NQ roadmap

Held era only (٢٬٢٢٨ sessions, 2010-06-06 .. 2026-08-13) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.

احتمالات محسوبة. لا توجد توصيات تداول. ما يعنيه هذا →

Current price: ٢٩١٣٦٫٧٥ · ATR14: ٢٧٤٫٨٨ · 09:30 open: ٢٩٤٨٥٫٠٠

Every probability below is p_held (measured 2018-01-01 onward only), never the pooled/fit figure -- see parity/roadmap/NALEZY_PRO_WEB.md #1: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 fit era and held era, so only the held (most-recent-regime) number ships. fit_held_differs_ci95 (where present) flags a cell that moved between eras -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.

The map

Touch ladder

Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٤٩٨٫٧٤	١٣٫٧٤	٩٠٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٢	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٤٧١٫٢٦	١٣٫٧٤	٨٩٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٢	NEAR BAND
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٥١٢٫٤٩	٢٧٫٤٩	٨١٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٢	LIKELY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٤٥٧٫٥١	٢٧٫٤٩	٨١٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٢	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٥٢٦٫٢٣	٤١٫٢٣	٧٣٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٢	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٤٤٣٫٧٧	٤١٫٢٣	٧١٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٢	LIKELY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٥٣٩٫٩٨	٥٤٫٩٨	٦٦٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٢	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٤٣٠٫٠٣	٥٤٫٩٨	٦٣٫١%	٢٬٢٢٢	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٥٥٣٫٧٢	٦٨٫٧٢	٥٨٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٢	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٤١٦٫٢٨	٦٨٫٧٢	٥٥٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٢	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٥٦٧٫٤٦	٨٢٫٤٦	٥٢٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٢	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٤٠٢٫٥٤	٨٢٫٤٦	٥٠٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٢	COIN FLIP
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٥٩٤٫٩٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٤٠٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٢	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٣٧٥٫٠٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٤٠٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٢	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٦٢٢٫٤٤	١٣٧٫٤٤	٣٠٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٢	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٣٤٧٫٥٦	١٣٧٫٤٤	٣١٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٢	STRETCH
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٦٩١٫١٦	٢٠٦٫١٦	١٢٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٢	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٢٧٨٫٨٤	٢٠٦٫١٦	١٧٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٢	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٧٥٩٫٨٨	٢٧٤٫٨٨	٥٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٢	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٢١٠٫١٣	٢٧٤٫٨٨	١٠٫١%	٢٬٢٢٢	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٨٩٧٫٣١	٤١٢٫٣١	٠٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٢	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٠٧٢٫٦٩	٤١٢٫٣١	٢٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٢	LONG SHOT

Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	—	—	٩٠٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٥	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	—	—	٩٠٫١%	٢٬٢٢٥	NEAR BAND
٠٫١٠	up	—	—	٨٢٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٥	LIKELY	moved since 2018
٠٫١٠	down	—	—	٨١٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٥	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	up	—	—	٧٤٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٥	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	down	—	—	٧٣٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٥	LIKELY
٠٫٢٠	up	—	—	٦٦٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	—	—	٦٥٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	—	—	٥٨٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	down	—	—	٥٨٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	up	—	—	٥٢٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	down	—	—	٥١٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٤٠	up	—	—	٤٠٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٥	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	down	—	—	٤٢٫١%	٢٬٢٢٥	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	up	—	—	٣٠٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٥	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	down	—	—	٣٢٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٥	STRETCH
٠٫٧٥	up	—	—	١٢٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	down	—	—	١٧٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	—	—	٥٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	down	—	—	١٠٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	—	—	٠٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	—	—	٢٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT

State of the day

Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.

checkpoint	n	p5	p10	p25	p50	p75	p90	p95	p99
0845	٢٬٢٢٧	٠٫٢٥	٠٫٢٩	٠٫٣٦	٠٫٥٠	٠٫٦٨	٠٫٨٩	١٫٠٧	١٫٥٩
0930	٢٬٢٢٧	٠٫٢٧	٠٫٣٠	٠٫٣٩	٠٫٥٢	٠٫٧١	٠٫٩٤	١٫١٢	١٫٦٢
1030	٢٬٢٢٧	٠٫٣٣	٠٫٣٩	٠٫٥١	٠٫٦٧	٠٫٩١	١٫٢٠	١٫٤٢	١٫٩٦

Fade caution

range so far	p (held)	n	era flag
<0.5	٤٩٫٧%	٩٦٣	moved since 2018
0.5-0.85	٤٨٫٤%	٨٥٩
0.85-1.05	٥١٫٧%	١٧٦
1.05-1.25	٤٦٫٠%	٧٤
>1.25	٤٥٫٢%	٧٣

Named levels

Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.

Midnight open (00:00 ET)

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٤٩٨٫٧٤	١٣٫٧٤	٩١٫٥%	٢٤٦	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٥١٢٫٤٩	٢٧٫٤٩	٧٧٫٦%	١٤٧	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٥٢٦٫٢٣	٤١٫٢٣	٧٥٫٢%	١٠٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٥٣٩٫٩٨	٥٤٫٩٨	٧٣٫٧%	٩٥	PULLS
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٥٥٣٫٧٢	٦٨٫٧٢	٥٩٫٨%	٩٢	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٥٦٧٫٤٦	٨٢٫٤٦	٦١٫٩%	٩٧	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٥٩٤٫٩٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٤٩٫٤%	٨٧	PULLS
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٦٢٢٫٤٤	١٣٧٫٤٤	٤٥٫٦%	٧٩	PULLS
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٦٩١٫١٦	٢٠٦٫١٦	٢٢٫٧%	٤٤	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٧٥٩٫٨٨	٢٧٤٫٨٨	١٥٫٨%	١٩	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٨٩٧٫٣١	٤١٢٫٣١	٠٫٠%	٦	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٤٧١٫٢٦	١٣٫٧٤	٩٠٫٢%	٢٧٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٤٥٧٫٥١	٢٧٫٤٩	٨٠٫١%	١٦١	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٤٤٣٫٧٧	٤١٫٢٣	٦٤٫٥%	١٥٥	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٤٣٠٫٠٣	٥٤٫٩٨	٦٤٫٧%	١١٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٤١٦٫٢٨	٦٨٫٧٢	٥٨٫٧%	١٢١	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٤٠٢٫٥٤	٨٢٫٤٦	٥١٫٦%	١٢٦	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٣٧٥٫٠٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٥٠٫٤%	١١٩	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٣٤٧٫٥٦	١٣٧٫٤٤	٣٦٫٤%	٨٨	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٢٧٨٫٨٤	٢٠٦٫١٦	٢٤٫١%	٢٩	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٢١٠٫١٣	٢٧٤٫٨٨	٠٫٠%	٦	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٠٧٢٫٦٩	٤١٢٫٣١	٠٫٠%	٢	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day high

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٤٩٨٫٧٤	١٣٫٧٤	٩٢٫٧%	١٥٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٥١٢٫٤٩	٢٧٫٤٩	٧٠٫٤%	١٠٨	REPELS
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٥٢٦٫٢٣	٤١٫٢٣	٦٨٫٤%	١١٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٥٣٩٫٩٨	٥٤٫٩٨	٦٦٫٧%	٩٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٥٥٣٫٧٢	٦٨٫٧٢	٦٣٫٥%	٩٦	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٥٦٧٫٤٦	٨٢٫٤٦	٤٩٫٣%	١٣٨	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٥٩٤٫٩٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٣٩٫٦%	١٥٩	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٦٢٢٫٤٤	١٣٧٫٤٤	٢٠٫٥%	٢٢٤	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٦٩١٫١٦	٢٠٦٫١٦	١٦٫٩%	٢١٩	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٧٥٩٫٨٨	٢٧٤٫٨٨	٧٫٠%	١٨٧	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٨٩٧٫٣١	٤١٢٫٣١	٤٫٣%	٩٣	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٤٧١٫٢٦	١٣٫٧٤	٩٣٫٢%	١٣٢	PULLS
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٤٥٧٫٥١	٢٧٫٤٩	٧٨٫٢%	٨٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٤٤٣٫٧٧	٤١٫٢٣	٦٧٫١%	٧٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٤٣٠٫٠٣	٥٤٫٩٨	٦٩٫٨%	٤٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٤١٦٫٢٨	٦٨٫٧٢	٥٣٫١%	٤٩	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٤٠٢٫٥٤	٨٢٫٤٦	٥٩٫٦%	٤٧	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٣٧٥٫٠٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٤٠٫٠%	٦٠	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٣٤٧٫٥٦	١٣٧٫٤٤	٣٨٫٣%	٤٧	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٢٧٨٫٨٤	٢٠٦٫١٦	٤٦٫٤%	٢٨	PULLS
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٢١٠٫١٣	٢٧٤٫٨٨	٠٫٠%	٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٠٧٢٫٦٩	٤١٢٫٣١	٠٫٠%	٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day low

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٤٩٨٫٧٤	١٣٫٧٤	٩٢٫٤%	٧٩	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٥١٢٫٤٩	٢٧٫٤٩	٨٥٫٤%	٤١	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٥٢٦٫٢٣	٤١٫٢٣	٨٤٫٤%	٣٢	PULLS
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٥٣٩٫٩٨	٥٤٫٩٨	٨١٫٣%	٣٢	PULLS
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٥٥٣٫٧٢	٦٨٫٧٢	٤٧٫٨%	٢٣	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٥٦٧٫٤٦	٨٢٫٤٦	٥٨٫٣%	٢٤	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٥٩٤٫٩٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٥٤٫٨%	٣١	PULLS
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٦٢٢٫٤٤	١٣٧٫٤٤	٤٠٫٥%	٤٢	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٦٩١٫١٦	٢٠٦٫١٦	٢٢٫٢%	٢٧	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٧٥٩٫٨٨	٢٧٤٫٨٨	٣٣٫٣%	١٨	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٨٩٧٫٣١	٤١٢٫٣١	٠٫٠%	٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٤٧١٫٢٦	١٣٫٧٤	٩٣٫٣%	٨٩	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٤٥٧٫٥١	٢٧٫٤٩	٨٧٫٣%	٧١	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٤٤٣٫٧٧	٤١٫٢٣	٦٣٫٤%	٨٢	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٤٣٠٫٠٣	٥٤٫٩٨	٧٢٫٩%	٨٥	PULLS
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٤١٦٫٢٨	٦٨٫٧٢	٥٦٫٥%	٩٢	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٤٠٢٫٥٤	٨٢٫٤٦	٣٧٫٥%	١٣٦	REPELS
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٣٧٥٫٠٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٣٩٫٩%	١٦٣	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٣٤٧٫٥٦	١٣٧٫٤٤	٢٧٫٠%	٣٤٤	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٢٧٨٫٨٤	٢٠٦٫١٦	١٦٫٣%	٣٦٣	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٢١٠٫١٣	٢٧٤٫٨٨	٨٫٢%	٢٨١	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٠٧٢٫٦٩	٤١٢٫٣١	٧٫١%	١٢٧	SCENERY

Prior day mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٤٩٨٫٧٤	١٣٫٧٤	٩٢٫٠%	١٣٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٥١٢٫٤٩	٢٧٫٤٩	٨٧٫٦%	٨١	PULLS
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٥٢٦٫٢٣	٤١٫٢٣	٧٢٫٧%	٨٨	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٥٣٩٫٩٨	٥٤٫٩٨	٦١٫٨%	٦٨	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٥٥٣٫٧٢	٦٨٫٧٢	٦٣٫٩%	٦١	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٥٦٧٫٤٦	٨٢٫٤٦	٥٩٫٨%	٩٧	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٥٩٤٫٩٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٥٠٫٠%	٨٢	PULLS
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٦٢٢٫٤٤	١٣٧٫٤٤	٢٧٫٣%	٩٩	PULLS	moved since 2018
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٦٩١٫١٦	٢٠٦٫١٦	٢٧٫٣%	١١٠	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٧٥٩٫٨٨	٢٧٤٫٨٨	١٥٫١%	٥٣	PULLS
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٨٩٧٫٣١	٤١٢٫٣١	٣٫٦%	٢٨	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٤٧١٫٢٦	١٣٫٧٤	٩٢٫٧%	١٣٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٤٥٧٫٥١	٢٧٫٤٩	٧٩٫٠%	١٠٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٤٤٣٫٧٧	٤١٫٢٣	٦٢٫٦%	١١٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٤٣٠٫٠٣	٥٤٫٩٨	٦١٫٤%	١٠١	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٤١٦٫٢٨	٦٨٫٧٢	٥٠٫٥%	١٠٥	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٤٠٢٫٥٤	٨٢٫٤٦	٤٨٫٩%	١٤٣	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٣٧٥٫٠٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٤١٫١%	١٦٣	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٣٤٧٫٥٦	١٣٧٫٤٤	٢٧٫٧%	١٩٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٢٧٨٫٨٤	٢٠٦٫١٦	١٧٫٤%	١٤٤	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٢١٠٫١٣	٢٧٤٫٨٨	٢٥٫٠%	٨٠	PULLS	moved since 2018
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٠٧٢٫٦٩	٤١٢٫٣١	٠٫٠%	١٥	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior settlement / close

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٤٩٨٫٧٤	١٣٫٧٤	٩٠٫٤%	١٧٧	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٥١٢٫٤٩	٢٧٫٤٩	٨٨٫١%	١٠١	PULLS
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٥٢٦٫٢٣	٤١٫٢٣	٧٥٫٠%	٩٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٥٣٩٫٩٨	٥٤٫٩٨	٦٥٫٩%	٨٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٥٥٣٫٧٢	٦٨٫٧٢	٥٩٫٧%	٧٢	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٥٦٧٫٤٦	٨٢٫٤٦	٥٤٫٣%	٨١	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٥٩٤٫٩٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٤٠٫٨%	٧٦	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٦٢٢٫٤٤	١٣٧٫٤٤	٤١٫٦%	١٠١	PULLS
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٦٩١٫١٦	٢٠٦٫١٦	٢٧٫٦%	٧٦	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٧٥٩٫٨٨	٢٧٤٫٨٨	١٧٫١%	٤١	PULLS
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٨٩٧٫٣١	٤١٢٫٣١	٠٫٠%	٩	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٤٧١٫٢٦	١٣٫٧٤	٩٢٫٩%	٢١٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٤٥٧٫٥١	٢٧٫٤٩	٨٣٫٧%	١٣٥	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٤٤٣٫٧٧	٤١٫٢٣	٦٢٫٠%	١١٣	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٤٣٠٫٠٣	٥٤٫٩٨	٥٩٫١%	١٠٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٤١٦٫٢٨	٦٨٫٧٢	٥٨٫٩%	١١٢	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٤٠٢٫٥٤	٨٢٫٤٦	٤٨٫١%	١٣٣	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٣٧٥٫٠٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٤١٫١%	١٢٤	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٣٤٧٫٥٦	١٣٧٫٤٤	٣١٫١%	١٥١	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٢٧٨٫٨٤	٢٠٦٫١٦	٣٢٫٢%	٩٠	PULLS	moved since 2018
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٢١٠٫١٣	٢٧٤٫٨٨	٢٢٫٦%	٣١	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٠٧٢٫٦٩	٤١٢٫٣١	٠٫٠%	١١	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

18:00 ET session mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٤٩٨٫٧٤	١٣٫٧٤	٨٩٫٤%	٤٠٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٥١٢٫٤٩	٢٧٫٤٩	٨١٫١%	٢٠٦	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٥٢٦٫٢٣	٤١٫٢٣	٧٦٫٢%	١٤٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٥٣٩٫٩٨	٥٤٫٩٨	٦٦٫٧%	٨٤	PULLS	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٥٥٣٫٧٢	٦٨٫٧٢	٦٧٫٧%	٦٥	PULLS
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٥٦٧٫٤٦	٨٢٫٤٦	٧٥٫٠%	٥٢	PULLS
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٥٩٤٫٩٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٥٩٫٤%	٣٢	PULLS
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٦٢٢٫٤٤	١٣٧٫٤٤	٥٠٫٠%	١٦	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٦٩١٫١٦	٢٠٦٫١٦	٦٦٫٧%	٦	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٨٩٧٫٣١	٤١٢٫٣١	—	٠	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٤٧١٫٢٦	١٣٫٧٤	٩١٫١%	٤٢٩	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٤٥٧٫٥١	٢٧٫٤٩	٧٧٫٠%	٢٦٥	SCENERY	moved since 2018
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٤٤٣٫٧٧	٤١٫٢٣	٧١٫٧%	١٩١	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٤٣٠٫٠٣	٥٤٫٩٨	٧١٫٤%	١٢٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٤١٦٫٢٨	٦٨٫٧٢	٦٠٫٠%	٨٥	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٤٠٢٫٥٤	٨٢٫٤٦	٥٩٫٠%	٦١	PULLS
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٣٧٥٫٠٥	١٠٩٫٩٥	٥٢٫٨%	٣٦	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٣٤٧٫٥٦	١٣٧٫٤٤	٤٦٫٧%	١٥	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٢٧٨٫٨٤	٢٠٦٫١٦	٦٦٫٧%	٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٠٧٢٫٦٩	٤١٢٫٣١	—	٠	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

The playbook

09:45 checkpoint

band	p (held)	n
ALL (pooled)	٥٤٫٠%	٢٬١٤٥
up >0.20	٧٥٫٣%	٢٧٥
up 0.10-0.20	٦٨٫٤%	٣٥٨
up 0.05-0.10	٦١٫٢%	٢٣٢
near 0 (<0.05 abs)	٥٣٫٣%	٤٩٧
dn 0.05-0.10	٥٠٫٧%	٢١٥
dn 0.10-0.20	٣٩٫٠%	٢٨٥
dn >0.20	٢٨٫٣%	٢٨٣

One end by 10:30

metric	p (held)	n
RTH high is final by 10:30	٣٧٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٢
RTH low is final by 10:30	٤٤٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٢
Both high and low final by 10:30	٣٫٨%	٢٬٢٢٢
Low comes before high (full day)	٥٣٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٢
Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window)	٥٠٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٢

Stop-fading curve

checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further

range so far (ATR bin)	p (held)	n	era flag
[0,0.25)	٧٠٫٩%	٥٬٩٩٤
[0.25,0.5)	٧١٫٥%	٨٬١٧٢	moved since 2018
[0.5,0.75)	٧٠٫٩%	٢٬٤٩٦
[0.75,1.0)	٧٣٫٩%	٧٤٤	moved since 2018
[1.0,1.25)	٧٥٫٢%	٢٥٠	moved since 2018
[1.25,1.5)	٧٣٫٧%	٧٦
[1.5,2.0)	٥٩٫٤%	٣٢
>=2.0	٢٥٫٠%	١٢

Covers ١٠ symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.