GC roadmap

Held era only (٢٬٢٢٤ sessions, 2010-06-06 .. 2026-08-13) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.

احتمالات محسوبة. لا توجد توصيات تداول. ما يعنيه هذا →

Current price: ٤٣٧٢٫٨٠ · ATR14: ٦٣٫٩٦ · 09:30 open: ٤٤٨٥٫٧٠

Every probability below is p_held (measured 2018-01-01 onward only), never the pooled/fit figure -- see parity/roadmap/NALEZY_PRO_WEB.md #1: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 fit era and held era, so only the held (most-recent-regime) number ships. fit_held_differs_ci95 (where present) flags a cell that moved between eras -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.

The map

Touch ladder

Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٤٤٨٨٫٩٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٨٨٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	٤٤٨٢٫٥٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٨٨٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	NEAR BAND
٠٫١٠	up	٤٤٩٢٫١٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧٥٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫١٠	down	٤٤٧٩٫٣٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧٨٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	up	٤٤٩٥٫٢٩	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٥٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫١٥	down	٤٤٧٦٫١١	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٦٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	up	٤٤٩٨٫٤٩	١٢٫٧٩	٥٦٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	٤٤٧٢٫٩١	١٢٫٧٩	٥٧٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	٤٥٠١٫٦٩	١٥٫٩٩	٤٧٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	down	٤٤٦٩٫٧١	١٥٫٩٩	٤٨٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	up	٤٥٠٤٫٨٩	١٩٫١٩	٣٨٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٣٠	down	٤٤٦٦٫٥١	١٩٫١٩	٤١٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	up	٤٥١١٫٢٨	٢٥٫٥٨	٢٧٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	down	٤٤٦٠٫١٢	٢٥٫٥٨	٢٩٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	up	٤٥١٧٫٦٨	٣١٫٩٨	١٨٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
٠٫٥٠	down	٤٤٥٣٫٧٢	٣١٫٩٨	٢٠٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	up	٤٥٣٣٫٦٧	٤٧٫٩٧	٦٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	down	٤٤٣٧٫٧٣	٤٧٫٩٧	٨٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	٤٥٤٩٫٦٦	٦٣٫٩٦	٢٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	down	٤٤٢١٫٧٤	٦٣٫٩٦	٣٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	٤٥٨١٫٦٤	٩٥٫٩٤	٠٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	٤٣٨٩٫٧٦	٩٥٫٩٤	٠٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT

Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	—	—	٨٩٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٣	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	—	—	٩٠٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٣	NEAR BAND
٠٫١٠	up	—	—	٧٨٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫١٠	down	—	—	٧٨٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	up	—	—	٦٧٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫١٥	down	—	—	٦٩٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	up	—	—	٥٩٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	—	—	٦١٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	—	—	٥١٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	down	—	—	٥٣٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	up	—	—	٤٣٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٣٠	down	—	—	٤٥٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	COIN FLIP
٠٫٤٠	up	—	—	٣٠٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	down	—	—	٣٣٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٣	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	up	—	—	٢٢٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
٠٫٥٠	down	—	—	٢٣٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	up	—	—	٩٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	down	—	—	١٠٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	—	—	٣٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	down	—	—	٤٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	—	—	٠٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	—	—	١٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٣	LONG SHOT

State of the day

Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.

checkpoint	n	p5	p10	p25	p50	p75	p90	p95	p99
0845	٢٬٢٢٣	٠٫٣٨	٠٫٤١	٠٫٥١	٠٫٦٦	٠٫٨٧	١٫١٢	١٫٣٣	٢٫٠٦
0930	٢٬٢٢٣	٠٫٣٩	٠٫٤٤	٠٫٥٤	٠٫٧٠	٠٫٩٣	١٫٢٠	١٫٤٦	٢٫١٨
1030	٢٬٢٢٣	٠٫٤٣	٠٫٤٩	٠٫٦١	٠٫٨٠	١٫٠٣	١٫٣٥	١٫٦٨	٢٫٤٦

Fade caution

range so far	p (held)	n
<0.5	٦٢٫٤%	٣٧٨
0.5-0.85	٥٩٫٧%	١٬٠٦٠
0.85-1.05	٥٨٫٩%	٣٣٨
1.05-1.25	٦٢٫٦%	١٨٢
>1.25	٦٣٫٢%	١٩٠

Named levels

Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.

Midnight open (00:00 ET)

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٤٤٨٨٫٩٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٨٧٫٧%	٢٠٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٤٤٩٢٫١٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧٦٫٥%	١١٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٤٤٩٥٫٢٩	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٣٫٥%	٨٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٤٤٩٨٫٤٩	١٢٫٧٩	٥٥٫٠%	١٠٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٤٥٠١٫٦٩	١٥٫٩٩	٤١٫٠%	٨٣	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٤٥٠٤٫٨٩	١٩٫١٩	٣٥٫٧%	١١٥	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٤٠	up	٤٥١١٫٢٨	٢٥٫٥٨	٢٦٫٣%	٩٩	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٤٥١٧٫٦٨	٣١٫٩٨	١٨٫٥%	٩٢	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٤٥٣٣٫٦٧	٤٧٫٩٧	١٠٫١%	٧٩	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٤٥٤٩٫٦٦	٦٣٫٩٦	٠٫٠%	٤٤	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٤٥٨١٫٦٤	٩٥٫٩٤	٠٫٠%	١٨	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٤٤٨٢٫٥٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٨٨٫٦%	٢٠٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٤٤٧٩٫٣٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧٢٫٩%	١٤٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٤٤٧٦٫١١	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٩٫٦%	١٢٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٤٤٧٢٫٩١	١٢٫٧٩	٥٠٫٥%	٩٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٤٤٦٩٫٧١	١٥٫٩٩	٤١٫٤%	٩٩	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٤٤٦٦٫٥١	١٩٫١٩	٤٣٫٨%	١٢١	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٤٤٦٠٫١٢	٢٥٫٥٨	٢٩٫٦%	١١٥	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٤٤٥٣٫٧٢	٣١٫٩٨	١٥٫٩%	١٢٦	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٤٤٣٧٫٧٣	٤٧٫٩٧	١٣٫٩%	١٠٨	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٤٤٢١٫٧٤	٦٣٫٩٦	٩٫١%	٣٣	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٤٣٨٩٫٧٦	٩٥٫٩٤	١١٫١%	٩	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day high

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٤٤٨٨٫٩٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٩٠٫٩%	١٥٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٤٤٩٢٫١٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧١٫١%	٨٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٤٤٩٥٫٢٩	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٥٫٨%	٧٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٤٤٩٨٫٤٩	١٢٫٧٩	٤٨٫١%	١٠٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٤٥٠١٫٦٩	١٥٫٩٩	٤٦٫٢%	١٠٤	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٤٥٠٤٫٨٩	١٩٫١٩	٣٥٫٢%	١٦٢	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٤٥١١٫٢٨	٢٥٫٥٨	٢٤٫٩%	١٨١	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٤٥١٧٫٦٨	٣١٫٩٨	١٨٫٣%	٢٣٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٤٥٣٣٫٦٧	٤٧٫٩٧	٤٫٠%	٢٠١	SCENERY	moved since 2018
١٫٠٠	up	٤٥٤٩٫٦٦	٦٣٫٩٦	٣٫٥%	١٤٢	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٤٥٨١٫٦٤	٩٥٫٩٤	٠٫٠%	٧٨	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٤٤٨٢٫٥٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٩٥٫٢%	١٠٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٤٤٧٩٫٣٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧٠٫٣%	٦٤	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٤٤٧٦٫١١	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٧٣٫٨%	٦١	PULLS
٠٫٢٠	down	٤٤٧٢٫٩١	١٢٫٧٩	٥٥٫٦%	٤٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٤٤٦٩٫٧١	١٥٫٩٩	٤٩٫١%	٥٧	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٤٤٦٦٫٥١	١٩٫١٩	٤١٫٢%	٦٨	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٤٤٦٠٫١٢	٢٥٫٥٨	٤٠٫٠%	٥٥	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٥٠	down	٤٤٥٣٫٧٢	٣١٫٩٨	٢١٫٢%	٨٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٤٤٣٧٫٧٣	٤٧٫٩٧	١١٫٨%	٦٨	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٤٤٢١٫٧٤	٦٣٫٩٦	١١٫١%	٣٦	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٤٣٨٩٫٧٦	٩٥٫٩٤	٧٫٧%	١٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day low

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٤٤٨٨٫٩٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٩٢٫٧%	٩٦	PULLS
٠٫١٠	up	٤٤٩٢٫١٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٦٦٫٠%	٤٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٤٤٩٥٫٢٩	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٥٢٫٨%	٣٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٤٤٩٨٫٤٩	١٢٫٧٩	٥١٫٥%	٣٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٤٥٠١٫٦٩	١٥٫٩٩	٤٦٫٧%	٣٠	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٤٥٠٤٫٨٩	١٩٫١٩	٢٧٫٥%	٤٠	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٤٥١١٫٢٨	٢٥٫٥٨	٣٧٫٥%	٣٢	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٤٥١٧٫٦٨	٣١٫٩٨	٢٠٫٠%	٦٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٤٥٣٣٫٦٧	٤٧٫٩٧	١١٫١%	٥٤	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٤٥٤٩٫٦٦	٦٣٫٩٦	٣٫٠%	٣٣	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٤٥٨١٫٦٤	٩٥٫٩٤	٠٫٠%	١٠	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٤٤٨٢٫٥٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٩٤٫٣%	١٠٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٤٤٧٩٫٣٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧٦٫٠%	٧٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٤٤٧٦٫١١	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٥٫٧%	١٠٨	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٤٤٧٢٫٩١	١٢٫٧٩	٥٥٫٨%	١٠٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٤٤٦٩٫٧١	١٥٫٩٩	٤٥٫٦%	١٠٣	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٤٤٦٦٫٥١	١٩٫١٩	٣٧٫٩%	١٥٣	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٤٤٦٠٫١٢	٢٥٫٥٨	١٩٫٣%	١٩٢	REPELS
٠٫٥٠	down	٤٤٥٣٫٧٢	٣١٫٩٨	١٢٫٩%	٢٦٤	REPELS
٠٫٧٥	down	٤٤٣٧٫٧٣	٤٧٫٩٧	٨٫٣%	٢٧٦	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٤٤٢١٫٧٤	٦٣٫٩٦	٢٫٣%	٢١٧	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٤٣٨٩٫٧٦	٩٥٫٩٤	١٫٨%	١١٠	SCENERY

Prior day mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٤٤٨٨٫٩٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٩٢٫٢%	١٦٦	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٤٤٩٢٫١٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٦٩٫٦%	١١٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٤٤٩٥٫٢٩	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٤٫٢%	٩٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٤٤٩٨٫٤٩	١٢٫٧٩	٥١٫٣%	٧٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٤٥٠١٫٦٩	١٥٫٩٩	٦٠٫٩%	٦٩	PULLS
٠٫٣٠	up	٤٥٠٤٫٨٩	١٩٫١٩	٢٣٫٠%	١٠٠	REPELS
٠٫٤٠	up	٤٥١١٫٢٨	٢٥٫٥٨	٣٢٫٤%	٦٨	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٤٥١٧٫٦٨	٣١٫٩٨	١٤٫٨%	١١٥	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٧٥	up	٤٥٣٣٫٦٧	٤٧٫٩٧	٧٫٩%	٨٩	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٤٥٤٩٫٦٦	٦٣٫٩٦	١٫٣%	٧٧	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٤٥٨١٫٦٤	٩٥٫٩٤	٠٫٠%	٣٣	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٤٤٨٢٫٥٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٨٨٫٢%	١٥٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٤٤٧٩٫٣٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧٣٫٣%	١٠١	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫١٥	down	٤٤٧٦٫١١	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٢٫٢%	٩٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٤٤٧٢٫٩١	١٢٫٧٩	٥٢٫٠%	٧٥	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٥	down	٤٤٦٩٫٧١	١٥٫٩٩	٤١٫٤%	٩٩	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٤٤٦٦٫٥١	١٩٫١٩	٤١٫٢%	٩٧	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٤٤٦٠٫١٢	٢٥٫٥٨	٣٤٫٨%	١١٥	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٤٤٥٣٫٧٢	٣١٫٩٨	١٦٫٣%	١٩٦	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٤٤٣٧٫٧٣	٤٧٫٩٧	١٢٫١%	١٣٢	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٤٤٢١٫٧٤	٦٣٫٩٦	٧٫٩%	١٠١	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٤٣٨٩٫٧٦	٩٥٫٩٤	٠٫٠%	٣٢	SCENERY

Prior settlement / close

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٤٤٨٨٫٩٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٩٢٫٤%	١٥٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٤٤٩٢٫١٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٨٠٫٢%	١٠١	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٤٤٩٥٫٢٩	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٥٦٫٣%	١٠٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٤٤٩٨٫٤٩	١٢٫٧٩	٦٣٫٦%	٦٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٤٥٠١٫٦٩	١٥٫٩٩	٣٣٫٣%	٧٨	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٤٥٠٤٫٨٩	١٩٫١٩	٣٥٫٠%	٨٠	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٤٥١١٫٢٨	٢٥٫٥٨	٢٤٫٢%	٩٥	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٤٥١٧٫٦٨	٣١٫٩٨	١٦٫١%	٩٣	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٤٥٣٣٫٦٧	٤٧٫٩٧	٨٫٨%	٩١	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٤٥٤٩٫٦٦	٦٣٫٩٦	١٫٧%	٥٨	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٤٥٨١٫٦٤	٩٥٫٩٤	٠٫٠%	٢٥	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٤٤٨٢٫٥٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٨٨٫٣%	١٧١	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫١٠	down	٤٤٧٩٫٣٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧٥٫٦%	١١٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٤٤٧٦٫١١	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٥٥٫٦%	٩٩	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٠	down	٤٤٧٢٫٩١	١٢٫٧٩	٥٧٫٠%	٩٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٤٤٦٩٫٧١	١٥٫٩٩	٣٨٫٠%	٩٢	REPELS
٠٫٣٠	down	٤٤٦٦٫٥١	١٩٫١٩	٣٥٫٣%	١١٩	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٤٤٦٠٫١٢	٢٥٫٥٨	٣١٫٨%	١٢٩	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٤٤٥٣٫٧٢	٣١٫٩٨	٢٤٫٢%	١٥٣	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٤٤٣٧٫٧٣	٤٧٫٩٧	٩٫٦%	١١٥	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٤٤٢١٫٧٤	٦٣٫٩٦	٦٫٣%	٧٩	PULLS
١٫٥٠	down	٤٣٨٩٫٧٦	٩٥٫٩٤	٥٫٦%	١٨	SCENERY

18:00 ET session mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٤٤٨٨٫٩٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٩٠٫٢%	٣٠٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٤٤٩٢٫١٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧١٫٣%	١٦٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٤٤٩٥٫٢٩	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٠٫٦%	١٣٧	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٠	up	٤٤٩٨٫٤٩	١٢٫٧٩	٥٨٫٨%	١١٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٤٥٠١٫٦٩	١٥٫٩٩	٥٢٫٦%	٩٥	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٤٥٠٤٫٨٩	١٩٫١٩	٤١٫٢%	٦٨	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٤٥١١٫٢٨	٢٥٫٥٨	٣٦٫١%	٦١	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٤٥١٧٫٦٨	٣١٫٩٨	٢١٫٤%	٤٢	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٤٥٣٣٫٦٧	٤٧٫٩٧	٤٫٦%	٢٢	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٤٥٤٩٫٦٦	٦٣٫٩٦	٣٣٫٣%	٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	up	٤٥٨١٫٦٤	٩٥٫٩٤	٠٫٠%	٢	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٤٤٨٢٫٥٠	٣٫١٩٧٩	٨٩٫٢%	٣٠٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٤٤٧٩٫٣٠	٦٫٣٩٥٧	٧٢٫٣%	٢١٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٤٤٧٦٫١١	٩٫٥٩٣٦	٦٤٫٨%	١٥٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٤٤٧٢٫٩١	١٢٫٧٩	٥٨٫٥%	١٤٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٤٤٦٩٫٧١	١٥٫٩٩	٥٠٫٩%	١١٦	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٤٤٦٦٫٥١	١٩٫١٩	٤٧٫٨%	١١٥	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٤٤٦٠٫١٢	٢٥٫٥٨	٢٥٫٥%	٩٨	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٤٤٥٣٫٧٢	٣١٫٩٨	٢٧٫١%	٤٨	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٤٤٣٧٫٧٣	٤٧٫٩٧	٠٫٠%	١٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٠٠	down	٤٤٢١٫٧٤	٦٣٫٩٦	—	٠	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

The playbook

09:45 checkpoint

band	p (held)	n	era flag
ALL (pooled)	٤٩٫٦%	٢٬١٤٨
up >0.20	٧٦٫٢%	١٠٥
up 0.10-0.20	٦٣٫٤%	٢٨٤
up 0.05-0.10	٥٦٫٦%	٣٢٠
near 0 (<0.05 abs)	٤٩٫٩%	٧٣٠	moved since 2018
dn 0.05-0.10	٤٢٫٩%	٣٠١
dn 0.10-0.20	٣٦٫٤%	٢٨٠
dn >0.20	٢٢٫٧%	١٢٨

One end by 10:30

metric	p (held)	n
RTH high is final by 10:30	٤٤٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٣
RTH low is final by 10:30	٤٨٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٣
Both high and low final by 10:30	٨٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٣
Low comes before high (full day)	٥٠٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٣
Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window)	٥٠٫١%	٢٬٢٢٣

Stop-fading curve

checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further

range so far (ATR bin)	p (held)	n	era flag
[0,0.25)	٦٦٫٢%	٨٬٩٨٢
[0.25,0.5)	٥٨٫٣%	٦٬٥٨٥	moved since 2018
[0.5,0.75)	٥٦٫٩%	١٬٥٦٥
[0.75,1.0)	٦٨٫٠%	٤١٥	moved since 2018
[1.0,1.25)	٦٦٫٩%	١٣٦	moved since 2018
[1.25,1.5)	٥٤٫٦%	٦٦
[1.5,2.0)	٦٦٫٧%	٣٠
>=2.0	٠٫٠%	٥

Covers ١٠ symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.