foxalgoAvalanche (AVAXUSDT)
last quote 6.3420 · as of 16:28 ET (Yahoo tick 2026-08-16T20:15:21.000Z)
Descriptive statistics, not signals — touching a level is not earning money on it. Every number on this page ships with its sample size (n) and confidence interval. See methodology.
Weekends are quieter — the odds change, so we show separate weekend numbers.
What's happening now
Regime of the day
day-width regime: not yet measured for crypto — no first-hit grid exists yet, so width_bounds.json has no tercile boundaries to compare against.
Next hour
not yet measured for this symbol's scope
Measured from the —-minute mark, next 60 minutes.
Touch ladder
Levels at ±0.25 / 0.5 ATR from the last quote, with p(touch within next 1440m, weekend).
| distance (ATR) | up level | P(touch within next 1440m, weekend) up | down level | P(touch within next 1440m, weekend) down | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 6.4060 | 25.7% | 6.2780 | 27.4% | 1,056 |
| 0.5 | 6.4700 | 6.6% | 6.2140 | 7.4% | 1,056 |
Brackets
Not measured for crypto — the first-hit grid (brackets.json) is futures-only.
Track record — wins & losses
Calibration for Avalanche
alt L1s
not yet measured
Per-sector breakdown, not per-symbol — the source data does not carry a per-symbol (e.g. ES vs NQ, or AAPL vs MSFT) calibration split, only per-sector/scope. 20-point-percentage bins (coarser than the 10pp futures/fx/stocks breakdown above) to keep per-sector cells sampled. Stocks: historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock.
Recent wins & losses (backtested reconstruction)
Backtested reconstruction from historical daily bars — NOT frozen predictions. The frozen live record starts at launch (see below). Shown chronologically, wins and losses both — no cherry-picking.
| date | level (open + 0.5 ATR) | P(touch) | result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 6.8031 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-08-07 | 6.5732 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-08-08 | 6.5696 | 32.1% | touched ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | 6.6036 | 32.1% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-08-10 | 6.5431 | 40.2% | touched ✓ |
| 2026-08-11 | 6.5519 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-08-12 | 6.4430 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-08-13 | 6.4368 | 40.2% | touched ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 6.5731 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-08-15 | 6.5930 | 32.1% | touched ✓ |
Live frozen record
Not tracked yet — the frozen live prediction record currently runs for the 6 futures markets only. See scorecard for the full picture as it grows.
Free daily map
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