RTY roadmap

Held era only (٢٬٢٢٧ sessions, 2017-07-09 .. 2026-08-13) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.

احتمالات محسوبة. لا توجد توصيات تداول. ما يعنيه هذا →

Current price: ٢٩٢٣٫٠٠ · ATR14: ٢٤٫٦٥ · 09:30 open: ٢٩٥٩٫٣٠

Every probability below is p_held (measured 2018-01-01 onward only), never the pooled/fit figure -- see parity/roadmap/NALEZY_PRO_WEB.md #1: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 fit era and held era, so only the held (most-recent-regime) number ships. fit_held_differs_ci95 (where present) flags a cell that moved between eras -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.

The map

Touch ladder

Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٦٠٫٥٣	١٫٢٣٢٥	٨٩٫٥%	٢٬٢٢١	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٥٨٫٠٧	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩١٫٤%	٢٬٢٢١	NEAR BAND
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٦١٫٧٧	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨١٫٦%	٢٬٢٢١	LIKELY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٥٦٫٨٤	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨٢٫٧%	٢٬٢٢١	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٦٣٫٠٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧٣٫١%	٢٬٢٢١	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٥٥٫٦٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧٥٫٢%	٢٬٢٢١	LIKELY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٦٤٫٢٣	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦٤٫٨%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٥٤٫٣٧	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦٨٫٣%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٦٥٫٤٦	٦٫١٦٢٥	٥٨٫٥%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٥٣٫١٤	٦٫١٦٢٥	٦١٫٤%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٦٦٫٧٠	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٥٢٫٢%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٥١٫٩١	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٥٤٫٩%	٢٬٢٢١	COIN FLIP
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٦٩٫١٦	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٤٠٫٠%	٢٬٢٢١	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٤٩٫٤٤	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٤٤٫٤%	٢٬٢٢١	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٧١٫٦٣	١٢٫٣٣	٢٩٫٦%	٢٬٢٢١	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٤٦٫٩٨	١٢٫٣٣	٣٥٫٤%	٢٬٢٢١	STRETCH
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٧٧٫٧٩	١٨٫٤٩	١٢٫٦%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٤٠٫٨١	١٨٫٤٩	١٨٫٤%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٨٣٫٩٥	٢٤٫٦٥	٥٫١%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٣٤٫٦٥	٢٤٫٦٥	٨٫٣%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٩٦٫٢٨	٣٦٫٩٨	١٫١%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٢٢٫٣٣	٣٦٫٩٨	٢٫٢%	٢٬٢٢١	LONG SHOT

Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band	era flag
٠٫٠٥	up	—	—	٩١٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٥	NEAR BAND
٠٫٠٥	down	—	—	٩٢٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٥	NEAR BAND
٠٫١٠	up	—	—	٨١٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٥	LIKELY
٠٫١٠	down	—	—	٨٤٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٥	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	up	—	—	٧٣٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٥	LIKELY
٠٫١٥	down	—	—	٧٦٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٥	LIKELY
٠٫٢٠	up	—	—	٦٦٫٥%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٠	down	—	—	٦٩٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٢٥	up	—	—	٥٨٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP	moved since 2018
٠٫٢٥	down	—	—	٦٢٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	up	—	—	٥٢٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٣٠	down	—	—	٥٦٫٦%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٤٠	up	—	—	٤٠٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٥	STRETCH
٠٫٤٠	down	—	—	٤٥٫٤%	٢٬٢٢٥	COIN FLIP
٠٫٥٠	up	—	—	٣٠٫٣%	٢٬٢٢٥	STRETCH
٠٫٥٠	down	—	—	٣٥٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٥	STRETCH	moved since 2018
٠٫٧٥	up	—	—	١٣٫١%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
٠٫٧٥	down	—	—	١٨٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	up	—	—	٥٫٧%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
١٫٠٠	down	—	—	٩٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	up	—	—	١٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT
١٫٥٠	down	—	—	٢٫٢%	٢٬٢٢٥	LONG SHOT

State of the day

Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.

checkpoint	n	p5	p10	p25	p50	p75	p90	p95	p99
0845	٢٬٢٢٧	٠٫٢٤	٠٫٢٧	٠٫٣٥	٠٫٤٧	٠٫٦٤	٠٫٨٧	١٫٠٥	١٫٧٢
0930	٢٬٢٢٧	٠٫٢٦	٠٫٣٠	٠٫٣٨	٠٫٥٠	٠٫٦٨	٠٫٩٢	١٫١٢	١٫٨٢
1030	٢٬٢٢٧	٠٫٣٦	٠٫٤٢	٠٫٥٣	٠٫٦٩	٠٫٩٠	١٫١٧	١٫٣٨	٢٫٠٣

Fade caution

range so far	p (held)	n
<0.5	٥٣٫٧%	١٬٠٣٨
0.5-0.85	٤٩٫٩%	٨٢٢
0.85-1.05	٥٣٫٢%	١٥٦
1.05-1.25	٥٠٫٠%	٤٨
>1.25	٥٤٫٣%	٨١

Named levels

Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.

Midnight open (00:00 ET)

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٦٠٫٥٣	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٢٫٤%	٢٦٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٦١٫٧٧	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨١٫١%	١٤٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٦٣٫٠٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧٠٫١%	١٢٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٦٤٫٢٣	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦١٫٠%	١٠٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٦٥٫٤٦	٦٫١٦٢٥	٥١٫٣%	٧٦	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٦٦٫٧٠	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٥١٫٠%	١٠٠	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٦٩٫١٦	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٣٦٫٨%	٧٦	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٧١٫٦٣	١٢٫٣٣	٣٥٫٤%	٨٢	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٧٧٫٧٩	١٨٫٤٩	٤٢٫٥%	٤٠	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٨٣٫٩٥	٢٤٫٦٥	١٨٫٨%	١٦	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٩٦٫٢٨	٣٦٫٩٨	٠٫٠%	٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٥٨٫٠٧	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٢٫٩%	٢٥٢	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٥٦٫٨٤	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨٠٫١%	١٧١	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٥٥٫٦٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧٤٫٠%	١٥٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٥٤٫٣٧	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦٩٫٢%	١٣٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٥٣٫١٤	٦٫١٦٢٥	٦٧٫٢%	١٢٢	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٥١٫٩١	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٥٣٫٦%	١٣٨	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٤٩٫٤٤	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٥١٫١%	٨٨	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٤٦٫٩٨	١٢٫٣٣	٣٥٫٤%	٨٢	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٤٠٫٨١	١٨٫٤٩	٢٦٫٩%	٢٦	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٣٤٫٦٥	٢٤٫٦٥	٠٫٠%	١٠	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٢٢٫٣٣	٣٦٫٩٨	٠٫٠%	٨	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day high

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٦٠٫٥٣	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٠٫٦%	١٣٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٦١٫٧٧	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٧٧٫٧%	١٠٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٦٣٫٠٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٦٧٫٥%	١١٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٦٤٫٢٣	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦٢٫١%	٩٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٦٥٫٤٦	٦٫١٦٢٥	٥٤٫٢%	٩٦	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٦٦٫٧٠	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٤٤٫٩%	١٥٦	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٦٩٫١٦	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٣٩٫٤%	١٧٥	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٧١٫٦٣	١٢٫٣٣	٢٧٫١%	٢٧٣	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٧٧٫٧٩	١٨٫٤٩	١٧٫٦%	٢٦١	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٨٣٫٩٥	٢٤٫٦٥	٧٫٦%	١٨٣	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٩٦٫٢٨	٣٦٫٩٨	٣٫٦%	٨٣	SCENERY
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٥٨٫٠٧	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٢٫٨%	١٣٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٥٦٫٨٤	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٧١٫٠%	٦٩	REPELS
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٥٥٫٦٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧٨٫٣%	٤٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٥٤٫٣٧	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٧١٫٧%	٦٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٥٣٫١٤	٦٫١٦٢٥	٦١٫٥%	٣٩	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٥١٫٩١	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٤٥٫٠%	٤٠	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٤٩٫٤٤	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٣٧٫٣%	٥١	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٤٦٫٩٨	١٢٫٣٣	٣٧٫٠%	٢٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٤٠٫٨١	١٨٫٤٩	١٦٫٧%	١٢	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٣٤٫٦٥	٢٤٫٦٥	٠٫٠%	٥	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٢٢٫٣٣	٣٦٫٩٨	٢٠٫٠%	٥	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior day low

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٦٠٫٥٣	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٧٫٩%	٩٦	PULLS
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٦١٫٧٧	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨٢٫٥%	٤٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٦٣٫٠٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٨١٫٨%	٣٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٦٤٫٢٣	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦٣٫٦%	٢٢	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٦٥٫٤٦	٦٫١٦٢٥	٥٦٫٧%	٣٠	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٦٦٫٧٠	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٥٠٫٠%	٣٨	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٦٩٫١٦	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٨٥٫٧%	٢٨	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٧١٫٦٣	١٢٫٣٣	٤٠٫٧%	٢٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٧٧٫٧٩	١٨٫٤٩	٢٧٫٨%	١٨	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٨٣٫٩٥	٢٤٫٦٥	٣٠٫٨%	١٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٩٦٫٢٨	٣٦٫٩٨	٠٫٠%	٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٥٨٫٠٧	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٥٫٦%	١١٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٥٦٫٨٤	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٧٩٫٤%	٦٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٥٥٫٦٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧٧٫٥%	٨٩	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٥٤٫٣٧	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦٦٫٣%	٨٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٥٣٫١٤	٦٫١٦٢٥	٤٨٫٨%	٨٤	REPELS
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٥١٫٩١	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٥٥٫٨%	١٥٤	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٤٩٫٤٤	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٤٧٫٦%	١٩١	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٤٦٫٩٨	١٢٫٣٣	٣٢٫٤%	٣٥٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٤٠٫٨١	١٨٫٤٩	١٤٫٧%	٣٤٠	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٣٤٫٦٥	٢٤٫٦٥	١٢٫٨%	٢٨١	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٢٢٫٣٣	٣٦٫٩٨	٣٫٤%	٨٩	SCENERY

Prior day mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٦٠٫٥٣	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٠٫١%	١٥١	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٦١٫٧٧	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨٢٫٨%	٨٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٦٣٫٠٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٦٩٫٤%	٩٨	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٦٤٫٢٣	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٧٠٫٤%	٧١	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٦٥٫٤٦	٦٫١٦٢٥	٦٥٫٨%	٧٩	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٦٦٫٧٠	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٥٨٫٤%	١٠١	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٦٩٫١٦	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٣٧٫٠%	٩٢	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٧١٫٦٣	١٢٫٣٣	٣٦٫٦%	١٢٣	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٧٧٫٧٩	١٨٫٤٩	٢١٫٢%	١٠٤	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٨٣٫٩٥	٢٤٫٦٥	١٢٫٨%	٤٧	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٩٦٫٢٨	٣٦٫٩٨	٦٫٣%	١٦	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٥٨٫٠٧	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٧٫٣%	١٥٠	PULLS
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٥٦٫٨٤	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨٤٫٣%	١٠٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٥٥٫٦٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧٤٫١%	١٠٨	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٥٤٫٣٧	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٧٢٫٠%	١٠٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٥٣٫١٤	٦٫١٦٢٥	٥٧٫٠%	١٠٧	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٥١٫٩١	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٥٦٫٨%	١٣٢	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٤٩٫٤٤	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٤٠٫٣%	١٣٩	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٤٦٫٩٨	١٢٫٣٣	٣٣٫٠%	١٨٥	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٤٠٫٨١	١٨٫٤٩	٢٠٫٥%	١٥١	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٣٤٫٦٥	٢٤٫٦٥	١٠٫٥%	٣٨	SCENERY
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٢٢٫٣٣	٣٦٫٩٨	٠٫٠%	٦	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

Prior settlement / close

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٦٠٫٥٣	١٫٢٣٢٥	٨٨٫٢%	١٨٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٦١٫٧٧	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨٥٫٠%	١٢٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٦٣٫٠٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧٣٫٢%	٩٧	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٦٤٫٢٣	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦٠٫٠%	٩٥	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٦٥٫٤٦	٦٫١٦٢٥	٦٥٫٣%	٧٥	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٦٦٫٧٠	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٤٨٫٨%	٨٦	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٦٩٫١٦	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٥١٫٦%	٩٥	PULLS
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٧١٫٦٣	١٢٫٣٣	٣٧٫١%	٨٩	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٧٧٫٧٩	١٨٫٤٩	٢٧٫٣%	٥٥	PULLS
١٫٠٠	up	٢٩٨٣٫٩٥	٢٤٫٦٥	٢٨٫٠%	٢٥	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	up	٢٩٩٦٫٢٨	٣٦٫٩٨	٠٫٠%	٩	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٥٨٫٠٧	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٤٫٧%	٢٠٩	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٥٦٫٨٤	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨٢٫٥%	١٢٦	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٥٥٫٦٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٦٩٫٩%	١٤٣	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٥٤٫٣٧	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦٤٫٩%	١١١	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٥٣٫١٤	٦٫١٦٢٥	٦٢٫٤%	١١٧	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٥١٫٩١	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٥٥٫٠%	١٤٠	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٤٩٫٤٤	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٤٥٫٢%	١٢٤	SCENERY
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٤٦٫٩٨	١٢٫٣٣	٢٨٫٤%	١٤١	SCENERY
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٤٠٫٨١	١٨٫٤٩	٢١٫٨%	٥٥	SCENERY
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٣٤٫٦٥	٢٤٫٦٥	٣٣٫٣%	١٨	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٥٠	down	٢٩٢٢٫٣٣	٣٦٫٩٨	٠٫٠%	٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

18:00 ET session mid

d (ATR)	dir	price	points	p (held)	n	band
٠٫٠٥	up	٢٩٦٠٫٥٣	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٢٫٤%	٤٠٧	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	up	٢٩٦١٫٧٧	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٨٠٫٧%	٢٤٣	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	up	٢٩٦٣٫٠٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧١٫٩%	١٤٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	up	٢٩٦٤٫٢٣	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٦٩٫١%	٨٤	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	up	٢٩٦٥٫٤٦	٦٫١٦٢٥	٧٠٫٦%	٥١	PULLS
٠٫٣٠	up	٢٩٦٦٫٧٠	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٦٧٫٤%	٤٦	PULLS
٠٫٤٠	up	٢٩٦٩٫١٦	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٥٤٫٦%	٢٢	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٥٠	up	٢٩٧١٫٦٣	١٢٫٣٣	٥٠٫٠%	١٤	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٧٥	up	٢٩٧٧٫٧٩	١٨٫٤٩	٣٣٫٣%	٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٠٥	down	٢٩٥٨٫٠٧	١٫٢٣٢٥	٩٢٫٥%	٤٤٠	SCENERY
٠٫١٠	down	٢٩٥٦٫٨٤	٢٫٤٦٥٠	٧٧٫٩%	٢٩٨	SCENERY
٠٫١٥	down	٢٩٥٥٫٦٠	٣٫٦٩٧٥	٧٣٫٧%	١٨٦	SCENERY
٠٫٢٠	down	٢٩٥٤٫٣٧	٤٫٩٣٠٠	٧٤٫٢%	١٢٠	SCENERY
٠٫٢٥	down	٢٩٥٣٫١٤	٦٫١٦٢٥	٦١٫٩%	٦٣	SCENERY
٠٫٣٠	down	٢٩٥١٫٩١	٧٫٣٩٥٠	٦٥٫٤%	٥٢	SCENERY
٠٫٤٠	down	٢٩٤٩٫٤٤	٩٫٨٦٠٠	٥٥٫٦%	٢٧	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٥٠	down	٢٩٤٦٫٩٨	١٢٫٣٣	٣٨٫٥%	١٣	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
٠٫٧٥	down	٢٩٤٠٫٨١	١٨٫٤٩	٨٠٫٠%	٥	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)
١٫٠٠	down	٢٩٣٤٫٦٥	٢٤٫٦٥	٠٫٠%	١	NEZMERENO (n<MIN_N)

The playbook

09:45 checkpoint

band	p (held)	n
ALL (pooled)	٥٠٫٥%	٢٬١٤٤
up >0.20	٧٥٫٢%	٣٠٦
up 0.10-0.20	٦٤٫٨%	٣١٥
up 0.05-0.10	٥٧٫٣%	٢٠٦
near 0 (<0.05 abs)	٥١٫٠%	٤٣٣
dn 0.05-0.10	٤٦٫٠%	٢٠٢
dn 0.10-0.20	٣٧٫٧%	٣٥٠
dn >0.20	٢٥٫٣%	٣٣٢

One end by 10:30

metric	p (held)	n
RTH high is final by 10:30	٤٤٫١%	٢٬٢٢٢
RTH low is final by 10:30	٤٥٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٢
Both high and low final by 10:30	٥٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٢
Low comes before high (full day)	٥٠٫٠%	٢٬٢٢٢
Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window)	٤٧٫٩%	٢٬٢٢٢

Stop-fading curve

checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further

range so far (ATR bin)	p (held)	n
[0,0.25)	٦٩٫٨%	٤٬٧٦٤
[0.25,0.5)	٦٧٫٠%	٨٬٥٩٣
[0.5,0.75)	٦٦٫٥%	٣٬٢٠٧
[0.75,1.0)	٦٤٫١%	٨٧٥
[1.0,1.25)	٦٨٫٩%	٢٣٨
[1.25,1.5)	٧٦٫٥%	٥١
[1.5,2.0)	٨٨٫٥%	٢٦
>=2.0	٧٫١%	١٤

Covers ١٠ symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.