Brackets — what-if TP/SL
Pick a market entry time, direction, take-profit and stop-loss distance (in ATR multiples). We show which one historically got hit first — a what-if lookup, not a recommendation. Scope: index, energy, metals futures.
Descriptive statistics, not signals — touching a level is not earning money on it. Every number on this page ships with its sample size (n) and confidence interval. See methodology.
TP hit first
30.1%
SL hit first
69.8%
Neither by close
0.1%
"First hit" resolves the case where both TP and SL are inside the same bar's range using the what-if convention documented in methodology — it is not proof of fill order, only a modeling choice applied consistently.