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Today's highest-confidence market calls

Direction, session and probability — published before the move, then graded in public. Only S, A and B calls (77%+) are shown by default.

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As of 00:55 ET

32 markets · 12 language editions · one published grading rule.

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S · GC · 15 min
UP 88%
Entry reference: 4474.60009765625
Published 23:15
Open setup →
S · GC · 45 min
UP 87%
Entry reference: 4474.60009765625
Published 23:15
Open setup →
S · GC · 60 min
UP 87%
Entry reference: 4466
Published 23:00
Open setup →

4 high-confidence calls live · updated automatically · calls cannot be edited

LIVE SINCE LAUNCH
91.8%
78 hit · 7 miss
Early live sample — every result stays public.
HISTORICAL RULES TEST
89.2%
319,312 calls
Rules-based backfill, not the live record.
MODEL STATUS
Frozen 2017
103 months out of sample · fit on data through 2017, never re-fit

Historical call results are a rules-based backfill. New live calls are timestamped and graded from launch. Market cards use data delayed by approximately 15 minutes.

Published first. Graded afterward. Never quietly deleted.

Every live call receives a timestamp, a fixed rule and a public outcome. Hits and misses stay visible.

See every graded call →

Hit rate measures whether the published boundary was reached. It does not include position sizing, costs or payoff ratio.

How it works

1. Find

The engine scans every tracked market for a setup that matches the published trigger rule.

2. Publish

The call is published with its odds and a timestamp, before the outcome is known.

3. Grade

The setup resolves on its own rule. Hit or miss, the result stays public.

The record, year by year

Stated odds versus what actually happened, one bar pair per year since the rule was set.

50607080901002011 stated: 86.1%2011 actual: 87.8% (+1.8 pp) -- n = 16,84620112012 stated: 87.1%2012 actual: 88.4% (+1.3 pp) -- n = 14,07120122013 stated: 87.6%2013 actual: 85.6% (-2.0 pp) -- n = 13,98820132014 stated: 87.3%2014 actual: 87.3% (-0.0 pp) -- n = 14,07620142015 stated: 87.6%2015 actual: 88.3% (+0.7 pp) -- n = 13,98820152016 stated: 87.5%2016 actual: 88.6% (+1.1 pp) -- n = 16,76420162017 stated: 87.5%2017 actual: 87.7% (+0.1 pp) -- n = 16,50620172018 stated: 87.8%2018 actual: 90.0% (+2.2 pp) -- n = 22,42720182019 stated: 88.1%2019 actual: 89.2% (+1.1 pp) -- n = 19,45920192020 stated: 87.9%2020 actual: 90.2% (+2.3 pp) -- n = 23,45920202021 stated: 88.6%2021 actual: 90.2% (+1.5 pp) -- n = 24,52920212022 stated: 88.9%2022 actual: 89.7% (+0.8 pp) -- n = 26,15620222023 stated: 88.8%2023 actual: 89.8% (+1.0 pp) -- n = 26,23520232024 stated: 88.7%2024 actual: 89.8% (+1.0 pp) -- n = 27,92820242025 stated: 88.8%2025 actual: 91.0% (+2.2 pp) -- n = 26,90220252026 stated: 89.0%2026 actual: 92.0% (+3.0 pp) -- n = 15,9782026

The worst year missed its own claim by 2.3 points (2020). 16 years, 319,312 calls. 2026 is still in progress and is not ranked.

2043652018-012026-07
PredictedRealized

Fit through 2017, frozen, then scored on every month since — 103 months out of sample.

Where can price reach today?

Live levels, session status and today's bias — the same board /ranges reads from, one tabbed panel.

FOXALGO / TODAY
SNAPSHOT 00:55 ET

WHERE can price reach · WHEN before this session ends · WHICH WAY, if any

The record, both ways.

Every result the rule produced—and every research idea that did not survive testing.

Track Record

Open the Track Record →

Graveyard

Open the Graveyard →

Roadmaps

Before the session: today's levels, touch odds and named scenarios for 10 futures markets.

See today's roadmaps →

Stock Pulse

Stock gaps, ranked by the probability they stay open or return to yesterday's close.

Open Stock Pulse →

Scenario Finder

Find the stock or crypto conditions that move probability at least 8 percentage points from base.

Open Scenario Finder →

Try the terminal

The full candlestick chart behind the map — live Binance data, tabbed across all 8 headline markets.

FOXALGO / MARKET INSTRUMENT 01B

ES · CURRENT SESSION · 15m

TRACKING15m DELAYED MARKET DATALAST —UPDATED 00:55 ET
View as table
levelpriceP(touch)status

Explore today's markets

Quote and position within today's realized range for the main markets — descriptive, not a signal.

Main markets

marketlast quoteposition in rangeregime
E-mini S&P 500not cached yet—not cached yet
E-mini Nasdaq 100not cached yet—not cached yet
Gold4476.753%typical
WTI Crude90.7730%wide
EUR/USD1.160290%narrow
Bitcoin77565.0467%not measured
S&P 500 ETF (SPY)765.1673%not measured
Ethereum2397.9770%not measured

Index futures share one sector-level surface — identical regime readings are by construction, not a bug. Weekends are quieter — the odds change, so we show separate weekend numbers.

View all markets →

System status
28 / 32 tracking
Model status
MODEL FROZEN · since 2017
Out-of-sample
103 months public scoring
Last update
QUOTE 00:45 ET
Calibration
80–90% → 86.2%

Analytical tools

Does this gap fill?

See how often an overnight gap on a stock has closed historically.

Open Stock Pulse →

Does London set the high?

Compare which trading session most often makes the day's high or low.

Open sessions →

Is my stop in a stupid place?

Pick entry, target and stop. See which side price historically hit first.

Open brackets →

How far does price actually travel?

Touch probabilities by distance, market and time of day.

Open the map →

Does yesterday's close mean anything?

Measured odds of revisiting the prior day, week and month's high or low.

Open the roadmap →

ZOOM OUT

Higher-timeframe roadmap.

Previous day. Previous week. Previous month. See the measured odds those reference levels get revisited.

DAY
PDH 78.8%
ES · odds of revisit
WEEK
PWH 83.3%
ES · odds of revisit
MONTH
PMH 56.3%
ES · odds of revisit

Explore the HTF Roadmap →

We froze the model in 2017. Then we watched what happened.

Fit on data through 2017, scored on every session since — the predicted line was fixed once and never re-fit.

market sessions
13,278
6 futures markets × trading days since 2018
out of sample
103 months
every complete month since 2018
calibration
80–90% → 86.2%
predicted → realized
FOXALGO / MARKET INSTRUMENT 02
FUTURESn = 164,920,140MAE 0.84 pp

CALIBRATION / PREDICTED VS REALIZED

00252550507575100100perfect calibrationpredicted %realized %
View as table
bucketpredictedrealizederrorn
0-10%3.4%3.5%+0.0 pp56,042,860
10-20%15.1%15.0%-0.1 pp20,652,607
20-30%24.8%24.8%+0.0 pp16,450,897
30-40%34.3%34.3%-0.0 pp11,760,851
40-50%45.2%45.1%-0.1 pp12,768,405
50-60%53.8%53.7%-0.1 pp7,300,159
60-70%65.9%65.8%-0.1 pp9,908,539
70-80%74.0%73.6%-0.3 pp12,967,003
80-90%86.1%86.2%+0.1 pp16,535,975
90-100%90.3%89.9%-0.4 pp532,844

View the full Track Record →

The record, both ways

Every morning's prediction, frozen with a timestamp before the session opens and scored after the close — and every idea our own research killed, published instead of buried.

Live record

880 frozen · 876 resolved · 4 live

FOXALGO / LIVE RECORD
APPEND ONLYFROZEN BEFORE OPEN

Live prediction record

  • 00:00 UTC (UTC-day anchor)Ethereum-0.50 ATR (2322.36)41.9%LIVE
  • 00:00 UTC (UTC-day anchor)Ethereum+0.50 ATR (2459.14)37.9%LIVE
  • 00:00 UTC (UTC-day anchor)Bitcoin-0.50 ATR (75700.88)41.9%LIVE
  • 00:00 UTC (UTC-day anchor)Bitcoin+0.50 ATR (78869.14)37.9%LIVE
  • 09:30 ETNvidia-0.50 ATR (214.71)39.7%× NOT TOUCHED · SESSION CLOSED
  • 09:30 ETNvidia+0.50 ATR (220.17)41.8%✓ TOUCHED
  • 09:30 ETMicrosoft-0.50 ATR (496.37)39.7%✓ TOUCHED
  • 09:30 ETMicrosoft+0.50 ATR (505.67)41.8%× NOT TOUCHED · SESSION CLOSED
  • 09:30 ETApple-0.50 ATR (322.13)39.7%× NOT TOUCHED · SESSION CLOSED
  • 09:30 ETApple+0.50 ATR (328.13)41.8%× NOT TOUCHED · SESSION CLOSED
  • 09:30 ETS&P 500 ETF (SPY)-0.50 ATR (759.67)42.0%× NOT TOUCHED · SESSION CLOSED
  • 09:30 ETS&P 500 ETF (SPY)+0.50 ATR (763.89)40.8%✓ TOUCHED
  • 09:30 ETWTI Crude-0.50 ATR (88.56)41.3%× NOT TOUCHED · SESSION CLOSED
  • 09:30 ETWTI Crude+0.50 ATR (90.54)39.5%✓ TOUCHED
  • 09:30 ETGold-0.50 ATR (4354.54)39.6%× NOT TOUCHED · SESSION CLOSED

Frozen columns (date, symbol, level, predicted probability, price at freeze) are written once, before the session opens, and never edited — only the outcome is filled in after the close.

Graveyard

Anyone can publish a winning backtest. We also publish the ideas our own research killed. Lookahead. Confounding. Failed placebo tests. No edge.

Visit the Graveyard →

The -4.045 level, measured

Sixteen years of measured touch odds for a level ladder the futures community watches — split by year and by opening-candle width, with 95% confidence intervals throughout.

Read the research →

The receipts page

Every prediction frozen before the session opens, graded after it closes. See the calibration bands: what we said a level would do, and what it actually did.

See the receipts →

The FoxAlgo Morning Brief

Every trading morning: the day's level odds, what the coming session can still do, and where the data says there's no directional call at all. Frozen before the open, scored after the close.

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Free. One email each trading morning.

what this means →