.

checkpoint	n	p5	p10	p25	p50	p75	p90	p95	p99
0845	٢٬٢٢٣	٠٫٣٢	٠٫٣٧	٠٫٤٥	٠٫٥٨	٠٫٧٦	٠٫٩٩	١٫١٦	٢٫١٢
0930	٢٬٢٢٣	٠٫٣٥	٠٫٤١	٠٫٥٠	٠٫٦٤	٠٫٨٤	١٫٠٩	١٫٢٩	٢٫١٤
1030	٢٬٢٢٣	٠٫٣٩	٠٫٤٦	٠٫٥٧	٠٫٧٢	٠٫٩٤	١٫٢٢	١٫٤٣	٢٫٢٧

Fade caution

range so far	p (held)	n	era flag
<0.5	٥٨٫٤%	٥١٢
0.5-0.85	٥٦٫٦%	١٬١١٠
0.85-1.05	٥٢٫٩%	٢٧٦
1.05-1.25	٥٠٫٨%	١٣٢	moved since 2018
>1.25	٥٧٫٠%	١٢١

Named levels

Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.

Midnight open (00:00 ET)

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٨٦٫٨٤	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩١٫٩%	١٨٦	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٨٦٫٩٣	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨٠٫٤%	١١٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٨٧٫٠٣	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٦٨٫٥%	١١١	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٨٧٫١٢	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٦٦٫٧%	٩٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٨٧٫٢١	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٦١٫٣%	٨٠	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٨٧٫٣٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٦٫٧%	١٢٠	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٨٧٫٤٨	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٢٥٫٧%	١٠١	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٥٠	up	٨٧٫٦٧	٠٫٩١٨٦	٣١٫٢%	١٢٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٨٨٫١٣	١٫٣٧٧٩	١٧٫٤%	٩٢	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٨٨٫٥٩	١٫٨٣٧١	٤٫٩%	٤١	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٨٩٫٥١	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٠٫٠%	٨	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٨٦٫٦٦	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩٤٫٠%	١٨٤	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٨٦٫٥٧	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨٤٫٦%	١٢٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٨٦٫٤٧	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٧٠٫٩%	١١٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٨٦٫٣٨	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٦٠٫٠%	١١٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٨٦٫٢٩	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٤٤٫٤%	٩٩	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٣٠	down	٨٦٫٢٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٣٫٠%	١٢١	REPELS
٠٫٤٠	down	٨٦٫٠٢	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٣٤٫٧%	١٢٧	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٨٥٫٨٣	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٤٫٤%	١٥٦	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٨٥٫٣٧	١٫٣٧٧٩	١٣٫٧%	٩٥	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٨٤٫٩١	١٫٨٣٧١	١٢٫٥%	١٦	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٨٣٫٩٩	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٢٥٫٠%	٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day high

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٨٦٫٨٤	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩٦٫٤%	١١١	PULLS
٠٫١٠	up	٨٦٫٩٣	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨٤٫٦%	٩١	PULLS
٠٫١٥	up	٨٧٫٠٣	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٦٩٫٦%	٩٢	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٨٧٫١٢	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٦٣٫١%	١١١	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٨٧٫٢١	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٥٦٫١%	٨٢	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٨٧٫٣٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٣٧٫٨%	١١٩	REPELS
٠٫٤٠	up	٨٧٫٤٨	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٣١٫٠%	١٧٤	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٨٧٫٦٧	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٢٫١%	٢٥٣	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٨٨٫١٣	١٫٣٧٧٩	١٢٫٨%	٢٥١	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٨٨٫٥٩	١٫٨٣٧١	٢٫٧%	١٨٥	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٨٩٫٥١	٢٫٧٥٥٧	١٫٠%	١٠٣	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٨٦٫٦٦	٠٫٠٩١٩	٨٦٫٢%	١٢٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٨٦٫٥٧	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨٣٫١%	٧١	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٨٦٫٤٧	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٥٩٫٥%	٧٩	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٠	down	٨٦٫٣٨	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٦٣٫٠%	٥٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٨٦٫٢٩	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٤٧٫٢%	٥٣	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٨٦٫٢٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٣٧٫٥%	٦٤	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٨٦٫٠٢	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٣٤٫٧%	٤٩	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٨٥٫٨٣	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٧٫٧%	٦٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٨٥٫٣٧	١٫٣٧٧٩	٦٫٥%	٣١	REPELS
١٫٠٠	down	٨٤٫٩١	١٫٨٣٧١	٠٫٠%	١٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٨٣٫٩٩	٢٫٧٥٥٧	١٤٫٣%	٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day low

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٨٦٫٨٤	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩٠٫٨%	٩٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٨٦٫٩٣	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨٥٫٥%	٥٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٨٧٫٠٣	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٧٣٫٩%	٤٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٨٧٫١٢	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٦٥٫٠%	٤٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٨٧٫٢١	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٦١٫٣%	٣١	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٨٧٫٣٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٥٫٢%	٤٢	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٨٧٫٤٨	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٤٣٫٤%	٥٣	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٨٧٫٦٧	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٨٫٦%	٥٦	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٨٨٫١٣	١٫٣٧٧٩	١٥٫٠%	٤٠	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٨٨٫٥٩	١٫٨٣٧١	٤٫٤%	٢٣	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٨٩٫٥١	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٠٫٠%	٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٨٦٫٦٦	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩١٫٢%	٦٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٨٦٫٥٧	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨٦٫٣%	٨٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٨٦٫٤٧	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٧٧٫٠%	٧٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٨٦٫٣٨	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٤٨٫٣%	٨٧	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٥	down	٨٦٫٢٩	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٥٠٫٥%	١٠٧	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٨٦٫٢٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٩٫٤%	١٥٨	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٨٦٫٠٢	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٢٦٫٢%	١٨٧	REPELS
٠٫٥٠	down	٨٥٫٨٣	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٣٫٢%	٢٩٣	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٨٥٫٣٧	١٫٣٧٧٩	١٤٫٢%	٣٢٤	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٨٤٫٩١	١٫٨٣٧١	٣٫٩%	٢٣١	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٨٣٫٩٩	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٣٫٥%	٨٦	SCENERY

Prior day mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٨٦٫٨٤	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩٤٫٥%	١٤٥	PULLS
٠٫١٠	up	٨٦٫٩٣	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨٤٫٢%	٨٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٨٧٫٠٣	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٦٩٫١%	٩٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٨٧٫١٢	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٥٨٫٤%	٧٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٨٧٫٢١	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٦٢٫٠%	٧٩	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٨٧٫٣٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٥٫٥%	٧٧	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٨٧٫٤٨	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٣٢٫٤%	١٠٢	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٨٧٫٦٧	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٥٫٢%	١٣٩	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٨٨٫١٣	١٫٣٧٧٩	١٣٫٦%	١١٨	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٨٨٫٥٩	١٫٨٣٧١	٦٫٥%	٧٧	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٨٩٫٥١	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٠٫٠%	٢٢	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٨٦٫٦٦	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩٢٫٥%	١٥٩	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٨٦٫٥٧	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨١٫٠%	٨٤	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٨٦٫٤٧	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٦٢٫٤%	٨٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٨٦٫٣٨	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٥٥٫٩%	٩٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٨٦٫٢٩	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٤٥٫٩%	٩٨	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٨٦٫٢٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٥٠٫٩%	١١٠	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٨٦٫٠٢	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٣٧٫٠%	١٤٦	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٨٥٫٨٣	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٢٫٧%	١٨٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٨٥٫٣٧	١٫٣٧٧٩	١١٫٠%	١٤٥	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٨٤٫٩١	١٫٨٣٧١	٦٫٠%	٦٧	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٨٣٫٩٩	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٠٫٠%	١٦	SCENERY

Prior settlement / close

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٨٦٫٨٤	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩٤٫٨%	١٧٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٨٦٫٩٣	٠٫١٨٣٧	٧٥٫٦%	٨٦	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٨٧٫٠٣	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٧٧٫٣%	١١٠	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٠	up	٨٧٫١٢	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٧٠٫٠%	٩٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٨٧٫٢١	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٥٤٫٧%	٨٦	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٨٧٫٣٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٠٫٢%	٩٧	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٨٧٫٤٨	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٣٥٫٦%	١٠١	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٨٧٫٦٧	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٥٫٨%	١٢٠	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٨٨٫١٣	١٫٣٧٧٩	١٧٫٠%	٩٤	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٨٨٫٥٩	١٫٨٣٧١	٥٫٢%	٥٨	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٨٩٫٥١	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٠٫٠%	١٥	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٨٦٫٦٦	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩٣٫٤%	١٥١	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٨٦٫٥٧	٠٫١٨٣٧	٧٧٫٣%	١١٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٨٦٫٤٧	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٧٥٫٠%	٩٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٨٦٫٣٨	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٥٧٫٨%	١٠٢	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٨٦٫٢٩	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٥٠٫٥%	٩٣	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٨٦٫٢٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٦٫٥%	١١٤	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٨٦٫٠٢	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٢٩٫٨%	١٣١	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٨٥٫٨٣	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٦٫٢%	١٤١	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٨٥٫٣٧	١٫٣٧٧٩	٨٫٢%	١١٠	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٨٤٫٩١	١٫٨٣٧١	٤٫٦%	٤٤	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٨٣٫٩٩	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٧٫١%	١٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

18:00 ET session mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٨٦٫٨٤	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩١٫٢%	٣٠٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٨٦٫٩٣	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨١٫٨%	١٧٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٨٧٫٠٣	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٧٠٫٦%	١٤٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٨٧٫١٢	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٧٠٫٠%	١٢٠	PULLS
٠٫٢٥	up	٨٧٫٢١	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٥٥٫٤%	٩٢	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٨٧٫٣٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٦٫٢%	٧٨	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٨٧٫٤٨	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٤٤٫٤%	٨١	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٨٧٫٦٧	٠٫٩١٨٦	٢٤٫٣%	٣٧	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٨٨٫١٣	١٫٣٧٧٩	٤٠٫٠%	١٠	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٠٠	up	٨٨٫٥٩	١٫٨٣٧١	٠٫٠%	٢	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٨٦٫٦٦	٠٫٠٩١٩	٩٢٫٨%	٢٩٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٨٦٫٥٧	٠٫١٨٣٧	٨٠٫٣%	١٨٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٨٦٫٤٧	٠٫٢٧٥٦	٧١٫٦%	١٨٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٨٦٫٣٨	٠٫٣٦٧٤	٥٥٫٢%	١٦٣	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٥	down	٨٦٫٢٩	٠٫٤٥٩٣	٥٧٫٤%	١٠٨	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٨٦٫٢٠	٠٫٥٥١١	٤٧٫٥%	١٤١	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٨٦٫٠٢	٠٫٧٣٤٩	٣٧٫٣%	٦٧	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٨٥٫٨٣	٠٫٩١٨٦	٣٧٫٥%	٣٢	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٨٥٫٣٧	١٫٣٧٧٩	٧٥٫٠%	٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٠٠	down	٨٤٫٩١	١٫٨٣٧١	١٠٠٫٠%	٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٨٣٫٩٩	٢٫٧٥٥٧	٠٫٠%	١	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

The playbook

09:45 checkpoint

band	p (held)	n
ALL (pooled)	٥١٫٣%	٢٬١٥١
up >0.20	٧٨٫٦%	٩٨
up 0.10-0.20	٦٧٫٣%	٢٧٥
up 0.05-0.10	٥٦٫٠%	٣١٦
near 0 (<0.05 abs)	٥٢٫٥%	٧٥١
dn 0.05-0.10	٤٠٫٤%	٢٨٠
dn 0.10-0.20	٣٧٫٩%	٣٣٠
dn >0.20	٣١٫٧%	١٠١

One end by 10:30

metric	p (held)	n
RTH high is final by 10:30	٣٦٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٣
RTH low is final by 10:30	٣٨٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣
Both high and low final by 10:30	٣٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣
Low comes before high (full day)	٥١٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣
Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window)	٥١٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٣

Stop-fading curve

checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further

range so far (ATR bin)	p (held)	n	era flag
[0,0.25)	٧٣٫٧%	٩٬١٠٨	moved since 2018
[0.25,0.5)	٦٧٫٧%	٦٬٦٣١	moved since 2018
[0.5,0.75)	٦٥٫٤%	١٬٤٩٤
[0.75,1.0)	٧١٫٠%	٣٧٦
[1.0,1.25)	٧٣٫٩%	١١٥	moved since 2018
[1.25,1.5)	٥٥٫٦%	٣٦
[1.5,2.0)	٥٤٫٢%	٢٤
>=2.0	—	٠

Covers ١٠ symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.