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Live calls. Measured odds. Every outcome graded.

Directional setups across 6 crypto pairs. The default board shows S, A and B calls with at least 77% confidence.

DATA AS OF 22:24 ET · 15-MIN DELAYED FEED · NEXT SCAN IN 5:41

A call is graded by a published race: a 0.05 ATR target touch versus a 0.15 ATR invalidation close, capped at 40 periods.

The rule parameters are product choices. The probabilities under that rule are calibrated walk-forward by year.

Live crypto calls use Bybit spot 15-minute bars; the backfill and calibration on this page use Binance. The two agreed on 97% of HIT/MISS outcomes in a 45-day check.

LIVE CALLS WE GOT RIGHT

85.7%

12 HIT · 2 MISS

LAST 14 RESOLVED S/A/B CALLS

HIT and MISS determine the score. EXPIRED calls are reported separately.

WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER

WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER

What each stated confidence tier actually delivered in year-by-year historical scoring.

S
91.9%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 91.0%
n = 49,800
A
88.1%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 84.0%
n = 11,309
B
86.2%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 79.7%
n = 638

Historical results are a rules-based backfill, not calls published before their outcomes. Live timestamping begins with the live record.

LIVE CALLS · 1

Calls that have fired and are now racing toward a target touch or invalidation close.

Open a card for today's market roadmap.

OPEN SETUPS · 1

Conditions we are watching that have not fired a call yet.

TIERMARKET / TFDIRECTIONCONFIDENCEENTRYCHECKPOINTSELIGIBLE IN
SSOLUSDT / 15mdown89%121.0200 PERIODS

Open setups include every tier so an already-tracked setup never disappears when confidence changes.

RESULTS

Resolved calls by tier. Historical calibration stays visible across every tier.

WINDOWSABDEXPIRED
TODAY4/5 HIT1/1 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0.0%
LAST 300 RESOLVED10/12 HIT2/2 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0.0%

EXPIRED means neither boundary was reached within 40 periods. It is not counted as either a HIT or a MISS.

Hit rate is not payoff. See the one-period outcome and payoff distribution in Track Record →

HIT RATE BY MARKET

Every resolved S, A and B call since the live record began, split by market. The line is the rolling 7-trading-day hit rate; the dashed line is all markets together.

HIT and MISS only. EXPIRED calls are excluded. Small samples swing more — the interval shows how much.

LATEST RESOLUTIONS

The five most recent calls graded under the published rule.

No recent resolutions yet. Open calls will appear here as HIT, MISS or EXPIRED.

89.9%

62,022 historical calls, replayed under the same published rule and graded.

This record is a rules-based backfill, not a claim that historical calls were published live. Download every row and inspect the walk-forward calibration.

OPEN THE TRACK RECORD →

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