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Live calls. Measured odds. Every outcome graded.

Directional setups across ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC and CL. The default board shows S, A and B calls with at least 77% confidence.

DATA AS OF 20:11 ET · 15-MIN DELAYED FEED · NEXT SCAN IN 3:07

A call is graded by a published race: a 0.05 ATR target touch versus a 0.15 ATR invalidation close, capped at 40 periods.

The rule parameters are product choices. The probabilities under that rule are calibrated walk-forward by year.

LIVE CALLS WE GOT RIGHT

95.2%

278 HIT · 14 MISS

LAST 292 RESOLVED S/A/B CALLS

HIT and MISS determine the score. EXPIRED calls are reported separately.

WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER

WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER

What each stated confidence tier actually delivered in year-by-year historical scoring.

S
90.8%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 89.9%
n = 232,643
A
86.4%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 84.4%
n = 80,856
B
82.8%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 80.4%
n = 6,204

Historical results are a rules-based backfill, not calls published before their outcomes. Live timestamping begins with the live record.

No calls match these filters. Reset filters or include calls under 77%.

LIVE CALLS · 0

Calls that have fired and are now racing toward a target touch or invalidation close.

No S, A or B call is live right now. We're still scanning ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC and CL.

OPEN SETUPS · 0

Conditions we are watching that have not fired a call yet.

No setup is waiting to trigger. The board will update after the next scheduled scan.

Open setups include every tier so an already-tracked setup never disappears when confidence changes.

RESULTS

Resolved calls by tier. Historical calibration stays visible across every tier.

WINDOWSABDEXPIRED
TODAY0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0.0%
LAST 300 RESOLVED215/227 HIT63/65 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0.0%

EXPIRED means neither boundary was reached within 40 periods. It is not counted as either a HIT or a MISS.

Hit rate is not payoff. See the one-period outcome and payoff distribution in Track Record →

HIT RATE BY MARKET

Every resolved S, A and B call since the live record began, split by market. The line is the rolling 7-trading-day hit rate; the dashed line is all markets together.

HIT and MISS only. EXPIRED calls are excluded. Small samples swing more — the interval shows how much.

LATEST RESOLUTIONS

The five most recent calls graded under the published rule.

No recent resolutions yet. Open calls will appear here as HIT, MISS or EXPIRED.

89.4%

321,865 historical calls, replayed under the same published rule and graded.

This record is a rules-based backfill, not a claim that historical calls were published live. Download every row and inspect the walk-forward calibration.

OPEN THE TRACK RECORD →

This week's review →