foxalgo.io

6E roadmap

Held era only (2226 sessions, 2010-06-06 .. 2026-08-10) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.

Probabilidades medidas. Sin señales de operación. qué significa →

Current price: 1,1592 · ATR14: 0,0027 · 09:30 open: 1,1611

Every probability below is p_held (measured 2018-01-01 onward only), never the pooled/fit figure -- see parity/roadmap/NALEZY_PRO_WEB.md #1: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 fit era and held era, so only the held (most-recent-regime) number ships. fit_held_differs_ci95 (where present) flags a cell that moved between eras -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.

The map

Touch ladder

Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up1,16120,000188,6%2224NEAR BANDmoved since 2018
0,05down1,16100,000189,5%2224NEAR BAND
0,10up1,16140,000376,9%2224LIKELYmoved since 2018
0,10down1,16080,000378,5%2224LIKELY
0,15up1,16150,000464,5%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,15down1,16070,000468,0%2224COIN FLIP
0,20up1,16160,000553,7%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,20down1,16060,000557,4%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,25up1,16180,000745,0%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,25down1,16040,000748,3%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,30up1,16190,000837,4%2224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,30down1,16030,000840,1%2224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,40up1,16220,001125,9%2224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,40down1,16000,001127,6%2224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,50up1,16250,001318,1%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,50down1,15980,001318,4%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,75up1,16310,00206,2%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,75down1,15910,00206,8%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,00up1,16380,00272,7%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,00down1,15840,00272,6%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,50up1,16520,00400,5%2224LONG SHOT
1,50down1,15710,00400,3%2224LONG SHOT

Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up——89,3%2224NEAR BANDmoved since 2018
0,05down——89,0%2224NEAR BANDmoved since 2018
0,10up——77,4%2224LIKELYmoved since 2018
0,10down——78,5%2224LIKELYmoved since 2018
0,15up——67,3%2224LIKELYmoved since 2018
0,15down——69,7%2224LIKELYmoved since 2018
0,20up——57,6%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,20down——60,6%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,25up——49,6%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,25down——51,9%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,30up——42,4%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,30down——44,6%2224COIN FLIPmoved since 2018
0,40up——29,5%2224STRETCHmoved since 2018
0,40down——33,1%2224STRETCH
0,50up——20,9%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,50down——23,5%2224LONG SHOT
0,75up——8,2%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
0,75down——8,7%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,00up——3,8%2224LONG SHOTmoved since 2018
1,00down——3,2%2224LONG SHOT
1,50up——0,6%2224LONG SHOT
1,50down——0,5%2224LONG SHOT

State of the day

Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.

checkpointnp5p10p25p50p75p90p95p99
084522250,390,440,530,680,891,121,331,87
093022250,410,460,560,730,941,201,401,93
103022250,440,500,610,791,031,311,542,09

Fade caution

range so farp (held)nera flag
<0.554,2%334
0.5-0.8556,9%1074
0.85-1.0559,9%404
1.05-1.2555,9%186
>1.2557,2%180moved since 2018

Named levels

Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.

Midnight open (00:00 ET)

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up1,16120,000192,9%168SCENERY
0,10up1,16140,000385,4%82SCENERY
0,15up1,16150,000473,0%89PULLS
0,20up1,16160,000552,6%95SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25up1,16180,000749,5%99SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30up1,16190,000829,5%112SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40up1,16220,001128,2%135PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50up1,16250,001313,7%182SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,75up1,16310,00208,4%119PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00up1,16380,00270,0%43PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50up1,16520,00400,0%10NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
0,05down1,16100,000191,2%137SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,10down1,16080,000383,2%113SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,15down1,16070,000466,3%92SCENERY
0,20down1,16060,000549,0%96SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25down1,16040,000748,3%89SCENERY
0,30down1,16030,000837,3%110SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40down1,16000,001131,8%126PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50down1,15980,001320,3%153PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75down1,15910,002010,8%111PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00down1,15840,00276,5%46PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50down1,15710,00400,0%10NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day high

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up1,16120,000190,9%110SCENERY
0,10up1,16140,000379,2%77SCENERY
0,15up1,16150,000459,6%89REPELS
0,20up1,16160,000554,9%91SCENERY
0,25up1,16180,000733,7%98REPELS
0,30up1,16190,000831,5%124REPELS
0,40up1,16220,001125,5%165REPELS
0,50up1,16250,001319,2%297SCENERY
0,75up1,16310,00207,5%267SCENERY
1,00up1,16380,00272,0%205SCENERY
1,50up1,16520,00401,3%76SCENERY
0,05down1,16100,000182,6%86SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,10down1,16080,000372,2%54SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,15down1,16070,000470,5%61SCENERY
0,20down1,16060,000560,5%38PULLS
0,25down1,16040,000745,5%44PULLSmoved since 2018
0,30down1,16030,000846,9%64PULLSmoved since 2018
0,40down1,16000,001129,8%67PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50down1,15980,001324,7%81PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75down1,15910,00205,3%57PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00down1,15840,00278,3%36PULLS
1,50down1,15710,00400,0%12NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day low

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up1,16120,000191,5%118SCENERY
0,10up1,16140,000384,9%66PULLSmoved since 2018
0,15up1,16150,000460,0%55SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20up1,16160,000559,7%62SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25up1,16180,000738,1%63SCENERY
0,30up1,16190,000837,9%58SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40up1,16220,001124,6%69PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50up1,16250,001311,1%90PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75up1,16310,00207,8%51PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00up1,16380,00270,0%21PULLS
1,50up1,16520,00400,0%5NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
0,05down1,16100,000193,2%103SCENERY
0,10down1,16080,000390,0%80SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,15down1,16070,000467,7%93SCENERY
0,20down1,16060,000552,2%90SCENERY
0,25down1,16040,000749,4%79SCENERY
0,30down1,16030,000835,6%132REPELS
0,40down1,16000,001131,0%174SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,50down1,15980,001316,7%263REPELSmoved since 2018
0,75down1,15910,00206,9%232SCENERY
1,00down1,15840,00274,1%194SCENERY
1,50down1,15710,00401,2%86SCENERY

Prior day mid

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up1,16120,000189,3%131SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,10up1,16140,000372,4%87SCENERY
0,15up1,16150,000458,6%87SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20up1,16160,000550,5%95SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25up1,16180,000743,4%76SCENERY
0,30up1,16190,000841,0%117SCENERY
0,40up1,16220,001127,4%113PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50up1,16250,001312,3%179SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,75up1,16310,00204,0%149SCENERYmoved since 2018
1,00up1,16380,00271,3%76PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50up1,16520,00400,0%21PULLS
0,05down1,16100,000194,5%145PULLS
0,10down1,16080,000377,4%93SCENERY
0,15down1,16070,000459,0%95REPELS
0,20down1,16060,000553,0%66SCENERY
0,25down1,16040,000748,4%64SCENERY
0,30down1,16030,000831,9%91SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40down1,16000,001122,6%115SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,50down1,15980,001317,1%140SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,75down1,15910,002011,0%154PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00down1,15840,00272,7%74PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50down1,15710,00405,3%38PULLS

Prior settlement / close

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up1,16120,000190,3%155SCENERY
0,10up1,16140,000369,2%78SCENERY
0,15up1,16150,000453,6%97SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20up1,16160,000547,3%74SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25up1,16180,000748,4%97SCENERY
0,30up1,16190,000835,7%112SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40up1,16220,001129,0%124PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50up1,16250,001315,0%153PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75up1,16310,00204,8%147PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00up1,16380,00271,7%58PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50up1,16520,00400,0%12NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
0,05down1,16100,000192,4%131SCENERY
0,10down1,16080,000377,7%94SCENERY
0,15down1,16070,000463,4%82SCENERY
0,20down1,16060,000549,3%75SCENERY
0,25down1,16040,000750,0%84SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30down1,16030,000835,9%106SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,40down1,16000,001122,5%120PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50down1,15980,001321,8%142PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75down1,15910,00209,9%132PULLSmoved since 2018
1,00down1,15840,00276,2%65PULLSmoved since 2018
1,50down1,15710,00400,0%25PULLS

18:00 ET session mid

d (ATR)dirpricepointsp (held)nbandera flag
0,05up1,16120,000193,1%261SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,10up1,16140,000378,5%158SCENERY
0,15up1,16150,000463,1%168SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,20up1,16160,000551,9%129SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25up1,16180,000745,3%117SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30up1,16190,000835,9%128PULLSmoved since 2018
0,40up1,16220,001133,3%120PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50up1,16250,00138,5%47PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75up1,16310,00200,0%17PULLS
1,00up1,16380,002725,0%4NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
1,50up1,16520,00400,0%1NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
0,05down1,16100,000193,1%231SCENERY
0,10down1,16080,000376,3%160SCENERY
0,15down1,16070,000472,2%144SCENERY
0,20down1,16060,000550,8%118SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,25down1,16040,000747,7%107SCENERYmoved since 2018
0,30down1,16030,000842,5%134PULLSmoved since 2018
0,40down1,16000,001126,0%104PULLSmoved since 2018
0,50down1,15980,001327,3%55PULLSmoved since 2018
0,75down1,15910,002018,8%16PULLS
1,00down1,15840,002720,0%5NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
1,50down1,15710,0040—0NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

The playbook

09:45 checkpoint

bandp (held)nera flag
ALL (pooled)46,7%2178moved since 2018
up >0.2069,6%56
up 0.10-0.2059,8%204moved since 2018
up 0.05-0.1054,4%316moved since 2018
near 0 (<0.05 abs)47,2%1024moved since 2018
dn 0.05-0.1039,7%315
dn 0.10-0.2028,8%212
dn >0.2027,5%51

One end by 10:30

metricp (held)n
RTH high is final by 10:3042,5%2224
RTH low is final by 10:3039,6%2224
Both high and low final by 10:305,5%2224
Low comes before high (full day)48,2%2224
Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window)49,1%2224

Stop-fading curve

checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further

range so far (ATR bin)p (held)nera flag
[0,0.25)70,7%10.458moved since 2018
[0.25,0.5)61,9%5770moved since 2018
[0.5,0.75)61,8%1207moved since 2018
[0.75,1.0)60,6%231moved since 2018
[1.0,1.25)74,7%71moved since 2018
[1.25,1.5)40,4%47moved since 2018
[1.5,2.0)62,5%8
>=2.0—0

Covers 10 symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.