foxalgoFX touch probabilities
Major FX pairs, mid-price touch (not execution price). P(touch within the next 750 minutes) from the current bar, by ATR distance.
Descriptive statistics, not signals — touching a level is not earning money on it. Every number on this page ships with its sample size (n) and confidence interval. See methodology.
| distance (ATR) | P(touch up) | P(touch down) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 79.3% | 77.7% | 8,516 |
| 0.25 | 48.9% | 48.4% | 8,516 |
| 0.5 | 17.2% | 17.1% | 8,516 |
| 0.75 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8,516 |
| 1 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 8,516 |
| 1.5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 8,516 |
Known gaps: XAU is not present in touch_surface_fx_v1 (scopes available: fx_majors, fx_cross, all_fx, cfd_ostatni) — not yet measured.