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Brackets — what-if TP/SL

Pick a market entry time, direction, take-profit and stop-loss distance (in ATR multiples). We show which one historically got hit first — a what-if lookup, not a recommendation. Scope: index, energy, metals futures.

Descriptive statistics, not signals — touching a level is not earning money on it. Every number on this page ships with its sample size (n) and confidence interval. See methodology.

TP hit first
30.1%
n = 10,217
SL hit first
69.8%
n = 10,217
Neither by close
0.1%
expected end distance: 0.058 ATR

"First hit" resolves the case where both TP and SL are inside the same bar's range using the what-if convention documented in methodology — it is not proof of fill order, only a modeling choice applied consistently.