foxalgoSolana (SOLUSDT)
last quote 105.13 · as of 23:56 ET (Yahoo tick 2026-10-20T03:45:30.000Z)
Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →
Weekends are quieter — the odds change, so we show separate weekend numbers.
SOLUSDT · CURRENT SESSION · 15m
View as table
| level | price | P(touch) | status |
|---|---|---|---|
| +0.25 ATR | 106.32 | 63.1% | not touched yet |
| -0.25 ATR | 103.94 | 62.5% | ✓ touched |
| +0.50 ATR | 107.51 | 37.3% | not touched yet |
| -0.50 ATR | 102.75 | 36.2% | not touched yet |
| +0.75 ATR | 108.70 | 20.7% | not touched yet |
| -0.75 ATR | 101.56 | 19.6% | not touched yet |
Live hit rate — SOLUSDT
By tier
| Tier | Hit | n | Hit % |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 37 | 38 | 97.4% |
| A | 0 | 0 | — |
| B | 0 | 0 | — |
Range state now
Where this market's operating range stands on each timeframe. A description, not a call.
| TF | Direction | High | Mid | Low | Size (ATR) | Position | Age (bars) | Before |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15m | ▲ | 105.46 | 105.15 | 104.84 | 1.5 | 53% | 1 | |
| 30m | ▲ | 105.46 | 105.04 | 104.62 | 1.5 | 63% | 0 | |
| 1h | ▲ | 105.69 | 105.23 | 104.76 | 1.1 | 42% | 4 | |
| 2h | ▼ | 105.29 | 104.42 | 103.55 | 1.4 | 75% | 5 | |
| 4h | ▲ | 105.89 | 104.85 | 103.80 | 1.2 | 62% | 5 |
See the range state of every market
Historical backfill, year by year
This is a rules-based backfill, not the live record — see /record for every market.
SOLUSDT: 91.3% actual vs. 88.5% stated (+2.8 pp) across 18,460 calls
What's happening now
Regime of the day
day-width regime: not yet measured for crypto — no first-hit grid exists yet, so width_bounds.json has no tercile boundaries to compare against.
Next hour
| distance (ATR) | P(touch up, next 60m) | P(touch down, next 60m) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 32.0% | 31.7% | 2,610 |
| 0.25 | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2,610 |
| 0.5 | not yet measured | not yet measured | — |
Measured from the 210-minute mark (minutes since 00:00 UTC), next 60 minutes.
Touch ladder
Levels at ±0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 ATR from the last quote, with p(touch within next 1440m, weekday).
SOLUSDT · P(touch within next 1440m, weekday)
| distance (ATR) | up level | P(touch within next 1440m, weekday) up | down level | P(touch within next 1440m, weekday) down | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 106.32 | 63.1% | 103.94 | 62.5% | 2,597 |
| 0.5 | 107.51 | 37.3% | 102.75 | 36.2% | 2,597 |
| 0.75 | 108.70 | 20.7% | 101.56 | 19.6% | 2,597 |
Brackets
Not measured for crypto — the first-hit grid (brackets.json) is futures-only.
Track record — wins & losses
Calibration for Solana
alt L1s
MAE: 1.35 pp · n = 236,491,175
Per-sector breakdown, not per-symbol — the source data does not carry a per-symbol (e.g. ES vs NQ, or AAPL vs MSFT) calibration split, only per-sector/scope. 20-point-percentage bins (coarser than the 10pp futures/fx/stocks breakdown above) to keep per-sector cells sampled. Stocks: historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock.
Recent wins & losses (backtested reconstruction)
Backtested reconstruction from historical daily bars — NOT frozen predictions. The frozen live record starts at launch (see below). Shown chronologically, wins and losses both — no cherry-picking.
| date | level (open + 0.5 ATR) | P(touch) | result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 111.73 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-10 | 111.30 | 32.1% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-11 | 112.17 | 32.1% | touched ✓ |
| 2026-10-12 | 113.34 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-13 | 107.75 | 40.2% | touched ✓ |
| 2026-10-14 | 108.96 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-15 | 106.29 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-16 | 107.63 | 40.2% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-17 | 106.54 | 32.1% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-18 | 105.64 | 32.1% | not touched ✗ |
Live frozen record
Not tracked yet — the frozen live prediction record currently runs for the 6 futures markets only. See scorecard for the full picture as it grows.