HTF Roadmap

For each Daily, Weekly, and Monthly period, the measured share of periods that go on to touch the previous period's high or low — not a trade success rate, a share of periods. Conditions (gap at the open, whether the previous period held or swept its own prior high/low, the previous period's range size) are computed only from COMPLETED prior periods — nothing here looks ahead into the period being scored.

In ~5.6% (daily) / 7.9% (weekly) of touch periods the level was reached or already exceeded at the open; only 1.5% / 1.3% of touch periods never traded at the level afterwards.

Much of the spread between states reflects how far the reference level sits after a directional period — these are reachability odds, not a directional edge. See methodology.

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

Where things stand right now

Where things actually stand right now — the previous day's, week's, and month's high/low, and the measured odds today's/this week's/this month's price revisits them. PDH/PDL = Prior Day High/Low, PWH/PWL = Prior Week High/Low, PMH/PML = Prior Month High/Low — the table below uses the short form.

ES

DAILY	PDH	7,838.5	78.8% (+22.0 pp vs base 56.8%, n=685)
DAILY	PDL	7,764.25	39.8% (-4.6 pp vs base 44.5%, n=1,218)
WEEKLY	PWH	7,820.25	83.3% (+19.8 pp vs base 63.6%, n=174)
WEEKLY	PWL	7,542.75	35.3% (-4.0 pp vs base 39.3%, n=272)
MONTHLY	PMH	7,632	56.3% (-13.9 pp vs base 70.2%, n=32) THIN FIT-THIN
MONTHLY	PML	7,324	32.9% (+0.2 pp vs base 32.7%, n=70)

NQ

DAILY	PDH	30,272.75	80.5% (+23.9 pp vs base 56.6%, n=698)
DAILY	PDL	29,780.5	40.4% (-3.9 pp vs base 44.3%, n=1,208)
WEEKLY	PWH	30,074	82.1% (+20.5 pp vs base 61.6%, n=173)
WEEKLY	PWL	28,313.5	35.5% (-4.8 pp vs base 40.2%, n=268)
MONTHLY	PMH	30,320	55.9% (-10.5 pp vs base 66.3%, n=34) THIN FIT-THIN
MONTHLY	PML	27,202	not enough verified data for this state

YM

DAILY	PDH	54,149	47.6% (-5.4 pp vs base 53.1%, n=1,020)
DAILY	PDL	53,715	36.6% (-9.8 pp vs base 46.3%, n=533)
WEEKLY	PWH	54,884	80.4% (+21.5 pp vs base 58.9%, n=148)
WEEKLY	PWL	52,777	40.5% (-2.4 pp vs base 42.9%, n=257)
MONTHLY	PMH	53,656	54.8% (-13.4 pp vs base 68.3%, n=31) THIN FIT-THIN
MONTHLY	PML	51,630	31.5% (+1.7 pp vs base 29.8%, n=73)

RTY

DAILY	PDH	3,076.3	37.6% (-14.7 pp vs base 52.3%, n=548) FIT-THIN
DAILY	PDL	3,052.5	43.4% (-4.5 pp vs base 47.9%, n=1,145)
WEEKLY	PWH	3,058.3	74.4% (+20.9 pp vs base 53.6%, n=133) FIT-THIN
WEEKLY	PWL	2,948.4	39.4% (-4.6 pp vs base 44.0%, n=251) FIT-THIN
MONTHLY	PMH	3,062.4	58.3% (+4.5 pp vs base 53.9%, n=48) THIN FIT-THIN
MONTHLY	PML	2,902.3	35.8% (+0.2 pp vs base 35.6%, n=67) FIT-THIN

GC

DAILY	PDH	4,509.1	35.6% (-16.2 pp vs base 51.8%, n=545)
DAILY	PDL	4,400	64.1% (+19.6 pp vs base 44.5%, n=462)
WEEKLY	PWH	4,432.3	75.7% (+21.1 pp vs base 54.7%, n=136)
WEEKLY	PWL	4,074	38.7% (-1.6 pp vs base 40.2%, n=269)
MONTHLY	PMH	4,215.5	55.8% (-2.8 pp vs base 58.6%, n=43) THIN
MONTHLY	PML	3,963	31.3% (-3.3 pp vs base 34.6%, n=67)

CL

DAILY	PDH	83.3	46.9% (-6.3 pp vs base 53.2%, n=997)
DAILY	PDL	80.09	68.3% (+22.5 pp vs base 45.9%, n=474)
WEEKLY	PWH	82.33	50.8% (-5.4 pp vs base 56.1%, n=197)
WEEKLY	PWL	74.24	69.3% (+22.8 pp vs base 46.5%, n=101)
MONTHLY	PMH	93.5	47.8% (-7.0 pp vs base 54.8%, n=46) THIN
MONTHLY	PML	67.04	not enough verified data for this state

Daily

Each row is one trading day, scored against the prior day's high/low.

Aggregate — all 6 markets

Touches the previous period's high

if the previous period…	rate vs. base	delta	n (summed)	markets
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	77.0% vs. 54.0%	+23.0 pp	3,785	6/6
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	48.2% vs. 54.0%	-5.8 pp	6,014	6/6
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	37.6% vs. 54.0%	-16.3 pp	3,218	6/6

Rate is the unweighted mean of the 6 per-market shares (not pooled across markets); n is their sum.

Touches the previous period's low

if the previous period…	rate vs. base	delta	n (summed)	markets
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	68.1% vs. 45.5%	+22.6 pp	2,814	6/6
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	41.2% vs. 45.5%	-4.3 pp	7,102	6/6
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	34.9% vs. 45.5%	-10.7 pp	3,101	6/6

Rate is the unweighted mean of the 6 per-market shares (not pooled across markets); n is their sum.

Per market

ES

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's high	64.1% vs. 56.8%	+7.3 pp	[57.5%, 70.1%]	217
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's low	40.1% vs. 44.5%	-4.4 pp	[33.8%, 46.7%]	217
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	52.0% vs. 56.8%	-4.8 pp	[48.8%, 55.1%]	949
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	49.7% vs. 44.5%	+5.3 pp	[46.6%, 52.9%]	949
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	59.8% vs. 56.8%	+3.0 pp	[56.7%, 62.7%]	1,014
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	40.4% vs. 44.5%	-4.0 pp	[37.5%, 43.5%]	1,014
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	78.8% vs. 56.8%	+22.0 pp	[75.6%, 81.7%]	685
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	20.9% vs. 44.5%	-23.6 pp	[18.0%, 24.1%]	685
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	50.0% vs. 56.8%	-6.8 pp	[46.8%, 53.1%]	953
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	53.7% vs. 44.5%	+9.3 pp	[50.5%, 56.9%]	953
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	41.0% vs. 56.8%	-15.8 pp	[36.9%, 45.1%]	542
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	57.9% vs. 44.5%	+13.5 pp	[53.7%, 62.0%]	542
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	23.1% vs. 56.8%	-33.7 pp	[19.4%, 27.2%]	450
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	68.0% vs. 44.5%	+23.6 pp	[63.5%, 72.1%]	450
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	66.3% vs. 56.8%	+9.6 pp	[63.6%, 68.9%]	1,218
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	39.8% vs. 44.5%	-4.6 pp	[37.1%, 42.6%]	1,218
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	63.7% vs. 56.8%	+6.9 pp	[59.4%, 67.7%]	512
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	34.8% vs. 44.5%	-9.7 pp	[30.8%, 39.0%]	512
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	43.9% vs. 56.8%	-12.9 pp	[39.9%, 47.9%]	595
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	41.9% vs. 44.5%	-2.6 pp	[38.0%, 45.9%]	595
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	59.6% vs. 56.8%	+2.8 pp	[56.5%, 62.6%]	970
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	40.3% vs. 44.5%	-4.1 pp	[37.3%, 43.4%]	970
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	64.9% vs. 56.8%	+8.1 pp	[61.0%, 68.5%]	615
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	53.5% vs. 44.5%	+9.1 pp	[49.5%, 57.4%]	615

NQ

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's high	55.1% vs. 56.6%	-1.5 pp	[45.3%, 64.6%]	98
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's low	45.9% vs. 44.3%	+1.6 pp	[36.4%, 55.8%]	98
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	53.8% vs. 56.6%	-2.8 pp	[50.7%, 56.9%]	968
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	51.0% vs. 44.3%	+6.7 pp	[47.9%, 54.2%]	968
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	59.2% vs. 56.6%	+2.6 pp	[56.3%, 62.1%]	1,101
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	38.2% vs. 44.3%	-6.1 pp	[35.4%, 41.1%]	1,101
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	80.5% vs. 56.6%	+23.9 pp	[77.4%, 83.3%]	698
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	20.8% vs. 44.3%	-23.5 pp	[17.9%, 23.9%]	698
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	50.1% vs. 56.6%	-6.5 pp	[46.9%, 53.3%]	940
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	52.8% vs. 44.3%	+8.5 pp	[49.6%, 55.9%]	940
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	36.7% vs. 56.6%	-19.9 pp	[32.7%, 40.9%]	529
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	60.3% vs. 44.3%	+16.0 pp	[56.1%, 64.4%]	529
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	22.0% vs. 56.6%	-34.6 pp	[18.4%, 26.1%]	446
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	65.5% vs. 44.3%	+21.2 pp	[60.9%, 69.7%]	446
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	66.4% vs. 56.6%	+9.8 pp	[63.7%, 69.0%]	1,208
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	40.4% vs. 44.3%	-3.9 pp	[37.7%, 43.2%]	1,208
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	63.7% vs. 56.6%	+7.1 pp	[59.5%, 67.8%]	513
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	35.1% vs. 44.3%	-9.2 pp	[31.1%, 39.3%]	513
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	44.6% vs. 56.6%	-12.0 pp	[40.5%, 48.7%]	565
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	41.4% vs. 44.3%	-2.9 pp	[37.4%, 45.5%]	565
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	58.9% vs. 56.6%	+2.3 pp	[55.9%, 61.8%]	1,063
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	40.9% vs. 44.3%	-3.4 pp	[38.0%, 43.9%]	1,063
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	64.8% vs. 56.6%	+8.1 pp	[60.6%, 68.7%]	539
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	54.0% vs. 44.3%	+9.7 pp	[49.8%, 58.1%]	539

YM

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's high	56.9% vs. 53.1%	+3.9 pp	[48.8%, 64.8%]	144
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's low	49.3% vs. 46.3%	+3.0 pp	[41.3%, 57.4%]	144
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	49.9% vs. 53.1%	-3.2 pp	[46.7%, 53.0%]	979
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	49.9% vs. 46.3%	+3.5 pp	[46.7%, 53.0%]	979
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	55.5% vs. 53.1%	+2.5 pp	[52.5%, 58.5%]	1,048
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	42.6% vs. 46.3%	-3.7 pp	[39.7%, 45.7%]	1,048
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	76.6% vs. 53.1%	+23.5 pp	[73.1%, 79.7%]	636
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	21.5% vs. 46.3%	-24.8 pp	[18.5%, 24.9%]	636
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	47.6% vs. 53.1%	-5.4 pp	[44.6%, 50.7%]	1,020
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	55.2% vs. 46.3%	+8.9 pp	[52.1%, 58.2%]	1,020
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	34.8% vs. 53.1%	-18.3 pp	[30.8%, 39.0%]	515
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	59.4% vs. 46.3%	+13.1 pp	[55.1%, 63.6%]	515
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	18.1% vs. 53.1%	-34.9 pp	[14.9%, 21.9%]	474
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	70.9% vs. 46.3%	+24.6 pp	[66.6%, 74.8%]	474
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	62.5% vs. 53.1%	+9.4 pp	[59.6%, 65.2%]	1,164
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	40.8% vs. 46.3%	-5.5 pp	[38.0%, 43.7%]	1,164
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	63.6% vs. 53.1%	+10.5 pp	[59.4%, 67.6%]	533
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	36.6% vs. 46.3%	-9.8 pp	[32.6%, 40.8%]	533
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	40.9% vs. 53.1%	-12.2 pp	[36.9%, 45.0%]	567
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	41.1% vs. 46.3%	-5.2 pp	[37.1%, 45.2%]	567
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	54.1% vs. 53.1%	+1.0 pp	[51.0%, 57.1%]	1,045
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	44.0% vs. 46.3%	-2.3 pp	[41.0%, 47.0%]	1,045
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	63.5% vs. 53.1%	+10.4 pp	[59.4%, 67.4%]	559
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	56.0% vs. 46.3%	+9.7 pp	[51.9%, 60.0%]	559

RTY

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's high	54.6% vs. 52.3%	+2.3 pp	[47.2%, 61.8%]	174 FIT-THIN
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's low	46.5% vs. 47.9%	-1.3 pp	[39.3%, 54.0%]	174 FIT-THIN
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	47.2% vs. 52.3%	-5.0 pp	[44.2%, 50.3%]	1,029
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	53.1% vs. 47.9%	+5.2 pp	[50.0%, 56.1%]	1,029
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	57.1% vs. 52.3%	+4.8 pp	[54.0%, 60.2%]	989
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	42.7% vs. 47.9%	-5.2 pp	[39.6%, 45.8%]	989
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	74.2% vs. 52.3%	+22.0 pp	[70.6%, 77.6%]	594
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	23.7% vs. 47.9%	-24.1 pp	[20.5%, 27.3%]	594
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	47.5% vs. 52.3%	-4.8 pp	[44.5%, 50.5%]	1,050
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	56.3% vs. 47.9%	+8.4 pp	[53.3%, 59.3%]	1,050
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	37.6% vs. 52.3%	-14.7 pp	[33.6%, 41.7%]	548 FIT-THIN
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	57.9% vs. 47.9%	+10.0 pp	[53.7%, 61.9%]	548 FIT-THIN
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	22.2% vs. 52.3%	-30.0 pp	[18.8%, 26.1%]	508 FIT-THIN
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	72.0% vs. 47.9%	+24.2 pp	[68.0%, 75.8%]	508 FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	61.2% vs. 52.3%	+8.9 pp	[58.4%, 64.0%]	1,145
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	43.4% vs. 47.9%	-4.5 pp	[40.6%, 46.3%]	1,145
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	61.6% vs. 52.3%	+9.3 pp	[57.4%, 65.6%]	539
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	34.5% vs. 47.9%	-13.3 pp	[30.6%, 38.6%]	539
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	40.0% vs. 52.3%	-12.2 pp	[35.9%, 44.3%]	522 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	43.9% vs. 47.9%	-4.0 pp	[39.7%, 48.2%]	522 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	53.3% vs. 52.3%	+1.0 pp	[50.4%, 56.2%]	1,144
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	44.8% vs. 47.9%	-3.1 pp	[41.9%, 47.6%]	1,144
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	62.2% vs. 52.3%	+9.9 pp	[58.0%, 66.2%]	526 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	58.6% vs. 47.9%	+10.7 pp	[54.3%, 62.7%]	526 FIT-THIN

GC

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's high	53.8% vs. 51.8%	+2.0 pp	[47.3%, 60.2%]	225
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's low	48.9% vs. 44.5%	+4.4 pp	[42.4%, 55.4%]	225
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	50.7% vs. 51.8%	-1.1 pp	[47.3%, 54.1%]	816
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	45.8% vs. 44.5%	+1.4 pp	[42.4%, 49.3%]	816
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	52.2% vs. 51.8%	+0.4 pp	[49.3%, 55.1%]	1,138
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	42.6% vs. 44.5%	-1.9 pp	[39.8%, 45.5%]	1,138
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	76.0% vs. 51.8%	+24.2 pp	[72.4%, 79.3%]	580
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	19.3% vs. 44.5%	-25.2 pp	[16.3%, 22.7%]	580
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	46.9% vs. 51.8%	-4.9 pp	[43.9%, 49.9%]	1,054
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	52.8% vs. 44.5%	+8.3 pp	[49.7%, 55.8%]	1,054
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	35.6% vs. 51.8%	-16.2 pp	[31.7%, 39.7%]	545
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	55.2% vs. 44.5%	+10.8 pp	[51.0%, 59.4%]	545
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	21.0% vs. 51.8%	-30.8 pp	[17.5%, 24.9%]	462
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	64.1% vs. 44.5%	+19.6 pp	[59.6%, 68.3%]	462
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	60.2% vs. 51.8%	+8.3 pp	[57.4%, 62.9%]	1,210
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	41.3% vs. 44.5%	-3.1 pp	[38.6%, 44.1%]	1,210
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	60.0% vs. 51.8%	+8.2 pp	[55.6%, 64.1%]	507
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	34.1% vs. 44.5%	-10.3 pp	[30.1%, 38.4%]	507
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	42.7% vs. 51.8%	-9.1 pp	[38.6%, 46.8%]	560
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	32.9% vs. 44.5%	-11.6 pp	[29.1%, 36.9%]	560
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	52.5% vs. 51.8%	+0.6 pp	[49.5%, 55.4%]	1,123
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	43.0% vs. 44.5%	-1.5 pp	[40.1%, 45.9%]	1,123
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	60.7% vs. 51.8%	+8.9 pp	[56.3%, 64.9%]	496
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	60.9% vs. 44.5%	+16.4 pp	[56.5%, 65.1%]	496

CL

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's high	55.4% vs. 53.2%	+2.1 pp	[48.7%, 61.8%]	215
no meaningful gap at the open	Touches the previous period's low	45.6% vs. 45.9%	-0.3 pp	[39.1%, 52.3%]	215
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	51.3% vs. 53.2%	-1.9 pp	[47.8%, 54.8%]	783
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	49.7% vs. 45.9%	+3.8 pp	[46.2%, 53.2%]	783
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	54.2% vs. 53.2%	+0.9 pp	[51.2%, 57.0%]	1,130
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	43.3% vs. 45.9%	-2.6 pp	[40.4%, 46.2%]	1,130
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	75.7% vs. 53.2%	+22.4 pp	[72.1%, 79.0%]	592
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	19.4% vs. 45.9%	-26.4 pp	[16.4%, 22.8%]	592
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	46.9% vs. 53.2%	-6.3 pp	[43.9%, 50.0%]	997
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	53.2% vs. 45.9%	+7.3 pp	[50.1%, 56.2%]	997
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	40.3% vs. 53.2%	-13.0 pp	[36.2%, 44.5%]	539
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	61.4% vs. 45.9%	+15.6 pp	[57.2%, 65.4%]	539
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	21.5% vs. 53.2%	-31.7 pp	[18.1%, 25.4%]	474
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	68.3% vs. 45.9%	+22.5 pp	[64.0%, 72.4%]	474
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	62.1% vs. 53.2%	+8.9 pp	[59.3%, 64.9%]	1,157
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	41.7% vs. 45.9%	-4.2 pp	[38.9%, 44.5%]	1,157
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	62.8% vs. 53.2%	+9.5 pp	[58.4%, 66.9%]	497
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	34.2% vs. 45.9%	-11.7 pp	[30.2%, 38.5%]	497
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	40.0% vs. 53.2%	-13.2 pp	[35.8%, 44.4%]	492
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	39.4% vs. 45.9%	-6.4 pp	[35.2%, 43.8%]	492
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	54.8% vs. 53.2%	+1.6 pp	[52.0%, 57.6%]	1,182
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	44.0% vs. 45.9%	-1.9 pp	[41.2%, 46.8%]	1,182
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	63.4% vs. 53.2%	+10.2 pp	[58.9%, 67.7%]	454
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	57.7% vs. 45.9%	+11.8 pp	[53.1%, 62.2%]	454

Weekly

Each row is one trading week, scored against the prior week's high/low.

Aggregate — all 6 markets

Touches the previous period's high

if the previous period…	rate vs. base	delta	n (summed)	markets
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	78.9% vs. 58.1%	+20.8 pp	906	6/6
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	51.6% vs. 58.1%	-6.5 pp	1,135	6/6
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	40.4% vs. 58.1%	-17.6 pp	658	6/6

Rate is the unweighted mean of the 6 per-market shares (not pooled across markets); n is their sum.

Touches the previous period's low

if the previous period…	rate vs. base	delta	n (summed)	markets
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	66.4% vs. 42.2%	+24.2 pp	546	6/6
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	38.6% vs. 42.2%	-3.6 pp	1,558	6/6
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	29.5% vs. 42.2%	-12.7 pp	595	6/6

Rate is the unweighted mean of the 6 per-market shares (not pooled across markets); n is their sum.

Per market

ES

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	56.5% vs. 63.6%	-7.0 pp	[49.5%, 63.4%]	191
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	44.0% vs. 39.3%	+4.7 pp	[37.1%, 51.1%]	191
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	68.7% vs. 63.6%	+5.2 pp	[62.6%, 74.2%]	243
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	35.0% vs. 39.3%	-4.3 pp	[29.3%, 41.2%]	243
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	83.3% vs. 63.6%	+19.8 pp	[77.1%, 88.1%]	174
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	21.8% vs. 39.3%	-17.5 pp	[16.3%, 28.6%]	174
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	56.1% vs. 63.6%	-7.5 pp	[48.5%, 63.5%]	164
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	47.6% vs. 39.3%	+8.2 pp	[40.1%, 55.2%]	164
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	43.8% vs. 63.6%	-19.8 pp	[34.9%, 53.0%]	112
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	54.5% vs. 39.3%	+15.1 pp	[45.3%, 63.4%]	112
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	27.4% vs. 63.6%	-36.2 pp	[19.0%, 37.8%]	84
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	67.9% vs. 39.3%	+28.5 pp	[57.3%, 76.9%]	84
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	71.7% vs. 63.6%	+8.1 pp	[66.1%, 76.7%]	272
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	35.3% vs. 39.3%	-4.0 pp	[29.9%, 41.1%]	272
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	72.3% vs. 63.6%	+8.8 pp	[62.6%, 80.4%]	94
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	25.5% vs. 39.3%	-13.8 pp	[17.8%, 35.2%]	94
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	50.0% vs. 63.6%	-13.6 pp	[41.7%, 58.3%]	136
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	37.5% vs. 39.3%	-1.8 pp	[29.8%, 45.9%]	136
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	64.9% vs. 63.6%	+1.3 pp	[58.1%, 71.1%]	205
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	39.0% vs. 39.3%	-0.3 pp	[32.6%, 45.9%]	205
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	78.0% vs. 63.6%	+14.4 pp	[69.3%, 84.7%]	109
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	42.2% vs. 39.3%	+2.9 pp	[33.4%, 51.6%]	109

NQ

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	54.5% vs. 61.6%	-7.0 pp	[47.4%, 61.5%]	187
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	44.9% vs. 40.2%	+4.7 pp	[38.0%, 52.1%]	187
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	66.1% vs. 61.6%	+4.6 pp	[60.1%, 71.7%]	251
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	37.0% vs. 40.2%	-3.2 pp	[31.3%, 43.2%]	251
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	82.1% vs. 61.6%	+20.5 pp	[75.7%, 87.1%]	173
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	20.8% vs. 40.2%	-19.4 pp	[15.4%, 27.5%]	173
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	51.7% vs. 61.6%	-9.8 pp	[44.3%, 59.0%]	174
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	47.7% vs. 40.2%	+7.5 pp	[40.4%, 55.1%]	174
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	43.7% vs. 61.6%	-17.9 pp	[34.5%, 53.3%]	103
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	60.2% vs. 40.2%	+20.0 pp	[50.5%, 69.1%]	103
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	22.4% vs. 61.6%	-39.2 pp	[14.8%, 32.3%]	85
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	64.7% vs. 40.2%	+24.5 pp	[54.1%, 74.0%]	85
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	69.4% vs. 61.6%	+7.8 pp	[63.6%, 74.6%]	268
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	35.5% vs. 40.2%	-4.8 pp	[30.0%, 41.3%]	268
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	74.2% vs. 61.6%	+12.7 pp	[64.7%, 81.9%]	97
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	32.0% vs. 40.2%	-8.3 pp	[23.5%, 41.8%]	97
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	51.9% vs. 61.6%	-9.7 pp	[43.5%, 60.1%]	135
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	36.3% vs. 40.2%	-3.9 pp	[28.7%, 44.7%]	135
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	62.2% vs. 61.6%	+0.6 pp	[55.6%, 68.3%]	222
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	40.5% vs. 40.2%	+0.3 pp	[34.3%, 47.1%]	222
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	74.2% vs. 61.6%	+12.6 pp	[64.5%, 82.0%]	93
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	45.2% vs. 40.2%	+4.9 pp	[35.4%, 55.3%]	93

YM

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	51.8% vs. 58.9%	-7.1 pp	[44.8%, 58.8%]	191
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	48.2% vs. 42.9%	+5.3 pp	[41.2%, 55.2%]	191
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	64.8% vs. 58.9%	+5.9 pp	[58.6%, 70.5%]	247
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	38.5% vs. 42.9%	-4.4 pp	[32.6%, 44.7%]	247
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	80.4% vs. 58.9%	+21.5 pp	[73.3%, 86.0%]	148
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	16.2% vs. 42.9%	-26.7 pp	[11.2%, 23.0%]	148
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	52.4% vs. 58.9%	-6.5 pp	[45.3%, 59.5%]	185
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	54.0% vs. 42.9%	+11.2 pp	[46.9%, 61.1%]	185
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	41.9% vs. 58.9%	-17.0 pp	[33.3%, 50.9%]	117
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	59.0% vs. 42.9%	+16.1 pp	[49.9%, 67.5%]	117
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	26.7% vs. 58.9%	-32.1 pp	[18.5%, 37.0%]	86
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	66.3% vs. 42.9%	+23.4 pp	[55.8%, 75.4%]	86
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	65.4% vs. 58.9%	+6.5 pp	[59.4%, 70.9%]	257
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	40.5% vs. 42.9%	-2.4 pp	[34.6%, 46.6%]	257
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	69.2% vs. 58.9%	+10.3 pp	[59.9%, 77.1%]	107
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	29.9% vs. 42.9%	-13.0 pp	[22.1%, 39.2%]	107
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	50.0% vs. 58.9%	-8.9 pp	[41.7%, 58.3%]	136
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	39.0% vs. 42.9%	-3.9 pp	[31.2%, 47.4%]	136
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	64.1% vs. 58.9%	+5.2 pp	[57.0%, 70.7%]	184
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	38.0% vs. 42.9%	-4.8 pp	[31.3%, 45.2%]	184
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	60.8% vs. 58.9%	+1.9 pp	[52.2%, 68.7%]	130
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	53.9% vs. 42.9%	+11.0 pp	[45.3%, 62.2%]	130

RTY

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	47.9% vs. 53.6%	-5.7 pp	[41.2%, 54.6%]	211 FIT-THIN
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	49.3% vs. 44.0%	+5.3 pp	[42.6%, 56.0%]	211 FIT-THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	57.9% vs. 53.6%	+4.3 pp	[51.4%, 64.1%]	228 FIT-THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	40.4% vs. 44.0%	-3.6 pp	[34.2%, 46.8%]	228 FIT-THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	74.4% vs. 53.6%	+20.9 pp	[66.4%, 81.1%]	133 FIT-THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	21.1% vs. 44.0%	-22.9 pp	[15.0%, 28.7%]	133 FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	46.7% vs. 53.6%	-6.9 pp	[40.0%, 53.4%]	210 FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	51.0% vs. 44.0%	+7.0 pp	[44.2%, 57.6%]	210 FIT-THIN
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	41.1% vs. 53.6%	-12.4 pp	[32.3%, 50.6%]	107 FIT-THIN
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	58.9% vs. 44.0%	+14.9 pp	[49.4%, 67.7%]	107 FIT-THIN
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	24.0% vs. 53.6%	-29.5 pp	[16.9%, 33.1%]	104 FIT-THIN
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	66.3% vs. 44.0%	+22.4 pp	[56.8%, 74.7%]	104 FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	60.6% vs. 53.6%	+7.0 pp	[54.4%, 66.4%]	251 FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	39.4% vs. 44.0%	-4.6 pp	[33.6%, 45.6%]	251 FIT-THIN
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	67.4% vs. 53.6%	+13.8 pp	[57.4%, 76.0%]	95 FIT-THIN
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	31.6% vs. 44.0%	-12.4 pp	[23.1%, 41.5%]	95 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	46.0% vs. 53.6%	-7.6 pp	[37.0%, 55.2%]	111 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	33.3% vs. 44.0%	-10.7 pp	[25.3%, 42.5%]	111 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	55.2% vs. 53.6%	+1.6 pp	[48.7%, 61.4%]	232 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	42.7% vs. 44.0%	-1.3 pp	[36.5%, 49.1%]	232 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	57.9% vs. 53.6%	+4.4 pp	[48.5%, 66.9%]	107 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	57.9% vs. 44.0%	+13.9 pp	[48.5%, 66.9%]	107 FIT-THIN

GC

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	49.5% vs. 54.7%	-5.2 pp	[42.4%, 56.5%]	188
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	45.2% vs. 40.2%	+5.0 pp	[38.3%, 52.4%]	188
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	59.0% vs. 54.7%	+4.3 pp	[52.8%, 65.0%]	244
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	34.4% vs. 40.2%	-5.8 pp	[28.8%, 40.6%]	244
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	75.7% vs. 54.7%	+21.1 pp	[67.9%, 82.2%]	136
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	17.6% vs. 40.2%	-22.6 pp	[12.2%, 24.9%]	136
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	51.7% vs. 54.7%	-3.0 pp	[44.9%, 58.5%]	205
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	45.4% vs. 40.2%	+5.1 pp	[38.7%, 52.2%]	205
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	33.9% vs. 54.7%	-20.7 pp	[25.7%, 43.3%]	109
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	58.7% vs. 40.2%	+18.5 pp	[49.3%, 67.5%]	109
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	22.1% vs. 54.7%	-32.6 pp	[14.6%, 31.9%]	86
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	64.0% vs. 40.2%	+23.7 pp	[53.4%, 73.3%]	86
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	61.0% vs. 54.7%	+6.3 pp	[55.0%, 66.6%]	269
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	38.7% vs. 40.2%	-1.6 pp	[33.0%, 44.6%]	269
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	66.3% vs. 54.7%	+11.7 pp	[56.3%, 75.0%]	95
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	23.2% vs. 40.2%	-17.1 pp	[15.8%, 32.6%]	95
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	41.7% vs. 54.7%	-12.9 pp	[33.5%, 50.4%]	127
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	35.4% vs. 40.2%	-4.8 pp	[27.6%, 44.1%]	127
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	58.7% vs. 54.7%	+4.1 pp	[52.2%, 65.0%]	223
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	39.0% vs. 40.2%	-1.2 pp	[32.9%, 45.5%]	223
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	62.0% vs. 54.7%	+7.3 pp	[52.2%, 70.9%]	100
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	49.0% vs. 40.2%	+8.8 pp	[39.4%, 58.6%]	100

CL

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	47.9% vs. 56.1%	-8.2 pp	[41.0%, 54.9%]	194
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	53.6% vs. 46.5%	+7.1 pp	[46.6%, 60.5%]	194
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	63.1% vs. 56.1%	+7.0 pp	[56.8%, 68.9%]	241
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	40.7% vs. 46.5%	-5.9 pp	[34.7%, 47.0%]	241
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	77.5% vs. 56.1%	+21.3 pp	[69.9%, 83.6%]	142
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	29.6% vs. 46.5%	-17.0 pp	[22.7%, 37.5%]	142
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	50.8% vs. 56.1%	-5.4 pp	[43.8%, 57.7%]	197
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	51.3% vs. 46.5%	+4.7 pp	[44.3%, 58.2%]	197
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	38.2% vs. 56.1%	-17.9 pp	[29.6%, 47.5%]	110
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	60.0% vs. 46.5%	+13.4 pp	[50.7%, 68.7%]	110
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	24.8% vs. 56.1%	-31.4 pp	[17.4%, 34.0%]	101
the previous period closed below the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	69.3% vs. 46.5%	+22.8 pp	[59.7%, 77.5%]	101
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	67.2% vs. 56.1%	+11.1 pp	[61.1%, 72.8%]	241
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	42.3% vs. 46.5%	-4.2 pp	[36.3%, 48.6%]	241
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's high	60.8% vs. 56.1%	+4.6 pp	[51.3%, 69.5%]	107
the previous period poked below the prior period's low but closed back above it	Touches the previous period's low	34.6% vs. 46.5%	-12.0 pp	[26.2%, 44.0%]	107
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	44.1% vs. 56.1%	-12.1 pp	[35.4%, 53.1%]	118
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	42.4% vs. 46.5%	-4.2 pp	[33.8%, 51.4%]	118
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	55.2% vs. 56.1%	-0.9 pp	[48.7%, 61.4%]	232
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	47.4% vs. 46.5%	+0.9 pp	[41.1%, 53.8%]	232
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's high	72.7% vs. 56.1%	+16.6 pp	[63.2%, 80.5%]	99
the previous period's range was narrow	Touches the previous period's low	49.5% vs. 46.5%	+3.0 pp	[39.9%, 59.2%]	99

Monthly

Each row is one calendar month, scored against the prior month's high/low. Small sample — per-symbol rows only, no aggregate headline.

Per market

ES

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	65.8% vs. 70.2%	-4.3 pp	[50.5%, 78.4%]	41 THIN
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	36.6% vs. 32.7%	+3.9 pp	[23.6%, 51.9%]	41 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	68.6% vs. 70.2%	-1.6 pp	[55.0%, 79.7%]	51 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	31.4% vs. 32.7%	-1.3 pp	[20.3%, 45.0%]	51 THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	85.1% vs. 70.2%	+14.9 pp	[72.3%, 92.6%]	47 THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	23.4% vs. 32.7%	-9.3 pp	[13.6%, 37.2%]	47 THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	56.3% vs. 70.2%	-13.9 pp	[39.3%, 71.8%]	32 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	31.3% vs. 32.7%	-1.4 pp	[17.9%, 48.6%]	32 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	77.1% vs. 70.2%	+7.0 pp	[66.0%, 85.4%]	70
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	32.9% vs. 32.7%	+0.2 pp	[23.0%, 44.5%]	70
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	54.0% vs. 70.2%	-16.1 pp	[38.4%, 69.0%]	37 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	32.4% vs. 32.7%	-0.3 pp	[19.6%, 48.5%]	37 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	86.3% vs. 70.2%	+16.1 pp	[74.3%, 93.2%]	51 THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	27.4% vs. 32.7%	-5.2 pp	[17.1%, 41.0%]	51 THIN

NQ

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	69.8% vs. 66.3%	+3.4 pp	[54.9%, 81.4%]	43 THIN
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	39.5% vs. 39.4%	+0.1 pp	[26.4%, 54.4%]	43 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	61.4% vs. 66.3%	-4.9 pp	[48.4%, 72.9%]	57 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	40.4% vs. 39.4%	+0.9 pp	[28.6%, 53.3%]	57 THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	86.0% vs. 66.3%	+19.7 pp	[72.7%, 93.4%]	43 THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	20.9% vs. 39.4%	-18.5 pp	[11.4%, 35.2%]	43 THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	55.9% vs. 66.3%	-10.5 pp	[39.5%, 71.1%]	34 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	44.1% vs. 39.4%	+4.7 pp	[28.9%, 60.5%]	34 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	74.6% vs. 66.3%	+8.3 pp	[62.7%, 83.7%]	63
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	36.5% vs. 39.4%	-2.9 pp	[25.7%, 48.9%]	63
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	58.1% vs. 66.3%	-8.2 pp	[43.3%, 71.6%]	43 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	41.9% vs. 39.4%	+2.4 pp	[28.4%, 56.7%]	43 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	79.1% vs. 66.3%	+12.7 pp	[64.8%, 88.6%]	43 THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	30.2% vs. 39.4%	-9.2 pp	[18.6%, 45.1%]	43 THIN

YM

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	66.0% vs. 68.3%	-2.3 pp	[52.1%, 77.6%]	50 THIN
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	30.0% vs. 29.8%	+0.2 pp	[19.1%, 43.8%]	50 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	71.4% vs. 68.3%	+3.2 pp	[57.6%, 82.2%]	49 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	30.6% vs. 29.8%	+0.8 pp	[19.5%, 44.5%]	49 THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	82.5% vs. 68.3%	+14.2 pp	[68.0%, 91.3%]	40 THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	20.0% vs. 29.8%	-9.8 pp	[10.5%, 34.8%]	40 THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	63.6% vs. 68.3%	-4.6 pp	[46.6%, 77.8%]	33 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	30.3% vs. 29.8%	+0.5 pp	[17.4%, 47.3%]	33 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's high	54.8% vs. 68.3%	-13.4 pp	[37.8%, 70.8%]	31 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period poked above the prior period's high but closed back below it	Touches the previous period's low	41.9% vs. 29.8%	+12.1 pp	[26.4%, 59.2%]	31 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	72.6% vs. 68.3%	+4.3 pp	[61.4%, 81.5%]	73
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	31.5% vs. 29.8%	+1.7 pp	[22.0%, 42.9%]	73
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	59.0% vs. 68.3%	-9.3 pp	[43.4%, 72.9%]	39 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	25.6% vs. 29.8%	-4.2 pp	[14.6%, 41.1%]	39 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	77.8% vs. 68.3%	+9.5 pp	[63.7%, 87.5%]	45 THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	28.9% vs. 29.8%	-0.9 pp	[17.7%, 43.4%]	45 THIN

RTY

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	56.5% vs. 53.9%	+2.7 pp	[42.3%, 69.8%]	46 THIN FIT-THIN
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	26.1% vs. 35.6%	-9.5 pp	[15.6%, 40.3%]	46 THIN FIT-THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	44.9% vs. 53.9%	-8.9 pp	[31.9%, 58.7%]	49 THIN FIT-THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	44.9% vs. 35.6%	+9.3 pp	[31.9%, 58.7%]	49 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	61.3% vs. 53.9%	+7.4 pp	[43.8%, 76.3%]	31 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	29.0% vs. 35.6%	-6.5 pp	[16.1%, 46.6%]	31 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	58.3% vs. 53.9%	+4.5 pp	[44.3%, 71.2%]	48 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	31.3% vs. 35.6%	-4.3 pp	[19.9%, 45.3%]	48 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	56.7% vs. 53.9%	+2.9 pp	[44.8%, 67.9%]	67 FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	35.8% vs. 35.6%	+0.2 pp	[25.4%, 47.8%]	67 FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	60.4% vs. 53.9%	+6.5 pp	[46.9%, 72.4%]	53 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	32.1% vs. 35.6%	-3.5 pp	[21.1%, 45.5%]	53 THIN FIT-THIN

GC

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	50.0% vs. 58.6%	-8.7 pp	[35.5%, 64.5%]	42 THIN
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	45.2% vs. 34.6%	+10.6 pp	[31.2%, 60.0%]	42 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	63.8% vs. 58.6%	+5.1 pp	[50.9%, 75.0%]	58 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	29.3% vs. 34.6%	-5.3 pp	[19.2%, 42.0%]	58 THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	79.0% vs. 58.6%	+20.3 pp	[63.6%, 88.9%]	38 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	13.2% vs. 34.6%	-21.5 pp	[5.8%, 27.3%]	38 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	55.8% vs. 58.6%	-2.8 pp	[41.1%, 69.6%]	43 THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	51.2% vs. 34.6%	+16.6 pp	[36.8%, 65.4%]	43 THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	65.7% vs. 58.6%	+7.0 pp	[53.7%, 75.9%]	67
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	31.3% vs. 34.6%	-3.3 pp	[21.5%, 43.2%]	67
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	61.1% vs. 58.6%	+2.5 pp	[44.9%, 75.2%]	36 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	19.4% vs. 34.6%	-15.2 pp	[9.8%, 35.0%]	36 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	50.0% vs. 58.6%	-8.7 pp	[36.9%, 63.1%]	52 THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	46.1% vs. 34.6%	+11.5 pp	[33.3%, 59.5%]	52 THIN

CL

if the previous period…	then…	rate vs. base	delta	95% CI	n (held)
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's high	51.4% vs. 54.8%	-3.5 pp	[35.9%, 66.5%]	37 THIN
opened with a gap down	Touches the previous period's low	48.6% vs. 45.2%	+3.5 pp	[33.5%, 64.1%]	37 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's high	52.5% vs. 54.8%	-2.3 pp	[40.0%, 64.7%]	59 THIN
opened with a gap up	Touches the previous period's low	45.8% vs. 45.2%	+0.6 pp	[33.7%, 58.3%]	59 THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	80.0% vs. 54.8%	+25.2 pp	[64.1%, 90.0%]	35 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period closed above the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	25.7% vs. 45.2%	-19.5 pp	[14.2%, 42.1%]	35 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's high	47.8% vs. 54.8%	-7.0 pp	[34.1%, 61.9%]	46 THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's high	Touches the previous period's low	50.0% vs. 45.2%	+4.8 pp	[36.1%, 63.9%]	46 THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's high	61.4% vs. 54.8%	+6.6 pp	[48.4%, 72.9%]	57 THIN
the previous period never reached the prior period's low	Touches the previous period's low	42.1% vs. 45.2%	-3.1 pp	[30.2%, 55.0%]	57 THIN
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's high	48.6% vs. 54.8%	-6.2 pp	[33.0%, 64.4%]	35 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was wide	Touches the previous period's low	40.0% vs. 45.2%	-5.2 pp	[25.6%, 56.4%]	35 THIN FIT-THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's high	61.2% vs. 54.8%	+6.4 pp	[47.3%, 73.6%]	49 THIN
the previous period's range was middle (average)	Touches the previous period's low	44.9% vs. 45.2%	-0.3 pp	[31.9%, 58.7%]	49 THIN