Scenario finder — stocks
Wähle einen Markt und hake dann ab, was heute tatsächlich passiert ist - ein Gap-Up, Asien nimmt das gestrige Hoch heraus, und so weiter. Wir zeigen jeden vorab verifizierten Treffer, der passt, mit gemessener Rate gegenüber der Basisrate, Stichprobengröße und Konfidenzintervall. Hier wird nichts live berechnet - jede Zeile hat die Mehrfachvergleichsprüfung der Research-Pipeline bereits bestanden (Bonferroni-Korrektur über Sektoren, Clusterchecks bei korrelierten Märkten). Siehe Methodik dafür. Covers 51 symbols (ETFs, megacaps, and high-beta names).
Gemessene Odds. Keine Trade-Calls. was das bedeutet →
Passende Befunde
Top 20 findings by |delta| for SPY, matching the display filter.
| wenn / dann | call | grade | Rate vs. Basis | Delta | 95% KI | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low | YES 88,3% | S | 88,3% vs. 43,0% | +45,3 pp | [82,3%, 92,5%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high | YES 87,9% | S | 87,9% vs. 58,6% | +29,4 pp | [83,6%, 91,2%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET | NO 83,0% | A | 17,0% vs. 36,6% | -19,6 pp | [13,1%, 21,8%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high | NO 81,8% | A | 18,2% vs. 58,6% | -40,4 pp | [12,9%, 25,0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET | NO 81,8% | A | 18,2% vs. 53,2% | -35,0 pp | [12,9%, 25,0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET | NO 81,8% | A | 18,2% vs. 49,3% | -31,1 pp | [12,9%, 25,0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET | NO 81,6% | A | 18,4% vs. 40,0% | -21,6 pp | [14,3%, 23,4%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low | NO 81,2% | A | 18,8% vs. 43,0% | -24,2 pp | [14,7%, 23,8%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET | YES 79,9% | B | 79,9% vs. 40,0% | +39,9 pp | [72,8%, 85,4%] | 154 |
| the day opens with a gap up → price breaks yesterday's high | YES 78,5% | B | 78,5% vs. 58,6% | +19,9 pp | [73,3%, 82,9%] | 279 |
| the day opens with a gap up → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET | NO 78,1% | B | 21,9% vs. 36,6% | -14,7 pp | [17,4%, 27,1%] | 279 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET | YES 78,0% | B | 78,0% vs. 53,2% | +24,8 pp | [72,8%, 82,5%] | 282 |
| yesterday's range was wide vs. its own ATR band → today's range is wider than yesterday's range | NO 77,2% | B | 22,8% vs. 48,9% | -26,1 pp | [16,5%, 30,5%] | 136 |
385 more findings for SPY are below the display threshold (|delta| < 8pp or n < 120) and are hidden.
KI-Methode: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held (ci_lo_held/ci_hi_held columns, unchanged). Quelle: stock_conditional_tables.parquet;2026-09-02.