6E roadmap
Held era only (٢٬٢٢٦ sessions, 2010-06-06 .. 2026-08-10) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.
احتمالات محسوبة. لا توجد توصيات تداول. ما يعنيه هذا →
Current price: ١٫١٥٩٢ · ATR14: ٠٫٠٠٢٧ · 09:30 open: ١٫١٦١١
Every probability below is p_held (measured 2018-01-01 onward only), never the pooled/fit figure -- see parity/roadmap/NALEZY_PRO_WEB.md #1: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 fit era and held era, so only the held (most-recent-regime) number ships. fit_held_differs_ci95 (where present) flags a cell that moved between eras -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.
The map
Touch ladder
Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٨٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | NEAR BAND | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ١٫١٦١٠ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٩٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | NEAR BAND | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٦٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٨٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٥ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٦٤٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٦٨٫٠% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥٣٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥٧٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٥٫٠% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٨٫٣% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٣٧٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٤٠٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٢ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٥٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٠ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٧٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٥ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ١٨٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ١٨٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ١٫١٦٣١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٦٫٢% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ١٫١٥٩١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٦٫٨% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ١٫١٦٣٨ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٢٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ١٫١٥٨٤ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٢٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٥٢ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٣% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT |
Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | — | — | ٨٩٫٣% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | NEAR BAND | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | — | — | ٨٩٫٠% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | NEAR BAND | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | — | — | ٧٧٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | — | — | ٧٨٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | — | — | ٦٧٫٣% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | — | — | ٦٩٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | — | — | ٥٧٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | — | — | ٦٠٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | — | — | ٤٩٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | — | — | ٥١٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | — | — | ٤٢٫٤% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | — | — | ٤٤٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | — | — | ٢٩٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | — | — | ٣٣٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | STRETCH | |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | — | — | ٢٠٫٩% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | — | — | ٢٣٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | — | — | ٨٫٢% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | — | — | ٨٫٧% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | — | — | ٣٫٨% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | — | — | ٣٫٢% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | — | — | ٠٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT | |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | — | — | ٠٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ | LONG SHOT |
State of the day
Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.
| checkpoint | n | p5 | p10 | p25 | p50 | p75 | p90 | p95 | p99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0845 | ٢٬٢٢٥ | ٠٫٣٩ | ٠٫٤٤ | ٠٫٥٣ | ٠٫٦٨ | ٠٫٨٩ | ١٫١٢ | ١٫٣٣ | ١٫٨٧ |
| 0930 | ٢٬٢٢٥ | ٠٫٤١ | ٠٫٤٦ | ٠٫٥٦ | ٠٫٧٣ | ٠٫٩٤ | ١٫٢٠ | ١٫٤٠ | ١٫٩٣ |
| 1030 | ٢٬٢٢٥ | ٠٫٤٤ | ٠٫٥٠ | ٠٫٦١ | ٠٫٧٩ | ١٫٠٣ | ١٫٣١ | ١٫٥٤ | ٢٫٠٩ |
Fade caution
| range so far | p (held) | n | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| <0.5 | ٥٤٫٢% | ٣٣٤ | |
| 0.5-0.85 | ٥٦٫٩% | ١٬٠٧٤ | |
| 0.85-1.05 | ٥٩٫٩% | ٤٠٤ | |
| 1.05-1.25 | ٥٥٫٩% | ١٨٦ | |
| >1.25 | ٥٧٫٢% | ١٨٠ | moved since 2018 |
Named levels
Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.
Midnight open (00:00 ET)
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٢٫٩% | ١٦٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٨٥٫٤% | ٨٢ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٥ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٧٣٫٠% | ٨٩ | PULLS | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥٢٫٦% | ٩٥ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٩٫٥% | ٩٩ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٢٩٫٥% | ١١٢ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٢ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٨٫٢% | ١٣٥ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٥ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ١٣٫٧% | ١٨٢ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ١٫١٦٣١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٨٫٤% | ١١٩ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ١٫١٦٣٨ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٠٫٠% | ٤٣ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٥٢ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٠% | ١٠ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ١٫١٦١٠ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩١٫٢% | ١٣٧ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٨٣٫٢% | ١١٣ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٦٦٫٣% | ٩٢ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٤٩٫٠% | ٩٦ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٨٫٣% | ٨٩ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٣٧٫٣% | ١١٠ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٠ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٣١٫٨% | ١٢٦ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ٢٠٫٣% | ١٥٣ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ١٫١٥٩١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ١٠٫٨% | ١١١ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ١٫١٥٨٤ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٦٫٥% | ٤٦ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٠% | ١٠ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) |
Prior day high
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٠٫٩% | ١١٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٩٫٢% | ٧٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٥ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٩٫٦% | ٨٩ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥٤٫٩% | ٩١ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٣٫٧% | ٩٨ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٣١٫٥% | ١٢٤ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٢ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٥٫٥% | ١٦٥ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٥ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ١٩٫٢% | ٢٩٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ١٫١٦٣١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٧٫٥% | ٢٦٧ | SCENERY | |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ١٫١٦٣٨ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٢٫٠% | ٢٠٥ | SCENERY | |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٥٢ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ١٫٣% | ٧٦ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ١٫١٦١٠ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٢٫٦% | ٨٦ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٢٫٢% | ٥٤ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٧٠٫٥% | ٦١ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٦٠٫٥% | ٣٨ | PULLS | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٥٫٥% | ٤٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٤٦٫٩% | ٦٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٠ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٩٫٨% | ٦٧ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ٢٤٫٧% | ٨١ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ١٫١٥٩١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٥٫٣% | ٥٧ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ١٫١٥٨٤ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٨٫٣% | ٣٦ | PULLS | |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٠% | ١٢ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) |
Prior day low
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩١٫٥% | ١١٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٨٤٫٩% | ٦٦ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٥ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٦٠٫٠% | ٥٥ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥٩٫٧% | ٦٢ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٣٨٫١% | ٦٣ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٣٧٫٩% | ٥٨ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٢ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٤٫٦% | ٦٩ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٥ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ١١٫١% | ٩٠ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ١٫١٦٣١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٧٫٨% | ٥١ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ١٫١٦٣٨ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٠٫٠% | ٢١ | PULLS | |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٥٢ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٠% | ٥ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ١٫١٦١٠ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٣٫٢% | ١٠٣ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٩٠٫٠% | ٨٠ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٦٧٫٧% | ٩٣ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥٢٫٢% | ٩٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٩٫٤% | ٧٩ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٣٥٫٦% | ١٣٢ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٠ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٣١٫٠% | ١٧٤ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ١٦٫٧% | ٢٦٣ | REPELS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ١٫١٥٩١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٦٫٩% | ٢٣٢ | SCENERY | |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ١٫١٥٨٤ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٤٫١% | ١٩٤ | SCENERY | |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ١٫٢% | ٨٦ | SCENERY |
Prior day mid
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٨٩٫٣% | ١٣١ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٢٫٤% | ٨٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٥ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٨٫٦% | ٨٧ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥٠٫٥% | ٩٥ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٣٫٤% | ٧٦ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٤١٫٠% | ١١٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٢ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٧٫٤% | ١١٣ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٥ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ١٢٫٣% | ١٧٩ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ١٫١٦٣١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٤٫٠% | ١٤٩ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ١٫١٦٣٨ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ١٫٣% | ٧٦ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٥٢ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٠% | ٢١ | PULLS | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ١٫١٦١٠ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٤٫٥% | ١٤٥ | PULLS | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٧٫٤% | ٩٣ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٩٫٠% | ٩٥ | REPELS | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥٣٫٠% | ٦٦ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٨٫٤% | ٦٤ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٣١٫٩% | ٩١ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٠ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٢٫٦% | ١١٥ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ١٧٫١% | ١٤٠ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ١٫١٥٩١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ١١٫٠% | ١٥٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ١٫١٥٨٤ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٢٫٧% | ٧٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٥٫٣% | ٣٨ | PULLS |
Prior settlement / close
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٠٫٣% | ١٥٥ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٦٩٫٢% | ٧٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٥ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٥٣٫٦% | ٩٧ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٤٧٫٣% | ٧٤ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٨٫٤% | ٩٧ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٣٥٫٧% | ١١٢ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٢ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٩٫٠% | ١٢٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٥ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ١٥٫٠% | ١٥٣ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ١٫١٦٣١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٤٫٨% | ١٤٧ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ١٫١٦٣٨ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ١٫٧% | ٥٨ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٥٢ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٠% | ١٢ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ١٫١٦١٠ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٢٫٤% | ١٣١ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٧٫٧% | ٩٤ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٦٣٫٤% | ٨٢ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٤٩٫٣% | ٧٥ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٥٠٫٠% | ٨٤ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٣٥٫٩% | ١٠٦ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٠ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٢٫٥% | ١٢٠ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ٢١٫٨% | ١٤٢ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ١٫١٥٩١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٩٫٩% | ١٣٢ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ١٫١٥٨٤ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٦٫٢% | ٦٥ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٠% | ٢٥ | PULLS |
18:00 ET session mid
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ٠٫٠٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٢ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٣٫١% | ٢٦١ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫١٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٨٫٥% | ١٥٨ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٥ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٦٣٫١% | ١٦٨ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥١٫٩% | ١٢٩ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | up | ١٫١٦١٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٥٫٣% | ١١٧ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | up | ١٫١٦١٩ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٣٥٫٩% | ١٢٨ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٢ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٣٣٫٣% | ١٢٠ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٢٥ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ٨٫٥% | ٤٧ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | up | ١٫١٦٣١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ٠٫٠% | ١٧ | PULLS | |
| ١٫٠٠ | up | ١٫١٦٣٨ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٢٥٫٠% | ٤ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) | |
| ١٫٥٠ | up | ١٫١٦٥٢ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | ٠٫٠% | ١ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) | |
| ٠٫٠٥ | down | ١٫١٦١٠ | ٠٫٠٠٠١ | ٩٣٫١% | ٢٣١ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٨ | ٠٫٠٠٠٣ | ٧٦٫٣% | ١٦٠ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫١٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٧ | ٠٫٠٠٠٤ | ٧٢٫٢% | ١٤٤ | SCENERY | |
| ٠٫٢٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٦ | ٠٫٠٠٠٥ | ٥٠٫٨% | ١١٨ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٢٥ | down | ١٫١٦٠٤ | ٠٫٠٠٠٧ | ٤٧٫٧% | ١٠٧ | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٣٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٣ | ٠٫٠٠٠٨ | ٤٢٫٥% | ١٣٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٤٠ | down | ١٫١٦٠٠ | ٠٫٠٠١١ | ٢٦٫٠% | ١٠٤ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٩٨ | ٠٫٠٠١٣ | ٢٧٫٣% | ٥٥ | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| ٠٫٧٥ | down | ١٫١٥٩١ | ٠٫٠٠٢٠ | ١٨٫٨% | ١٦ | PULLS | |
| ١٫٠٠ | down | ١٫١٥٨٤ | ٠٫٠٠٢٧ | ٢٠٫٠% | ٥ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) | |
| ١٫٥٠ | down | ١٫١٥٧١ | ٠٫٠٠٤٠ | — | ٠ | NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N) |
The playbook
09:45 checkpoint
| band | p (held) | n | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALL (pooled) | ٤٦٫٧% | ٢٬١٧٨ | moved since 2018 |
| up >0.20 | ٦٩٫٦% | ٥٦ | |
| up 0.10-0.20 | ٥٩٫٨% | ٢٠٤ | moved since 2018 |
| up 0.05-0.10 | ٥٤٫٤% | ٣١٦ | moved since 2018 |
| near 0 (<0.05 abs) | ٤٧٫٢% | ١٬٠٢٤ | moved since 2018 |
| dn 0.05-0.10 | ٣٩٫٧% | ٣١٥ | |
| dn 0.10-0.20 | ٢٨٫٨% | ٢١٢ | |
| dn >0.20 | ٢٧٫٥% | ٥١ |
One end by 10:30
| metric | p (held) | n |
|---|---|---|
| RTH high is final by 10:30 | ٤٢٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
| RTH low is final by 10:30 | ٣٩٫٦% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
| Both high and low final by 10:30 | ٥٫٥% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
| Low comes before high (full day) | ٤٨٫٢% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
| Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window) | ٤٩٫١% | ٢٬٢٢٤ |
Stop-fading curve
checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further
| range so far (ATR bin) | p (held) | n | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| [0,0.25) | ٧٠٫٧% | ١٠٬٤٥٨ | moved since 2018 |
| [0.25,0.5) | ٦١٫٩% | ٥٬٧٧٠ | moved since 2018 |
| [0.5,0.75) | ٦١٫٨% | ١٬٢٠٧ | moved since 2018 |
| [0.75,1.0) | ٦٠٫٦% | ٢٣١ | moved since 2018 |
| [1.0,1.25) | ٧٤٫٧% | ٧١ | moved since 2018 |
| [1.25,1.5) | ٤٠٫٤% | ٤٧ | moved since 2018 |
| [1.5,2.0) | ٦٢٫٥% | ٨ | |
| >=2.0 | — | ٠ |
Covers ١٠ symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.