Odds
top 100 by |delta_held|, written as plain IF/THEN statements. rate/base measured on the held-out sample (out-of-sample, not the original fit window) โ the honest number.
Descriptive statistics, not signals โ touching a level is not earning money on it. Every number on this page ships with its sample size (n) and confidence interval. See methodology.
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 95.0% vs. 35.1% | +60.0 pp | [91.1%, 97.3%] | 201 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:30am open is far above the prior session's open AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 91.8% vs. 31.7% | +60.0 pp | [86.7%, 95.1%] | 170 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZB | 95.1% vs. 35.4% | +59.6 pp | [91.2%, 97.3%] | 203 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 96.7% vs. 37.2% | +59.5 pp | [93.4%, 98.4%] | 212 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 95.9% vs. 37.1% | +58.6 pp | [92.3%, 97.8%] | 215 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 96.9% vs. 38.5% | +58.5 pp | [93.8%, 98.5%] | 228 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZB | 96.6% vs. 38.0% | +58.5 pp | [93.1%, 98.3%] | 203 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 95.5% vs. 37.2% | +58.3 pp | [91.7%, 97.6%] | 199 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZB | 91.2% vs. 33.1% | +58.0 pp | [86.5%, 94.4%] | 203 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 95.2% vs. 37.2% | +57.9 pp | [90.8%, 97.5%] | 165 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 92.2% vs. 34.4% | +57.8 pp | [87.0%, 95.4%] | 165 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 92.1% vs. 34.4% | +57.6 pp | [87.6%, 95.0%] | 212 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 94.4% vs. 37.1% | +57.2 pp | [90.4%, 96.8%] | 212 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NQ | 94.9% vs. 37.8% | +57.0 pp | [90.8%, 97.2%] | 194 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 94.7% vs. 38.1% | +56.5 pp | [90.7%, 97.0%] | 205 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 93.0% vs. 36.5% | +56.5 pp | [88.9%, 95.7%] | 228 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 88.0% vs. 31.7% | +56.1 pp | [82.1%, 92.1%] | 165 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 90.5% vs. 34.4% | +56.1 pp | [85.6%, 93.8%] | 199 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | 93.2% vs. 37.2% | +56.0 pp | [88.5%, 96.1%] | 176 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NQ | 87.2% vs. 31.6% | +55.7 pp | [81.2%, 91.5%] | 164 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 88.6% vs. 32.9% | +55.6 pp | [83.5%, 92.3%] | 201 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YM | 88.5% vs. 32.9% | +55.6 pp | [82.9%, 92.4%] | 174 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 94.6% vs. 39.0% | +55.6 pp | [90.8%, 96.9%] | 221 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UB | 95.5% vs. 40.0% | +55.6 pp | [92.0%, 97.6%] | 223 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 89.9% vs. 34.2% | +55.5 pp | [85.1%, 93.2%] | 215 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 86.2% vs. 31.6% | +54.9 pp | [80.9%, 90.2%] | 215 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 93.9% vs. 39.0% | +54.8 pp | [89.8%, 96.4%] | 211 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 86.4% vs. 31.7% | +54.5 pp | [81.2%, 90.4%] | 212 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 89.3% vs. 35.1% | +54.2 pp | [84.0%, 93.0%] | 186 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 90.3% vs. 36.1% | +54.2 pp | [85.5%, 93.6%] | 205 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 86.0% vs. 31.7% | +54.2 pp | [80.5%, 90.1%] | 199 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 88.2% vs. 34.2% | +54.0 pp | [83.4%, 91.8%] | 228 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 88.3% vs. 34.2% | +54.0 pp | [83.2%, 91.9%] | 212 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UB | 90.8% vs. 37.0% | +53.7 pp | [85.7%, 94.2%] | 183 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZB | 91.3% vs. 38.0% | +53.6 pp | [86.8%, 94.4%] | 216 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 91.9% vs. 38.5% | +53.5 pp | [87.7%, 94.8%] | 235 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UB | 90.6% vs. 37.3% | +53.3 pp | [86.1%, 93.8%] | 223 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZB | 91.5% vs. 38.0% | +53.3 pp | [86.4%, 94.8%] | 174 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NQ | 87.6% vs. 34.4% | +53.2 pp | [81.8%, 91.7%] | 169 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the London session closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKD | 84.9% vs. 32.0% | +53.2 pp | [80.4%, 88.5%] | 300 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 89.6% vs. 36.6% | +53.1 pp | [84.9%, 93.0%] | 221 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 90.2% vs. 37.2% | +52.9 pp | [84.9%, 93.8%] | 172 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 87.4% vs. 34.4% | +52.8 pp | [81.6%, 91.5%] | 172 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the London session closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIY | 80.3% vs. 28.0% | +52.8 pp | [75.4%, 84.4%] | 300 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the London session closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKD | 80.3% vs. 28.0% | +52.8 pp | [75.4%, 84.4%] | 300 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the London session closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKD | 81.9% vs. 29.8% | +52.6 pp | [77.2%, 85.9%] | 300 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 83.2% vs. 30.4% | +52.6 pp | [77.4%, 87.7%] | 201 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 85.1% vs. 32.9% | +52.5 pp | [79.1%, 89.6%] | 179 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YM | 92.3% vs. 39.8% | +52.4 pp | [87.4%, 95.3%] | 180 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the Asia session never traded back to yesterday's settlement price AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKD | 84.3% vs. 32.0% | +52.2 pp | [79.3%, 88.2%] | 257 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6E | 91.9% vs. 39.6% | +52.2 pp | [87.6%, 94.8%] | 223 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZB | 87.5% vs. 35.4% | +51.9 pp | [81.8%, 91.6%] | 174 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIY | 90.4% vs. 38.5% | +51.7 pp | [87.4%, 92.7%] | 463 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 88.2% vs. 36.6% | +51.7 pp | [83.2%, 91.9%] | 211 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZB | 86.7% vs. 35.4% | +51.6 pp | [81.5%, 90.6%] | 216 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | 84.1% vs. 32.5% | +51.5 pp | [77.5%, 89.0%] | 157 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | 84.1% vs. 32.5% | +51.5 pp | [77.5%, 89.0%] | 157 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6E | 82.3% vs. 31.1% | +51.5 pp | [76.5%, 86.9%] | 207 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 89.6% vs. 38.1% | +51.5 pp | [84.8%, 93.1%] | 211 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 83.1% vs. 31.6% | +51.4 pp | [77.5%, 87.5%] | 212 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 83.3% vs. 31.7% | +51.4 pp | [77.0%, 88.2%] | 172 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NQ | 82.8% vs. 31.6% | +51.4 pp | [76.4%, 87.8%] | 169 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the market breaks below the 9:00-10:30am candle's low by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIY | 79.6% vs. 28.0% | +51.3 pp | [74.3%, 84.0%] | 264 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London trades above the Asia session's high AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 86.4% vs. 35.1% | +51.3 pp | [80.6%, 90.7%] | 175 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 85.8% vs. 34.4% | +51.3 pp | [79.8%, 90.2%] | 174 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the Asia session never traded back to yesterday's settlement price AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKD | 81.2% vs. 29.8% | +51.2 pp | [76.0%, 85.5%] | 257 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 81.8% vs. 30.4% | +51.2 pp | [75.4%, 86.8%] | 174 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 84.0% vs. 32.9% | +50.9 pp | [78.0%, 88.5%] | 186 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKD | 89.4% vs. 38.5% | +50.8 pp | [86.3%, 91.9%] | 469 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 85.1% vs. 34.4% | +50.7 pp | [79.8%, 89.2%] | 221 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | 85.3% vs. 34.8% | +50.5 pp | [79.0%, 90.0%] | 157 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London trades below the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NQ | 88.3% vs. 37.8% | +50.4 pp | [82.9%, 92.2%] | 187 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMD | 84.2% vs. 33.7% | +50.4 pp | [77.7%, 89.0%] | 158 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 87.7% vs. 37.1% | +50.4 pp | [82.1%, 91.8%] | 177 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UB | 85.3% vs. 34.8% | +50.4 pp | [79.5%, 89.7%] | 183 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YM | 86.5% vs. 36.1% | +50.4 pp | [80.6%, 90.9%] | 171 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 86.8% vs. 36.5% | +50.4 pp | [81.9%, 90.5%] | 235 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YM | 86.5% vs. 36.1% | +50.3 pp | [80.7%, 90.8%] | 178 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 86.3% vs. 36.1% | +50.3 pp | [81.0%, 90.3%] | 211 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIY | 80.2% vs. 30.0% | +50.2 pp | [75.5%, 84.2%] | 322 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZB | 83.5% vs. 33.1% | +50.2 pp | [77.3%, 88.3%] | 174 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YM | 83.0% vs. 32.9% | +50.1 pp | [76.7%, 87.9%] | 171 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the market breaks above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 82.0% vs. 31.7% | +50.1 pp | [74.8%, 87.5%] | 138 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London trades above the Asia session's high AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 87.4% vs. 37.2% | +50.1 pp | [82.0%, 91.3%] | 197 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NQ | 83.9% vs. 34.4% | +50.0 pp | [77.4%, 88.7%] | 160 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 80.1% vs. 30.4% | +50.0 pp | [73.7%, 85.3%] | 179 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the 9:00-10:30am candle closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 84.3% vs. 34.2% | +49.9 pp | [78.4%, 88.9%] | 183 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKD | 81.8% vs. 32.0% | +49.9 pp | [77.4%, 85.4%] | 356 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIY | 81.6% vs. 31.9% | +49.9 pp | [77.3%, 85.3%] | 358 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | 84.7% vs. 34.8% | +49.8 pp | [78.7%, 89.3%] | 176 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZS | 91.7% vs. 41.9% | +49.8 pp | [87.4%, 94.7%] | 228 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NQ | 80.7% vs. 31.6% | +49.8 pp | [73.9%, 86.1%] | 160 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the market breaks below the 9:00-10:30am candle's low by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKD | 78.0% vs. 28.0% | +49.7 pp | [72.7%, 82.6%] | 268 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CL | 81.1% vs. 31.1% | +49.7 pp | [74.8%, 86.1%] | 183 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZN | 83.8% vs. 34.2% | +49.7 pp | [78.6%, 88.0%] | 235 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UB | 89.2% vs. 40.0% | +49.7 pp | [84.5%, 92.7%] | 222 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 83.5% vs. 33.8% | +49.7 pp | [77.8%, 88.0%] | 205 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YM | 82.6% vs. 32.9% | +49.7 pp | [76.3%, 87.5%] | 178 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high THEN price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZT | 84.8% vs. 35.1% | +49.7 pp | [78.4%, 89.5%] | 163 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
IF the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low THEN price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET
| market | rate vs. base | delta | 95% CI | n | badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZF | 84.0% vs. 34.4% | +49.5 pp | [78.4%, 88.3%] | 211 | CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets) |
CI method: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held.