foxalgoScenario finder — stocks
Elige un mercado y luego marca lo que realmente pasó hoy — un gap up, Asia barriendo el máximo de ayer, y así. Mostramos cada hallazgo preverificado que coincide, con su tasa medida frente a la base, tamaño de muestra e intervalo de confianza. Nada aquí se calcula al vuelo — cada fila ya superó la verificación de comparaciones múltiples del pipeline de investigación (corrección de Bonferroni entre sectores, controles de clúster correlacionado). Consulta metodología para ver cómo funciona. Covers 51 symbols (ETFs, megacaps, and high-beta names).
Probabilidades medidas. Sin señales de operación. qué significa →
Hallazgos coincidentes
Top 20 findings by |delta| for SPY, matching the display filter.
| si / entonces | call | grade | tasa vs. base | delta | IC 95% | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low | YES 88,3% | S | 88,3% vs. 43,0% | +45,3 pp | [82,3%, 92,5%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high | YES 87,9% | S | 87,9% vs. 58,6% | +29,4 pp | [83,6%, 91,2%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET | NO 83,0% | A | 17,0% vs. 36,6% | -19,6 pp | [13,1%, 21,8%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high | NO 81,8% | A | 18,2% vs. 58,6% | -40,4 pp | [12,9%, 25,0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET | NO 81,8% | A | 18,2% vs. 53,2% | -35,0 pp | [12,9%, 25,0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET | NO 81,8% | A | 18,2% vs. 49,3% | -31,1 pp | [12,9%, 25,0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET | NO 81,6% | A | 18,4% vs. 40,0% | -21,6 pp | [14,3%, 23,4%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low | NO 81,2% | A | 18,8% vs. 43,0% | -24,2 pp | [14,7%, 23,8%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET | YES 79,9% | B | 79,9% vs. 40,0% | +39,9 pp | [72,8%, 85,4%] | 154 |
| the day opens with a gap up → price breaks yesterday's high | YES 78,5% | B | 78,5% vs. 58,6% | +19,9 pp | [73,3%, 82,9%] | 279 |
| the day opens with a gap up → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET | NO 78,1% | B | 21,9% vs. 36,6% | -14,7 pp | [17,4%, 27,1%] | 279 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET | YES 78,0% | B | 78,0% vs. 53,2% | +24,8 pp | [72,8%, 82,5%] | 282 |
| yesterday's range was wide vs. its own ATR band → today's range is wider than yesterday's range | NO 77,2% | B | 22,8% vs. 48,9% | -26,1 pp | [16,5%, 30,5%] | 136 |
385 more findings for SPY are below the display threshold (|delta| < 8pp or n < 120) and are hidden.
Método del IC: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held (ci_lo_held/ci_hi_held columns, unchanged). Fuente: stock_conditional_tables.parquet;2026-09-02.