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Euro FX futures (6E)

MODEL FROZEN ✓

no cached quote yet — the 15-minute cron hasn't populated KV for this symbol

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

FOXALGO / 6E CANDLESTICK
TRACKING15m DELAYED MARKET DATALAST 1.1396000385284424

6E · CURRENT SESSION · 15m

View as table
levelpriceP(touch)status
today's range so far
—
not yet cached
position in today's range
—
0% = today's low so far, 100% = today's high so far — descriptive, not a signal
change from open
—
—

Live hit rate — 6E

Live hit rate
100%
n = 2
95% confidence interval
34–100%
Wilson interval
All six markets
100%
n = 2
Vs. all markets
+0.0 pp
6E minus the combined rate, in percentage points

collecting data

By tier

TierHitnHit %
S22100.0%
A00—
B00—

See all markets →

Historical backfill, year by year

This is a rules-based backfill, not the live record — see /record for every market.

50607080901002011 stated: 83.9%2011 actual: 84.5% (+0.6 pp) -- n = 2,29520112012 stated: 84.8%2012 actual: 85.6% (+0.8 pp) -- n = 1,70620122013 stated: 84.6%2013 actual: 87.1% (+2.5 pp) -- n = 1,52620132014 stated: 84.4%2014 actual: 83.3% (-1.1 pp) -- n = 1,83420142015 stated: 84.2%2015 actual: 86.9% (+2.7 pp) -- n = 2,22120152016 stated: 84.7%2016 actual: 88.2% (+3.5 pp) -- n = 2,40220162017 stated: 84.9%2017 actual: 88.5% (+3.6 pp) -- n = 2,77820172018 stated: 85.3%2018 actual: 90.1% (+4.7 pp) -- n = 3,01420182019 stated: 85.6%2019 actual: 88.7% (+3.1 pp) -- n = 2,73120192020 stated: 85.5%2020 actual: 89.9% (+4.4 pp) -- n = 2,94320202021 stated: 85.1%2021 actual: 90.1% (+4.9 pp) -- n = 3,26720212022 stated: 85.7%2022 actual: 89.5% (+3.8 pp) -- n = 3,35120222023 stated: 85.8%2023 actual: 88.8% (+3.0 pp) -- n = 3,92620232024 stated: 86.1%2024 actual: 89.9% (+3.8 pp) -- n = 3,90120242025 stated: 86.2%2025 actual: 91.1% (+4.8 pp) -- n = 3,01920252026 stated: 86.5%2026 actual: 90.8% (+4.3 pp) -- n = 1,9582026

6E: 88.7% actual vs. 85.3% stated (+3.3 pp) across 42,872 calls

See every market on /record →

What's happening now

Regime of the day

not yet measured — need today's cached high/low, ATR and width-bounds data

Next hour

not yet measured for this symbol's scope

Touch ladder

Levels at ±0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR from the last quote, with p(touch within next 360m).

FOXALGO / 6E INSTRUMENT 01

6E · P(touch within next 360m)

0%25%50%75%100%0.250.50.7511.5distance from current price (ATR multiples)
distance (ATR)up levelP(touch within next 360m) updown levelP(touch within next 360m) downn
0.25—32.3%—30.7%8,523
0.5—9.1%—8.8%8,523
0.75—3.2%—3.1%8,523
1—1.5%—1.4%8,523
1.5—0.4%—0.4%8,523

Brackets

Not yet measured for FX brackets — the first-hit grid is futures-only.

Track record — wins & losses

Calibration for Euro FX futures

fx_futures

not yet measured

Per-sector breakdown, not per-symbol — the source data does not carry a per-symbol (e.g. ES vs NQ, or AAPL vs MSFT) calibration split, only per-sector/scope. 20-point-percentage bins (coarser than the 10pp futures/fx/stocks breakdown above) to keep per-sector cells sampled. Stocks: historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock.

Recent wins & losses (backtested reconstruction)

Backtested reconstruction from historical daily bars — NOT frozen predictions. The frozen live record starts at launch (see below). Shown chronologically, wins and losses both — no cherry-picking.

datelevel (open + 0.5 ATR)P(touch)result
2026-09-141.16199.1%not touched ✗
2026-09-151.15889.1%not touched ✗
2026-09-161.15789.1%not touched ✗
2026-09-171.15009.1%touched ✓
2026-09-181.15199.1%not touched ✗
2026-09-211.15169.1%not touched ✗
2026-09-221.15029.1%not touched ✗
2026-09-231.14839.1%not touched ✗
2026-09-241.14169.1%not touched ✗
2026-09-251.14159.1%touched ✓

Live frozen record

Not tracked yet — the frozen live prediction record currently runs for the 6 futures markets only. See scorecard for the full picture as it grows.

See all verified findings →