Daily Probability Map

SNAPSHOT 13:52 ETNEW YORK SESSION

Touch probability for every tracked market, updated every 15 minutes. Hover a cell for detail, click a market's row to open its drawer.

Probability map, not a directional call. what this means →

Markets tracked

31 / 32

Levels resolved today

110

Still live

154

Last update

SNAPSHOT 13:45 ET

Futures Stocks FX Crypto

P(touch) at ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR from the session anchor, for each tracked futures market.

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET session open — the feed's available session-range window may not start at exactly that instant, see methodology.

Market	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
E-mini S&P 500last 7431.50	↑75.7% ↓70.8% ✓76% ✓71% +4.9pp	↑43.2% ↓39.9% ✓43% ✓40% +3.3pp	↑14.1% ↓15.5% ✓14% 15% -1.3pp	↑5.4% ↓6.7% ✓5% 7% -1.3pp	↑1.9% ↓2.7% 2% 3% -0.8pp	↑0.4% ↓0.6% 0% 1% -0.2pp
E-mini Nasdaq 100last 27180.75	↑75.7% ↓70.8% ✓76% ✓71% +4.9pp	↑43.2% ↓39.9% ✓43% ✓40% +3.3pp	↑14.1% ↓15.5% ✓14% 15% -1.3pp	↑5.4% ↓6.7% 5% 7% -1.3pp	↑1.9% ↓2.7% 2% 3% -0.8pp	↑0.4% ↓0.6% 0% 1% -0.2pp
E-mini Dowlast 51622.00	↑75.7% ↓70.8% ✓76% ✓71% +4.9pp	↑43.2% ↓39.9% ✓43% ✓40% +3.3pp	↑14.1% ↓15.5% ✓14% 15% -1.3pp	↑5.4% ↓6.7% ✓5% 7% -1.3pp	↑1.9% ↓2.7% 2% 3% -0.8pp	↑0.4% ↓0.6% 0% 1% -0.2pp
E-mini Russell 2000last 2768.10	↑75.7% ↓70.8% ✓76% ✓71% +4.9pp	↑43.2% ↓39.9% ✓43% ✓40% +3.3pp	↑14.1% ↓15.5% ✓14% 15% -1.3pp	↑5.4% ↓6.7% ✓5% 7% -1.3pp	↑1.9% ↓2.7% 2% 3% -0.8pp	↑0.4% ↓0.6% 0% 1% -0.2pp
Goldlast 4076.90	↑62.8% ↓62.6% ✓63% ✓63% +0.2pp	↑24.8% ↓26.4% ✓25% ✓26% -1.6pp	↑6.2% ↓7.7% ✓6% 8% -1.5pp	↑2.3% ↓3.1% ✓2% 3% -0.8pp	↑1.0% ↓1.3% 1% 1% -0.3pp	↑0.4% ↓0.5% 0% 0% -0.1pp
WTI Crudelast 89.96	↑74.9% ↓72.0% ✓75% ✓72% +2.9pp	↑41.6% ↓37.5% 42% ✓37% +4.1pp	↑11.1% ↓10.8% 11% ✓11% +0.3pp	↑3.1% ↓3.5% 3% ✓3% -0.4pp	↑1.0% ↓1.2% 1% 1% -0.2pp	↑0.3% ↓0.3% 0% 0% -0.0pp

E-mini S&P 500GoldWTI Crude

Up direction shown; each market's drawer has the full up/down curve.

E-mini S&P 500 · last quote 7431.50

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	75.7%	70.8%	11,336
0.25	43.2%	39.9%	11,336
0.5	14.1%	15.5%	11,336
0.75	5.4%	6.7%	11,336
1	1.9%	2.7%	11,336
1.5	0.4%	0.6%	11,336

E-mini Nasdaq 100 · last quote 27180.75

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	75.7%	70.8%	11,336
0.25	43.2%	39.9%	11,336
0.5	14.1%	15.5%	11,336
0.75	5.4%	6.7%	11,336
1	1.9%	2.7%	11,336
1.5	0.4%	0.6%	11,336

E-mini Dow · last quote 51622.00

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	75.7%	70.8%	11,336
0.25	43.2%	39.9%	11,336
0.5	14.1%	15.5%	11,336
0.75	5.4%	6.7%	11,336
1	1.9%	2.7%	11,336
1.5	0.4%	0.6%	11,336

E-mini Russell 2000 · last quote 2768.10

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	75.7%	70.8%	11,336
0.25	43.2%	39.9%	11,336
0.5	14.1%	15.5%	11,336
0.75	5.4%	6.7%	11,336
1	1.9%	2.7%	11,336
1.5	0.4%	0.6%	11,336

Gold · last quote 4076.90

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	62.8%	62.6%	9,420
0.25	24.8%	26.4%	9,420
0.5	6.2%	7.7%	9,420
0.75	2.3%	3.1%	9,420
1	1.0%	1.3%	9,420
1.5	0.4%	0.5%	9,420

WTI Crude · last quote 89.96

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	74.9%	72.0%	9,348
0.25	41.6%	37.5%	9,348
0.5	11.1%	10.8%	9,348
0.75	3.1%	3.5%	9,348
1	1.0%	1.2%	9,348
1.5	0.3%	0.3%	9,348

P(touch) at ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR from the session anchor, for each tracked stocks market.

Historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock. Live frozen scorecard accumulates from launch.

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET RTH open, matching the feed's session window for exchange-listed equities.

Known gaps: No first-hit grid exists for stocks — brackets.json and width_bounds.json have no stock coverage; not yet measured.

Market	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
S&P 500 ETF (SPY)last 738.10	↑75.5% ↓70.4% ✓75% 70% +5.0pp	↑41.7% ↓38.4% ✓42% 38% +3.3pp	↑11.6% ↓14.3% ✓12% 14% -2.7pp	↑3.5% ↓6.6% ✓3% 7% -3.1pp	↑1.4% ↓2.4% 1% 2% -1.0pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% 0% 0% -0.0pp
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)last 657.84	↑75.5% ↓70.4% ✓75% ✓70% +5.0pp	↑41.7% ↓38.4% ✓42% ✓38% +3.3pp	↑11.6% ↓14.3% ✓12% 14% -2.7pp	↑3.5% ↓6.6% 3% 7% -3.1pp	↑1.4% ↓2.4% 1% 2% -1.0pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% 0% 0% -0.0pp
Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)last 274.22	↑75.5% ↓70.4% ✓75% ✓70% +5.0pp	↑41.7% ↓38.4% ✓42% ✓38% +3.3pp	↑11.6% ↓14.3% ✓12% 14% -2.7pp	↑3.5% ↓6.6% 3% 7% -3.1pp	↑1.4% ↓2.4% 1% 2% -1.0pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% 0% 0% -0.0pp
Applelast 344.29	↑72.0% ↓68.3% ✓72% 68% +3.7pp	↑37.4% ↓35.4% ✓37% 35% +2.0pp	↑9.2% ↓10.5% ✓9% 10% -1.3pp	↑2.5% ↓3.2% ✓2% 3% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓1.0% ✓1% 1% -0.2pp	↑0.2% ↓0.1% 0% 0% +0.1pp
Microsoftlast 533.18	↑72.0% ↓68.3% ✓72% 68% +3.7pp	↑37.4% ↓35.4% ✓37% 35% +2.0pp	↑9.2% ↓10.5% ✓9% 10% -1.3pp	↑2.5% ↓3.2% ✓2% 3% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓1.0% ✓1% 1% -0.2pp	↑0.2% ↓0.1% 0% 0% +0.1pp
Nvidialast 187.25	↑72.0% ↓68.3% ✓72% ✓68% +3.7pp	↑37.4% ↓35.4% ✓37% ✓35% +2.0pp	↑9.2% ↓10.5% ✓9% ✓10% -1.3pp	↑2.5% ↓3.2% 2% ✓3% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓1.0% 1% ✓1% -0.2pp	↑0.2% ↓0.1% 0% 0% +0.1pp
Amazonlast 262.84	↑72.0% ↓68.3% ✓72% ✓68% +3.7pp	↑37.4% ↓35.4% ✓37% 35% +2.0pp	↑9.2% ↓10.5% ✓9% 10% -1.3pp	↑2.5% ↓3.2% 2% 3% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓1.0% 1% 1% -0.2pp	↑0.2% ↓0.1% 0% 0% +0.1pp
Alphabet (GOOGL)last 286.02	↑72.0% ↓68.3% ✓72% 68% +3.7pp	↑37.4% ↓35.4% ✓37% 35% +2.0pp	↑9.2% ↓10.5% ✓9% 10% -1.3pp	↑2.5% ↓3.2% ✓2% 3% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓1.0% 1% 1% -0.2pp	↑0.2% ↓0.1% 0% 0% +0.1pp
Meta Platformslast 617.48	↑72.0% ↓68.3% ✓72% 68% +3.7pp	↑37.4% ↓35.4% ✓37% 35% +2.0pp	↑9.2% ↓10.5% ✓9% 10% -1.3pp	↑2.5% ↓3.2% ✓2% 3% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓1.0% 1% 1% -0.2pp	↑0.2% ↓0.1% 0% 0% +0.1pp
Teslalast 359.27	↑71.1% ↓66.4% ✓71% 66% +4.7pp	↑34.2% ↓32.4% ✓34% 32% +1.8pp	↑6.6% ↓8.3% ✓7% 8% -1.7pp	↑2.0% ↓2.2% ✓2% 2% -0.2pp	↑0.6% ↓0.4% 1% 0% +0.2pp	↑0.1% ↓0.0% 0% 0% +0.1pp
AMDlast 441.08	↑71.1% ↓66.4% ✓71% ✓66% +4.7pp	↑34.2% ↓32.4% ✓34% ✓32% +1.8pp	↑6.6% ↓8.3% ✓7% 8% -1.7pp	↑2.0% ↓2.2% 2% 2% -0.2pp	↑0.6% ↓0.4% 1% 0% +0.2pp	↑0.1% ↓0.0% 0% 0% +0.1pp
Netflixlast 63.79	↑71.1% ↓66.4% ✓71% ✓66% +4.7pp	↑34.2% ↓32.4% ✓34% 32% +1.8pp	↑6.6% ↓8.3% 7% 8% -1.7pp	↑2.0% ↓2.2% 2% 2% -0.2pp	↑0.6% ↓0.4% 1% 0% +0.2pp	↑0.1% ↓0.0% 0% 0% +0.1pp

S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)AppleNvidia

Up direction shown; each market's drawer has the full up/down curve.

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) · last quote 738.10

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	75.5%	70.4%	1,861
0.25	41.7%	38.4%	1,861
0.5	11.6%	14.3%	1,861
0.75	3.5%	6.6%	1,861
1	1.4%	2.4%	1,861
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	1,861

Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) · last quote 657.84

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	75.5%	70.4%	1,861
0.25	41.7%	38.4%	1,861
0.5	11.6%	14.3%	1,861
0.75	3.5%	6.6%	1,861
1	1.4%	2.4%	1,861
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	1,861

Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) · last quote 274.22

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	75.5%	70.4%	1,861
0.25	41.7%	38.4%	1,861
0.5	11.6%	14.3%	1,861
0.75	3.5%	6.6%	1,861
1	1.4%	2.4%	1,861
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	1,861

Apple · last quote 344.29

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	72.0%	68.3%	4,354
0.25	37.4%	35.4%	4,354
0.5	9.2%	10.5%	4,354
0.75	2.5%	3.2%	4,354
1	0.8%	1.0%	4,354
1.5	0.2%	0.1%	4,354

Microsoft · last quote 533.18

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	72.0%	68.3%	4,354
0.25	37.4%	35.4%	4,354
0.5	9.2%	10.5%	4,354
0.75	2.5%	3.2%	4,354
1	0.8%	1.0%	4,354
1.5	0.2%	0.1%	4,354

Nvidia · last quote 187.25

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	72.0%	68.3%	4,354
0.25	37.4%	35.4%	4,354
0.5	9.2%	10.5%	4,354
0.75	2.5%	3.2%	4,354
1	0.8%	1.0%	4,354
1.5	0.2%	0.1%	4,354

Amazon · last quote 262.84

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	72.0%	68.3%	4,354
0.25	37.4%	35.4%	4,354
0.5	9.2%	10.5%	4,354
0.75	2.5%	3.2%	4,354
1	0.8%	1.0%	4,354
1.5	0.2%	0.1%	4,354

Alphabet (GOOGL) · last quote 286.02

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	72.0%	68.3%	4,354
0.25	37.4%	35.4%	4,354
0.5	9.2%	10.5%	4,354
0.75	2.5%	3.2%	4,354
1	0.8%	1.0%	4,354
1.5	0.2%	0.1%	4,354

Meta Platforms · last quote 617.48

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	72.0%	68.3%	4,354
0.25	37.4%	35.4%	4,354
0.5	9.2%	10.5%	4,354
0.75	2.5%	3.2%	4,354
1	0.8%	1.0%	4,354
1.5	0.2%	0.1%	4,354

Tesla · last quote 359.27

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	71.1%	66.4%	1,151
0.25	34.2%	32.4%	1,151
0.5	6.6%	8.3%	1,151
0.75	2.0%	2.2%	1,151
1	0.6%	0.4%	1,151
1.5	0.1%	0.0%	1,151

AMD · last quote 441.08

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	71.1%	66.4%	1,151
0.25	34.2%	32.4%	1,151
0.5	6.6%	8.3%	1,151
0.75	2.0%	2.2%	1,151
1	0.6%	0.4%	1,151
1.5	0.1%	0.0%	1,151

Netflix · last quote 63.79

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	71.1%	66.4%	1,151
0.25	34.2%	32.4%	1,151
0.5	6.6%	8.3%	1,151
0.75	2.0%	2.2%	1,151
1	0.6%	0.4%	1,151
1.5	0.1%	0.0%	1,151

P(touch) at ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR from the session anchor, for each tracked fx market.

Live touch/not-touched status isn't shown for FX: the data feed has no reliable 17:00 ET forex-day session open to anchor against, so we show probability only rather than guess.

Known gaps: XAU (gold) is not yet measured for FX touch levels.

Market	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
EUR/USDlast 1.1150	↑49.8% ↓49.3% —50% —49% +0.5pp	↑13.9% ↓13.2% —14% —13% +0.7pp	↑3.2% ↓3.3% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.2% ↓1.3% —1% —1% -0.1pp	↑0.8% ↓0.7% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.2% ↓0.3% —0% —0% -0.1pp
GBP/USDlast 1.3358	↑49.8% ↓49.3% —50% —49% +0.5pp	↑13.9% ↓13.2% —14% —13% +0.7pp	↑3.2% ↓3.3% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.2% ↓1.3% —1% —1% -0.1pp	↑0.8% ↓0.7% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.2% ↓0.3% —0% —0% -0.1pp
USD/JPYlast 158.33	↑49.8% ↓49.3% —50% —49% +0.5pp	↑13.9% ↓13.2% —14% —13% +0.7pp	↑3.2% ↓3.3% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.2% ↓1.3% —1% —1% -0.1pp	↑0.8% ↓0.7% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.2% ↓0.3% —0% —0% -0.1pp
AUD/USDlast 0.6868	↑49.8% ↓49.3% —50% —49% +0.5pp	↑13.9% ↓13.2% —14% —13% +0.7pp	↑3.2% ↓3.3% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.2% ↓1.3% —1% —1% -0.1pp	↑0.8% ↓0.7% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.2% ↓0.3% —0% —0% -0.1pp
USD/CADlast 1.4123	↑49.8% ↓49.3% —50% —49% +0.5pp	↑13.9% ↓13.2% —14% —13% +0.7pp	↑3.2% ↓3.3% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.2% ↓1.3% —1% —1% -0.1pp	↑0.8% ↓0.7% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.2% ↓0.3% —0% —0% -0.1pp
USD/CHFlast 0.8201	↑49.8% ↓49.3% —50% —49% +0.5pp	↑13.9% ↓13.2% —14% —13% +0.7pp	↑3.2% ↓3.3% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.2% ↓1.3% —1% —1% -0.1pp	↑0.8% ↓0.7% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.2% ↓0.3% —0% —0% -0.1pp
NZD/USDlast 0.5544	↑49.8% ↓49.3% —50% —49% +0.5pp	↑13.9% ↓13.2% —14% —13% +0.7pp	↑3.2% ↓3.3% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.2% ↓1.3% —1% —1% -0.1pp	↑0.8% ↓0.7% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.2% ↓0.3% —0% —0% -0.1pp
Gold spot (XAU/USD)	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —

EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPY

Up direction shown; each market's drawer has the full up/down curve.

EUR/USD · last quote 1.1150

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	49.8%	49.3%	8,516
0.25	13.9%	13.2%	8,516
0.5	3.2%	3.3%	8,516
0.75	1.2%	1.3%	8,516
1	0.8%	0.7%	8,516
1.5	0.2%	0.3%	8,516

GBP/USD · last quote 1.3358

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	49.8%	49.3%	8,516
0.25	13.9%	13.2%	8,516
0.5	3.2%	3.3%	8,516
0.75	1.2%	1.3%	8,516
1	0.8%	0.7%	8,516
1.5	0.2%	0.3%	8,516

USD/JPY · last quote 158.33

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	49.8%	49.3%	8,516
0.25	13.9%	13.2%	8,516
0.5	3.2%	3.3%	8,516
0.75	1.2%	1.3%	8,516
1	0.8%	0.7%	8,516
1.5	0.2%	0.3%	8,516

AUD/USD · last quote 0.6868

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	49.8%	49.3%	8,516
0.25	13.9%	13.2%	8,516
0.5	3.2%	3.3%	8,516
0.75	1.2%	1.3%	8,516
1	0.8%	0.7%	8,516
1.5	0.2%	0.3%	8,516

USD/CAD · last quote 1.4123

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	49.8%	49.3%	8,516
0.25	13.9%	13.2%	8,516
0.5	3.2%	3.3%	8,516
0.75	1.2%	1.3%	8,516
1	0.8%	0.7%	8,516
1.5	0.2%	0.3%	8,516

USD/CHF · last quote 0.8201

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	49.8%	49.3%	8,516
0.25	13.9%	13.2%	8,516
0.5	3.2%	3.3%	8,516
0.75	1.2%	1.3%	8,516
1	0.8%	0.7%	8,516
1.5	0.2%	0.3%	8,516

NZD/USD · last quote 0.5544

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	49.8%	49.3%	8,516
0.25	13.9%	13.2%	8,516
0.5	3.2%	3.3%	8,516
0.75	1.2%	1.3%	8,516
1	0.8%	0.7%	8,516
1.5	0.2%	0.3%	8,516

Gold spot (XAU/USD)

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	not yet measured	not yet measured	—
0.25	not yet measured	not yet measured	—
0.5	not yet measured	not yet measured	—
0.75	not yet measured	not yet measured	—
1	not yet measured	not yet measured	—
1.5	not yet measured	not yet measured	—

P(touch) at ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 ATR from the session anchor, for each tracked crypto market.

Weekends are quieter — the odds change, so we show separate weekend numbers.

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at 00:00 UTC (today's day type: weekday) — the feed's session-range window may not start exactly at that instant, see methodology. Weekends trade a measurably different, thinner regime, so weekday and weekend use separate probability curves.

Known gaps: day_type=vse (pooled weekday+weekend) is not served — weekday and weekend are measurably different regimes, so the site must always pick the row matching today's UTC day type. Cells flagged rare in the source parquet (p<0.01 or p>0.99; 21.7% of all rows) are dropped entirely, not served — they render as 'not yet measured' the same as any other missing combo.

Market	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR
Bitcoinlast 75757.48	↑71.6% ↓66.8% ✓72% ✓67% +4.8pp	↑34.2% ↓31.2% 34% ✓31% +3.0pp	↑10.5% ↓11.9% 10% ✓12% -1.5pp	↑3.9% ↓4.9% 4% 5% -1.0pp
Ethereumlast 2227.48	↑71.6% ↓66.8% ✓72% ✓67% +4.8pp	↑34.2% ↓31.2% 34% ✓31% +3.0pp	↑10.5% ↓11.9% 10% 12% -1.5pp	↑3.9% ↓4.9% 4% 5% -1.0pp
Solanalast 90.20	↑68.2% ↓68.0% ✓68% ✓68% +0.2pp	↑33.8% ↓33.7% ✓34% 34% +0.0pp	↑10.8% ↓11.6% ✓11% 12% -0.8pp	↑3.8% ↓5.1% 4% 5% -1.2pp
Avalanchelast 8.3940	↑68.2% ↓68.0% ✓68% 68% +0.2pp	↑33.8% ↓33.7% ✓34% 34% +0.0pp	↑10.8% ↓11.6% ✓11% 12% -0.8pp	↑3.8% ↓5.1% 4% 5% -1.2pp
Chainlinklast 10.86	↑68.2% ↓68.0% ✓68% 68% +0.2pp	↑33.8% ↓33.7% ✓34% 34% +0.0pp	↑10.8% ↓11.6% ✓11% 12% -0.8pp	↑3.8% ↓5.1% 4% 5% -1.2pp
Dogecoinlast 0.0729	↑68.2% ↓68.0% ✓68% 68% +0.2pp	↑33.8% ↓33.7% ✓34% 34% +0.0pp	↑10.8% ↓11.6% ✓11% 12% -0.8pp	↑3.8% ↓5.1% 4% 5% -1.2pp

BitcoinEthereumSolana

Up direction shown; each market's drawer has the full up/down curve.

Bitcoin · last quote 75757.48

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	71.6%	66.8%	1,700
0.25	34.2%	31.2%	1,700
0.5	10.5%	11.9%	1,700
0.75	3.9%	4.9%	1,700

Ethereum · last quote 2227.48

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	71.6%	66.8%	1,700
0.25	34.2%	31.2%	1,700
0.5	10.5%	11.9%	1,700
0.75	3.9%	4.9%	1,700

Solana · last quote 90.20

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	68.2%	68.0%	2,627
0.25	33.8%	33.7%	2,627
0.5	10.8%	11.6%	2,627
0.75	3.8%	5.1%	2,627

Avalanche · last quote 8.3940

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	68.2%	68.0%	2,627
0.25	33.8%	33.7%	2,627
0.5	10.8%	11.6%	2,627
0.75	3.8%	5.1%	2,627

Chainlink · last quote 10.86

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	68.2%	68.0%	2,627
0.25	33.8%	33.7%	2,627
0.5	10.8%	11.6%	2,627
0.75	3.8%	5.1%	2,627

Dogecoin · last quote 0.0729

distance (ATR)	P(touch up)	P(touch down)	n
0.1	68.2%	68.0%	2,627
0.25	33.8%	33.7%	2,627
0.5	10.8%	11.6%	2,627
0.75	3.8%	5.1%	2,627

How to read this map: each cell is P(price touches ±d ATR from the session anchor before that horizon ends), split into an up half and a down half. Live status compares that level against today's actual high/low from the data feed — a checkmark means it already happened today, a pulsing dot means the session is still running and it hasn't happened yet, an open circle means the session closed without it happening. Asymmetry is P(up) minus P(down) in percentage points — a directional imbalance in how often each side gets touched, not a trade signal.

Index futures, stock sector groups (ETFs / mega-caps / high-beta) and crypto groups (BTC & ETH / alt L1s) share one probability surface each — identical numbers within the same group are by construction, not a bug.