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Scenario finder — stocks

Kies een markt en vink daarna aan wat er vandaag echt gebeurde — een gap up, Azië dat de high van gisteren uitneemt, enzovoort. We tonen elke vooraf geverifieerde bevinding die past, met de gemeten rate ten opzichte van de basisrate, steekproefgrootte en betrouwbaarheidsinterval. Hier wordt niets ad hoc berekend — elke rij heeft de multiple-comparisons-verificatie van de researchpipeline al doorstaan (Bonferroni across sectors, correlated-cluster checks). Zie methodologie voor hoe dat werkt. Covers 51 symbols (ETFs, megacaps, and high-beta names).

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Top 20 findings by |delta| for SPY, matching the display filter.

als / dancallgraderate t.o.v. basisverschil95% BIn
today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's lowYES 88,3%S88,3% t.o.v. 43,0%+45,3 pp[82,3%, 92,5%]154
today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's highYES 87,9%S87,9% t.o.v. 58,6%+29,4 pp[83,6%, 91,2%]282
today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ETNO 83,0%A17,0% t.o.v. 36,6%-19,6 pp[13,1%, 21,8%]282
today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's highNO 81,8%A18,2% t.o.v. 58,6%-40,4 pp[12,9%, 25,0%]154
today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ETNO 81,8%A18,2% t.o.v. 53,2%-35,0 pp[12,9%, 25,0%]154
today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ETNO 81,8%A18,2% t.o.v. 49,3%-31,1 pp[12,9%, 25,0%]154
today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ETNO 81,6%A18,4% t.o.v. 40,0%-21,6 pp[14,3%, 23,4%]282
today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's lowNO 81,2%A18,8% t.o.v. 43,0%-24,2 pp[14,7%, 23,8%]282
today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ETYES 79,9%B79,9% t.o.v. 40,0%+39,9 pp[72,8%, 85,4%]154
the day opens with a gap up price breaks yesterday's highYES 78,5%B78,5% t.o.v. 58,6%+19,9 pp[73,3%, 82,9%]279
the day opens with a gap up price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ETNO 78,1%B21,9% t.o.v. 36,6%-14,7 pp[17,4%, 27,1%]279
today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ETYES 78,0%B78,0% t.o.v. 53,2%+24,8 pp[72,8%, 82,5%]282
yesterday's range was wide vs. its own ATR band today's range is wider than yesterday's rangeNO 77,2%B22,8% t.o.v. 48,9%-26,1 pp[16,5%, 30,5%]136

385 more findings for SPY are below the display threshold (|delta| < 8pp or n < 120) and are hidden.

CI-methode: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held (ci_lo_held/ci_hi_held columns, unchanged). Bron: stock_conditional_tables.parquet;2026-09-02.