foxalgoScenario finder — stocks
Pick a market, then check off what actually happened today — a gap up, Asia sweeping yesterday's high, and so on. We show every pre-verified finding that matches, with its measured rate against the base rate, sample size, and confidence interval. Nothing here is computed on the fly — every row already survived the research pipeline's multiple-comparisons verification (Bonferroni correction across sectors, correlated-cluster checks). See methodology for how that works. Covers 51 symbols (ETFs, megacaps, and high-beta names).
Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →
Matching findings
Top 20 findings by |delta| for SPY, matching the display filter.
| if / then | call | grade | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low | YES 88.3% | S | 88.3% vs. 43.0% | +45.3 pp | [82.3%, 92.5%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high | YES 87.9% | S | 87.9% vs. 58.6% | +29.4 pp | [83.6%, 91.2%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET | NO 83.0% | A | 17.0% vs. 36.6% | -19.6 pp | [13.1%, 21.8%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high | NO 81.8% | A | 18.2% vs. 58.6% | -40.4 pp | [12.9%, 25.0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET | NO 81.8% | A | 18.2% vs. 53.2% | -35.0 pp | [12.9%, 25.0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET | NO 81.8% | A | 18.2% vs. 49.3% | -31.1 pp | [12.9%, 25.0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET | NO 81.6% | A | 18.4% vs. 40.0% | -21.6 pp | [14.3%, 23.4%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low | NO 81.2% | A | 18.8% vs. 43.0% | -24.2 pp | [14.7%, 23.8%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET | YES 79.9% | B | 79.9% vs. 40.0% | +39.9 pp | [72.8%, 85.4%] | 154 |
| the day opens with a gap up → price breaks yesterday's high | YES 78.5% | B | 78.5% vs. 58.6% | +19.9 pp | [73.3%, 82.9%] | 279 |
| the day opens with a gap up → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET | NO 78.1% | B | 21.9% vs. 36.6% | -14.7 pp | [17.4%, 27.1%] | 279 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET | YES 78.0% | B | 78.0% vs. 53.2% | +24.8 pp | [72.8%, 82.5%] | 282 |
| yesterday's range was wide vs. its own ATR band → today's range is wider than yesterday's range | NO 77.2% | B | 22.8% vs. 48.9% | -26.1 pp | [16.5%, 30.5%] | 136 |
385 more findings for SPY are below the display threshold (|delta| < 8pp or n < 120) and are hidden.
CI method: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held (ci_lo_held/ci_hi_held columns, unchanged). Source: stock_conditional_tables.parquet;2026-09-02.