YM roadmap

Held era only (٢٬٢٢٧ sessions, 2010-06-06 .. 2026-08-13) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.

احتمالات محسوبة. لا توجد توصيات تداول. ما يعنيه هذا →

Current price: ٥٢٨٢٩٫٠٠ · ATR14: ٣١٣٫٥٧ · 09:30 open: ٥٣٢٦٥٫٠٠

Every probability below is p_held (measured 2018-01-01 onward only), never the pooled/fit figure -- see parity/roadmap/NALEZY_PRO_WEB.md #1: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 fit era and held era, so only the held (most-recent-regime) number ships. fit_held_differs_ci95 (where present) flags a cell that moved between eras -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.

The map

Touch ladder

Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٥٣٢٨٠٫٦٨	١٥٫٦٨	٩١٫١%	٢٬٢٢١	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	٥٣٢٤٩٫٣٢	١٥٫٦٨	٨٩٫٣%	٢٬٢٢١	NEAR BAND
٠٫١٠	up	٥٣٢٩٦٫٣٦	٣١٫٣٦	٨٣٫٤%	٢٬٢٢١	LIKELY
٠٫١٠	down	٥٣٢٣٣٫٦٤	٣١٫٣٦	٨١٫٥%	٢٬٢٢١	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	up	٥٣٣١٢٫٠٤	٤٧٫٠٤	٧٤٫٧%	٢٬٢٢١	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	down	٥٣٢١٧٫٩٦	٤٧٫٠٤	٧٣٫٠%	٢٬٢٢١	LIKELY
٠٫٢٠	up	٥٣٣٢٧٫٧١	٦٢٫٧١	٦٥٫٨%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	٥٣٢٠٢٫٢٩	٦٢٫٧١	٦٤٫٩%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	٥٣٣٤٣٫٣٩	٧٨٫٣٩	٥٨٫٠%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	down	٥٣١٨٦٫٦١	٧٨٫٣٩	٥٧٫٩%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	up	٥٣٣٥٩٫٠٧	٩٤٫٠٧	٥٠٫٩%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	down	٥٣١٧٠٫٩٣	٩٤٫٠٧	٥٠٫٨%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٤٠	up	٥٣٣٩٠٫٤٣	١٢٥٫٤٣	٣٨٫٦%	٢٬٢٢١	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	down	٥٣١٣٩٫٥٧	١٢٥٫٤٣	٤٠٫٣%	٢٬٢٢١	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	up	٥٣٤٢١٫٧٩	١٥٦٫٧٩	٢٨٫٧%	٢٬٢٢١	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	down	٥٣١٠٨٫٢١	١٥٦٫٧٩	٣٠٫٩%	٢٬٢٢١	STRETCH
٠٫٧٥	up	٥٣٥٠٠٫١٨	٢٣٥٫١٨	١٢٫٩%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	down	٥٣٠٢٩٫٨٢	٢٣٥٫١٨	١٦٫٩%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	٥٣٥٧٨٫٥٧	٣١٣٫٥٧	٥٫٢%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	down	٥٢٩٥١٫٤٣	٣١٣٫٥٧	٨٫٦%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	٥٣٧٣٥٫٣٦	٤٧٠٫٣٦	١٫٠%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	٥٢٧٩٤٫٦٤	٤٧٠٫٣٦	٢٫١%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT

Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	—	—	٩١٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٦	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	—	—	٩١٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٦	NEAR BAND
٠٫١٠	up	—	—	٨٣٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٦	LIKELY
٠٫١٠	down	—	—	٨٢٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٦	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	up	—	—	٧٥٫١%	٢٬٢٢٦	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	down	—	—	٧٢٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٦	LIKELY
٠٫٢٠	up	—	—	٦٧٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٦	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	—	—	٦٥٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٦	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	—	—	٥٩٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٦	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	down	—	—	٥٧٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٦	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	up	—	—	٥٢٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٦	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	down	—	—	٥١٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٦	COIN FLIP
٠٫٤٠	up	—	—	٣٩٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٦	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	down	—	—	٤٠٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٦	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	up	—	—	٣٠٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٦	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	down	—	—	٣٢٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٦	STRETCH
٠٫٧٥	up	—	—	١٣٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٦	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	down	—	—	١٧٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٦	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	—	—	٥٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٦	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	down	—	—	٨٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٦	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	—	—	١٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٦	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	—	—	٢٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٦	LONG SHOT

State of the day

Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.

checkpoint	n	p5	p10	p25	p50	p75	p90	p95	p99
0845	٢٬٢٢٦	٠٫٢٥	٠٫٢٨	٠٫٣٦	٠٫٤٩	٠٫٦٨	٠٫٩٢	١٫١١	١٫٦٣
0930	٢٬٢٢٦	٠٫٢٧	٠٫٣١	٠٫٣٩	٠٫٥٣	٠٫٧٣	٠٫٩٦	١٫١٧	١٫٦٩
1030	٢٬٢٢٦	٠٫٣٤	٠٫٤٠	٠٫٥٠	٠٫٦٨	٠٫٩٠	١٫٢٣	١٫٤٨	٢٫٠٥

Fade caution

range so far	p (held)	n
<0.5	٥٥٫٤%	٩٣٨
0.5-0.85	٥٢٫٤%	٨٥٩
0.85-1.05	٥٢٫٤%	١٨٥
1.05-1.25	٥٦٫٨%	٧٤
>1.25	٥٢٫٣%	٨٨

Named levels

Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.

Midnight open (00:00 ET)

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٥٣٢٨٠٫٦٨	١٥٫٦٨	٩٤٫٦%	٢٤١	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٥٣٢٩٦٫٣٦	٣١٫٣٦	٨٣٫٧%	١٤٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٥٣٣١٢٫٠٤	٤٧٫٠٤	٧٤٫٦%	١١٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٥٣٣٢٧٫٧١	٦٢٫٧١	٧١٫٧%	٩٢	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٥٣٣٤٣٫٣٩	٧٨٫٣٩	٥٨٫١%	٨٦	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٥٣٣٥٩٫٠٧	٩٤٫٠٧	٥٧٫٧%	٩٧	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٥٣٣٩٠٫٤٣	١٢٥٫٤٣	٤٦٫٩%	٨١	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٥٣٤٢١٫٧٩	١٥٦٫٧٩	٣٩٫٦%	٩١	PULLS
٠٫٧٥	up	٥٣٥٠٠٫١٨	٢٣٥٫١٨	٢٥٫٠%	٥٦	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٥٣٥٧٨٫٥٧	٣١٣٫٥٧	٨٫٣%	٢٤	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٥٣٧٣٥٫٣٦	٤٧٠٫٣٦	٠٫٠%	٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٥٣٢٤٩٫٣٢	١٥٫٦٨	٩١٫٥%	٢٥٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٥٣٢٣٣٫٦٤	٣١٫٣٦	٨٤٫٧%	١٥٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٥٣٢١٧٫٩٦	٤٧٫٠٤	٧٢٫٣%	١٦٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٥٣٢٠٢٫٢٩	٦٢٫٧١	٦٠٫٥%	١٢٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٥٣١٨٦٫٦١	٧٨٫٣٩	٦٠٫٤%	١١١	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٥٣١٧٠٫٩٣	٩٤٫٠٧	٥٠٫٨%	١٣٢	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٥٣١٣٩٫٥٧	١٢٥٫٤٣	٤٦٫٤%	٩٧	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٥٣١٠٨٫٢١	١٥٦٫٧٩	٣٦٫٨%	٨٧	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٥٣٠٢٩٫٨٢	٢٣٥٫١٨	١٤٫٦%	٤١	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٥٢٩٥١٫٤٣	٣١٣٫٥٧	٧٫٧%	١٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٥٢٧٩٤٫٦٤	٤٧٠٫٣٦	٢٥٫٠%	٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day high

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٥٣٢٨٠٫٦٨	١٥٫٦٨	٩٤٫٨%	١١٦	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٥٣٢٩٦٫٣٦	٣١٫٣٦	٧٧٫١%	١٠٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٥٣٣١٢٫٠٤	٤٧٫٠٤	٦٨٫٤%	١١٤	REPELS
٠٫٢٠	up	٥٣٣٢٧٫٧١	٦٢٫٧١	٥٩٫٠%	١١٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٥٣٣٤٣٫٣٩	٧٨٫٣٩	٥٠٫٤%	١١٧	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٥٣٣٥٩٫٠٧	٩٤٫٠٧	٤٦٫٩%	١٤٣	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٥٣٣٩٠٫٤٣	١٢٥٫٤٣	٣٦٫٥%	١٥٩	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٥٣٤٢١٫٧٩	١٥٦٫٧٩	٢٤٫٥%	٢٤٩	REPELS
٠٫٧٥	up	٥٣٥٠٠٫١٨	٢٣٥٫١٨	١٧٫٠%	٢٥٩	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٥٣٥٧٨٫٥٧	٣١٣٫٥٧	٧٫٦%	١٥٩	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٥٣٧٣٥٫٣٦	٤٧٠٫٣٦	١٫١%	٩٣	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٥٣٢٤٩٫٣٢	١٥٫٦٨	٨٨٫٧%	١٢٤	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٥٣٢٣٣٫٦٤	٣١٫٣٦	٧٧٫٤%	٦٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٥٣٢١٧٫٩٦	٤٧٫٠٤	٦٧٫٧%	٦٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٥٣٢٠٢٫٢٩	٦٢٫٧١	٦٨٫٩%	٤٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٥٣١٨٦٫٦١	٧٨٫٣٩	٥٨٫٥%	٥٣	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٥٣١٧٠٫٩٣	٩٤٫٠٧	٤٢٫٢%	٤٥	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٥٣١٣٩٫٥٧	١٢٥٫٤٣	٢٩٫٨%	٤٧	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٥٣١٠٨٫٢١	١٥٦٫٧٩	١٩٫٢%	٥٢	REPELS
٠٫٧٥	down	٥٣٠٢٩٫٨٢	٢٣٥٫١٨	٢٢٫٢%	١٨	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٥٢٩٥١٫٤٣	٣١٣٫٥٧	١٦٫٧%	١٢	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٥٢٧٩٤٫٦٤	٤٧٠٫٣٦	٤٠٫٠%	٥	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day low

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٥٣٢٨٠٫٦٨	١٥٫٦٨	٩٥٫٠%	٨٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٥٣٢٩٦٫٣٦	٣١٫٣٦	٧٧٫٨%	٣٦	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٥٣٣١٢٫٠٤	٤٧٫٠٤	٧٢٫٧%	٣٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٥٣٣٢٧٫٧١	٦٢٫٧١	٦١٫٨%	٣٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٥٣٣٤٣٫٣٩	٧٨٫٣٩	٦٢٫٥%	٣٢	PULLS
٠٫٣٠	up	٥٣٣٥٩٫٠٧	٩٤٫٠٧	٨٨٫٠%	٢٥	PULLS
٠٫٤٠	up	٥٣٣٩٠٫٤٣	١٢٥٫٤٣	٥٠٫٠%	٣٤	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٥٣٤٢١٫٧٩	١٥٦٫٧٩	٤٢٫١%	٣٨	PULLS
٠٫٧٥	up	٥٣٥٠٠٫١٨	٢٣٥٫١٨	٣٣٫٣%	٣٠	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٥٣٥٧٨٫٥٧	٣١٣٫٥٧	١٠٫٠%	١٠	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	up	٥٣٧٣٥٫٣٦	٤٧٠٫٣٦	٢٧٫٣%	١١	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٥٣٢٤٩٫٣٢	١٥٫٦٨	٩٥٫٢%	١٠٤	PULLS
٠٫١٠	down	٥٣٢٣٣٫٦٤	٣١٫٣٦	٨١٫٨%	٨٨	PULLS	moved since 2018
٠٫١٥	down	٥٣٢١٧٫٩٦	٤٧٫٠٤	٦٧٫٩%	٨١	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٥٣٢٠٢٫٢٩	٦٢٫٧١	٦٩٫٧%	٨٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٥٣١٨٦٫٦١	٧٨٫٣٩	٥٨٫٣%	٩٦	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٥٣١٧٠٫٩٣	٩٤٫٠٧	٤٨٫٠%	١٤٨	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٥٣١٣٩٫٥٧	١٢٥٫٤٣	٣٥٫٦%	١٩١	REPELS
٠٫٥٠	down	٥٣١٠٨٫٢١	١٥٦٫٧٩	٢٨٫٤%	٣٢٤	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٥٣٠٢٩٫٨٢	٢٣٥٫١٨	١٦٫٣%	٣١٩	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٥٢٩٥١٫٤٣	٣١٣٫٥٧	٧٫٤%	٢٧١	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٥٢٧٩٤٫٦٤	٤٧٠٫٣٦	٤٫٤%	١١٤	SCENERY

Prior day mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٥٣٢٨٠٫٦٨	١٥٫٦٨	٩٣٫٢%	١٤٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٥٣٢٩٦٫٣٦	٣١٫٣٦	٨٥٫٩%	٩٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٥٣٣١٢٫٠٤	٤٧٫٠٤	٧١٫٦%	٨٨	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٥٣٣٢٧٫٧١	٦٢٫٧١	٥٨٫٣%	٨٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٥٣٣٤٣٫٣٩	٧٨٫٣٩	٦٠٫٠%	٦٠	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٥٣٣٥٩٫٠٧	٩٤٫٠٧	٥٩٫٦%	٩٤	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٥٣٣٩٠٫٤٣	١٢٥٫٤٣	٤٥٫٢%	٨٤	PULLS
٠٫٥٠	up	٥٣٤٢١٫٧٩	١٥٦٫٧٩	٣٢٫١%	١٤٠	PULLS
٠٫٧٥	up	٥٣٥٠٠٫١٨	٢٣٥٫١٨	٢٤٫٣%	٧٤	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٥٣٥٧٨٫٥٧	٣١٣٫٥٧	١٣٫٢%	٦٨	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٥٣٧٣٥٫٣٦	٤٧٠٫٣٦	٥٫٠%	٢٠	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٥٣٢٤٩٫٣٢	١٥٫٦٨	٩٠٫٣%	١٦٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٥٣٢٣٣٫٦٤	٣١٫٣٦	٨٣٫٨%	١١١	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٥٣٢١٧٫٩٦	٤٧٫٠٤	٧١٫٩%	٩٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٥٣٢٠٢٫٢٩	٦٢٫٧١	٥٩٫٥%	١١٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٥٣١٨٦٫٦١	٧٨٫٣٩	٥١٫١%	٨٨	REPELS
٠٫٣٠	down	٥٣١٧٠٫٩٣	٩٤٫٠٧	٥٢٫١%	١١٧	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٥٣١٣٩٫٥٧	١٢٥٫٤٣	٣٤٫٥%	١٣٩	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٥٣١٠٨٫٢١	١٥٦٫٧٩	٢٩٫٨%	١٧٨	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٥٣٠٢٩٫٨٢	٢٣٥٫١٨	١٣٫٦%	١٥٤	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٥٢٩٥١٫٤٣	٣١٣٫٥٧	١٠٫٩%	٦٤	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٥٢٧٩٤٫٦٤	٤٧٠٫٣٦	١٣٫٣%	١٥	SCENERY

Prior settlement / close

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٥٣٢٨٠٫٦٨	١٥٫٦٨	٩٣٫٢%	١٩٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٥٣٢٩٦٫٣٦	٣١٫٣٦	٨٨٫١%	١٣٥	PULLS
٠٫١٥	up	٥٣٣١٢٫٠٤	٤٧٫٠٤	٧٥٫٨%	٩٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٥٣٣٢٧٫٧١	٦٢٫٧١	٦٨٫٨%	٧٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٥٣٣٤٣٫٣٩	٧٨٫٣٩	٥٦٫٦%	٧٦	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٥٣٣٥٩٫٠٧	٩٤٫٠٧	٥٩٫٦%	٩٩	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٥٣٣٩٠٫٤٣	١٢٥٫٤٣	٥٤٫٦%	٧٧	PULLS
٠٫٥٠	up	٥٣٤٢١٫٧٩	١٥٦٫٧٩	٣٩٫٢%	٩٧	PULLS
٠٫٧٥	up	٥٣٥٠٠٫١٨	٢٣٥٫١٨	٢٦٫٩%	٦٧	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٥٣٥٧٨٫٥٧	٣١٣٫٥٧	٢٢٫٠%	٤١	PULLS
١٫٥٠	up	٥٣٧٣٥٫٣٦	٤٧٠٫٣٦	١٤٫٣%	١٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٥٣٢٤٩٫٣٢	١٥٫٦٨	٩٤٫٦%	١٨٥	PULLS
٠٫١٠	down	٥٣٢٣٣٫٦٤	٣١٫٣٦	٨١٫٨%	١٣٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٥٣٢١٧٫٩٦	٤٧٫٠٤	٦٧٫٩%	١٠٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٥٣٢٠٢٫٢٩	٦٢٫٧١	٧١٫٦%	١٠٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٥٣١٨٦٫٦١	٧٨٫٣٩	٥٤٫٦%	١١٩	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٥٣١٧٠٫٩٣	٩٤٫٠٧	٥٦٫١%	١٢٣	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٥٣١٣٩٫٥٧	١٢٥٫٤٣	٣٦٫٤%	١٢٩	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٥٣١٠٨٫٢١	١٥٦٫٧٩	٢٥٫٢%	١٣٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٥٣٠٢٩٫٨٢	٢٣٥٫١٨	١٩٫٠%	٧٩	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٥٢٩٥١٫٤٣	٣١٣٫٥٧	١١٫٥%	٢٦	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٥٢٧٩٤٫٦٤	٤٧٠٫٣٦	٢٧٫٣%	١١	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

18:00 ET session mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٥٣٢٨٠٫٦٨	١٥٫٦٨	٩٢٫٣%	٣٧٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٥٣٢٩٦٫٣٦	٣١٫٣٦	٨٥٫١%	٢١٤	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٥٣٣١٢٫٠٤	٤٧٫٠٤	٧٤٫٤%	١٢٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٥٣٣٢٧٫٧١	٦٢٫٧١	٧٧٫٨%	٩٠	PULLS
٠٫٢٥	up	٥٣٣٤٣٫٣٩	٧٨٫٣٩	٧٨٫٤%	٧٤	PULLS
٠٫٣٠	up	٥٣٣٥٩٫٠٧	٩٤٫٠٧	٥٨٫٠%	٦٩	PULLS
٠٫٤٠	up	٥٣٣٩٠٫٤٣	١٢٥٫٤٣	٥٤٫١%	٣٧	PULLS
٠٫٥٠	up	٥٣٤٢١٫٧٩	١٥٦٫٧٩	٤٢٫١%	١٩	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٥٣٥٠٠٫١٨	٢٣٥٫١٨	٢٨٫٦%	٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	up	٥٣٧٣٥٫٣٦	٤٧٠٫٣٦	—	٠	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٥٣٢٤٩٫٣٢	١٥٫٦٨	٩٠٫٨%	٤١٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٥٣٢٣٣٫٦٤	٣١٫٣٦	٧٨٫٨%	٢٥٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٥٣٢١٧٫٩٦	٤٧٫٠٤	٧٢٫١%	١٩٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٥٣٢٠٢٫٢٩	٦٢٫٧١	٦٥٫٠%	١٢٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٥٣١٨٦٫٦١	٧٨٫٣٩	٦٨٫٦%	٨٦	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٥٣١٧٠٫٩٣	٩٤٫٠٧	٦٠٫٩%	٦٩	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٥٣١٣٩٫٥٧	١٢٥٫٤٣	٥٦٫٨%	٤٤	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٥٣١٠٨٫٢١	١٥٦٫٧٩	١٥٫٨%	١٩	REPELS
٠٫٧٥	down	٥٣٠٢٩٫٨٢	٢٣٥٫١٨	٤٢٫٩%	٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

The playbook

09:45 checkpoint

band	p (held)	n	era flag
ALL (pooled)	٥٣٫٤%	٢٬١٤٤
up >0.20	٧٩٫٩%	٢٥٩
up 0.10-0.20	٦٥٫٥%	٣٢٥
up 0.05-0.10	٥٧٫٧%	٢٤٨
near 0 (<0.05 abs)	٥٤٫٨%	٥٠٧
dn 0.05-0.10	٣٨٫٨%	٢٥٠	moved since 2018
dn 0.10-0.20	٣٩٫٢%	٢٩١
dn >0.20	٣٥٫٦%	٢٦٤

One end by 10:30

metric	p (held)	n
RTH high is final by 10:30	٣٧٫٧%	٢٬٢٢١
RTH low is final by 10:30	٤٢٫١%	٢٬٢٢١
Both high and low final by 10:30	٤٫٢%	٢٬٢٢١
Low comes before high (full day)	٥٢٫٠%	٢٬٢٢١
Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window)	٤٩٫٥%	٢٬٢٢١

Stop-fading curve

checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further

range so far (ATR bin)	p (held)	n	era flag
[0,0.25)	٧٠٫٨%	٦٬٤٨٤
[0.25,0.5)	٦٧٫٣%	٧٬٩٨٨
[0.5,0.75)	٧٢٫٠%	٢٬٣٤٣	moved since 2018
[0.75,1.0)	٦٩٫٩%	٦٥٢
[1.0,1.25)	٦٤٫٣%	١٩٣
[1.25,1.5)	٧١٫٨%	٧١	moved since 2018
[1.5,2.0)	٩٦٫٧%	٣٠
>=2.0	٢٨٫٦%	٧

Covers ١٠ symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.