Live calls. Measured odds. Every outcome graded.
Directional setups across ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC and CL. The default board shows S, A and B calls with at least 77% confidence.
DATA AS OF 21:35 ET · 15-MIN DELAYED FEED · NEXT SCAN IN 9:53
A call is graded by a published race: a 0.05 ATR target touch versus a 0.15 ATR invalidation close, capped at 40 periods.
The rule parameters are product choices. The probabilities under that rule are calibrated walk-forward by year.
LIVE CALLS WE GOT RIGHT
10 HIT · 1 MISS
LAST 11 RESOLVED S/A/B CALLS
HIT and MISS determine the score. EXPIRED calls are reported separately.
WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER
WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER
What each stated confidence tier actually delivered in year-by-year historical scoring.
Historical results are a rules-based backfill, not calls published before their outcomes. Live timestamping begins with the live record.
LIVE CALLS · 20
Calls that have fired and are now racing toward a target touch or invalidation close.
Open a card for today's market roadmap.
OPEN SETUPS · 20
Conditions we are watching that have not fired a call yet.
| TIER | MARKET / TF | DIRECTION | CONFIDENCE | ENTRY | CHECKPOINTS | ELIGIBLE IN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S | CL / 75m | up | 90% | 91.14 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | CL / 105m | up | 90% | 91.14 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| A | CL / 15m | up | 84% | 92.05 | 0 | 0 PERIODS |
| A | CL / 30m | up | 86% | 92.05 | 0 | 0 PERIODS |
| S | CL / 45m | up | 87% | 92.05 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | CL / 60m | up | 87% | 92.05 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | CL / 90m | up | 88% | 92.05 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | CL / 120m | up | 88% | 92.05 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | GC / 15m | down | 88% | 4362.50 | 0 | 0 PERIODS |
| A | GC / 30m | down | 86% | 4362.50 | 0 | 0 PERIODS |
| S | GC / 45m | down | 87% | 4362.50 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | GC / 60m | down | 87% | 4362.50 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | GC / 90m | down | 88% | 4362.50 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | GC / 120m | down | 88% | 4362.50 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | RTY / 15m | down | 88% | 2919.60 | 0 | 0 PERIODS |
| S | RTY / 30m | down | 87% | 2919.60 | 0 | 0 PERIODS |
| S | RTY / 45m | down | 89% | 2919.60 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | RTY / 60m | down | 87% | 2919.60 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | RTY / 90m | down | 88% | 2919.60 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
| S | RTY / 120m | down | 88% | 2919.60 | 0 | 1 PERIOD |
Open setups include every tier so an already-tracked setup never disappears when confidence changes.
RESULTS
Resolved calls by tier. Historical calibration stays visible across every tier.
| WINDOW | S | A | B | D | EXPIRED |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TODAY | 8/8 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0.0% |
| LAST 300 RESOLVED | 10/10 HIT | 0/1 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0.0% |
EXPIRED means neither boundary was reached within 40 periods. It is not counted as either a HIT or a MISS.
Hit rate is not payoff. See the one-period outcome and payoff distribution in Track Record →
LATEST RESOLUTIONS
The five most recent calls graded under the published rule.
| MARKET / TF | DIRECTION | TIER | RESULT | ENTRY | RESOLVED AT | PERIODS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CL / 15m | up | S | HIT ✓ | 91.63 | 2026-09-01 21:00 ET | 1 |
| GC / 120m | down | S | HIT ✓ | 4375.70 | 2026-09-01 21:00 ET | 2 |
| CL / 120m | up | S | HIT ✓ | 90.68 | 2026-09-01 21:00 ET | 2 |
| GC / 90m | down | S | HIT ✓ | 4376.70 | 2026-09-01 21:00 ET | 1 |
| CL / 90m | up | S | HIT ✓ | 90.79 | 2026-09-01 21:00 ET | 1 |
319,312 historical calls, replayed under the same published rule and graded.
This record is a rules-based backfill, not a claim that historical calls were published live. Download every row and inspect the walk-forward calibration.